[House Hearing, 111 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] THE PROPOSED UNITED-CONTINENTAL MERGER: POTENTIAL EFFECTS FOR CONSUMERS AND INDUSTRY ======================================================================= (111-120) HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION ---------- JUNE 16, 2010 ---------- Printed for the use of the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure THE PROPOSED UNITED-CONTINENTAL MERGER: POTENTIAL EFFECTS FOR CONSUMERS AND INDUSTRY ======================================================================= (111-120) HEARING BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON AVIATION OF THE COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION __________ June 16, 2010 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 57-059 PDF WASHINGTON : 2010 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; DC area (202) 512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402-0001 COMMITTEE ON TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE JAMES L. OBERSTAR, Minnesota, Chairman NICK J. RAHALL, II, West Virginia, JOHN L. MICA, Florida Vice Chair DON YOUNG, Alaska PETER A. DeFAZIO, Oregon THOMAS E. PETRI, Wisconsin JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois HOWARD COBLE, North Carolina ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, District of JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee Columbia VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan JERROLD NADLER, New York FRANK A. LoBIONDO, New Jersey CORRINE BROWN, Florida JERRY MORAN, Kansas BOB FILNER, California GARY G. MILLER, California EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas HENRY E. BROWN, Jr., South GENE TAYLOR, Mississippi Carolina ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland TIMOTHY V. JOHNSON, Illinois LEONARD L. BOSWELL, Iowa TODD RUSSELL PLATTS, Pennsylvania TIM HOLDEN, Pennsylvania SAM GRAVES, Missouri BRIAN BAIRD, Washington BILL SHUSTER, Pennsylvania RICK LARSEN, Washington JOHN BOOZMAN, Arkansas MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West TIMOTHY H. BISHOP, New York Virginia MICHAEL H. MICHAUD, Maine JIM GERLACH, Pennsylvania RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida GRACE F. NAPOLITANO, California CHARLES W. DENT, Pennsylvania DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois CONNIE MACK, Florida MAZIE K. HIRONO, Hawaii LYNN A WESTMORELAND, Georgia JASON ALTMIRE, Pennsylvania JEAN SCHMIDT, Ohio TIMOTHY J. WALZ, Minnesota CANDICE S. MILLER, Michigan HEATH SHULER, North Carolina MARY FALLIN, Oklahoma MICHAEL A. ARCURI, New York VERN BUCHANAN, Florida HARRY E. MITCHELL, Arizona BRETT GUTHRIE, Kentucky CHRISTOPHER P. CARNEY, Pennsylvania ANH ``JOSEPH'' CAO, Louisiana JOHN J. HALL, New York AARON SCHOCK, Illinois STEVE KAGEN, Wisconsin PETE OLSON, Texas STEVE COHEN, Tennessee TOM GRAVES, Georgia LAURA A. RICHARDSON, California ALBIO SIRES, New Jersey DONNA F. EDWARDS, Maryland SOLOMON P. ORTIZ, Texas PHIL HARE, Illinois JOHN A. BOCCIERI, Ohio MARK H. SCHAUER, Michigan BETSY MARKEY, Colorado MICHAEL E. McMAHON, New York THOMAS S. P. PERRIELLO, Virginia DINA TITUS, Nevada HARRY TEAGUE, New Mexico JOHN GARAMENDI, California HANK JOHNSON, Georgia (ii) Subcommittee on Aviation JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois, Chairman RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri THOMAS E. PETRI, Wisconsin PARKER GRIFFITH, Alabama HOWARD COBLE, North Carolina MICHAEL E. McMAHON, New York JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee PETER A. DeFAZIO, Oregon VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, District of FRANK A. LoBIONDO, New Jersey Columbia JERRY MORAN, Kansas BOB FILNER, California SAM GRAVES, Missouri EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas JOHN BOOZMAN, Arkansas LEONARD L. BOSWELL, Iowa SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West TIM HOLDEN, Pennsylvania Virginia MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts JIM GERLACH, Pennsylvania DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois CHARLES W. DENT, Pennsylvania MAZIE K. HIRONO, Hawaii CONNIE MACK, Florida HARRY E. MITCHELL, Arizona LYNN A. WESTMORELAND, Georgia JOHN J. HALL, New York JEAN SCHMIDT, Ohio STEVE COHEN, Tennessee MARY FALLIN, Oklahoma LAURA A. RICHARDSON, California VERN BUCHANAN, Florida JOHN A. BOCCIERI, Ohio, Vice Chair BRETT GUTHRIE, Kentucky NICK J. RAHALL, II, West Virginia CORRINE BROWN, Florida ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland JASON ALTMIRE, Pennsylvania SOLOMON P. ORTIZ, Texas MARK H. SCHAUER, Michigan JOHN GARAMENDI, California JAMES L. OBERSTAR, Minnesota (Ex Officio) (iii) CONTENTS Page Summary of Subject Matter........................................ vii TESTIMONY Foer, Albert A., President, The American Antitrust Institute..... 111 Friend, Patricia, International President, Association of Flight Attendants-CWA................................................. 111 Gutierrez, Hon. Luis V., a Representative in Congress from the State of Illinois.............................................. 33 Horan, Hubert, Aviation Analyst and Consultant................... 111 Kucinich, Hon. Dennis J., a Representative in Congress from the State of Ohio.................................................. 36 Mcgee, William, Consultant on Travel and Aviation Issues, Consumers Union................................................ 111 Morse, Captain Wendy, Chairman, United Master Executive Council, Air Line Pilots Association.................................... 111 Payne, Hon. Donald M., a Representative in Congress from the State of New Jersey............................................ 34 Pierce, Captain Jay, Chairman, Continental Master Executive Council, Air Line Pilots Association........................... 111 Roach, Jr., Robert, General Vice President of Transportation, International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers.. 111 Smisek, Jeffrey, Chairman, President, and Cheif Executive Officer, Continental Airlines.................................. 39 Strine, David, Portfolio Manager, Impala Asset Management, LLC... 111 Tilton, Glenn F., Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, United Airlines Corporation........................... 39 PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED BY MEMBERS OF CONGRESS Carnahan, Hon. Russ, of Missouri................................. 140 Cohen, Hon. Steve, of Tennessee.................................. 141 Costello, Hon. Jerry F., of Illinois............................. 142 Johnson, Hon. Eddie Bernice, of Texas............................ 148 Mitchell, Hon. Harry, of Arizona................................. 152 Oberstar, Hon. James L., of Minnesota............................ 153 Petri, Hon. Thomas E., of Wisconsin.............................. 158 PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED BY WITNESSES Foer, Albert A................................................... 191 Friend, Patricia................................................. 201 Gutierrez, Hon. Luis V........................................... 216 Horan, Hubert.................................................... 217 Kucinich, Hon. Dennis J.......................................... 234 Mcgee, William................................................... 242 Morse, Captain Wendy............................................. 246 Payne, Hon. Donald M............................................. 248 Pierce, Captain Jay.............................................. 250 Roach, Jr., Robert............................................... 252 Smisek, Jeffrey and Tilton, Glenn F.............................. 270 Strine, David.................................................... 282 SUBMISSIONS FOR THE RECORD Coble, Hon. Howard, a Representative in Congress from the State of North Carolina:............................................. Letters in support of the merger........................... 173 Table listing all received letters of support.............. 166 Costello, Hon. Jerry F., a Representative in Congress from the State of Illinois:............................................. Letter from the Department of Justice...................... 3 Letters in support of the merger........................... 6 Hirono, Hon. Mazie K., a Representative in Congress from the State of Hawaii, letters in support of the merger.............. 83 LoBiondo, Hon. Frank A., a Representative in Congress from the State of New Jersey, letters in support of the merger.......... 50 Petri, Hon. Thomas E., a Representative in Congress from the State of Wisconsin, letters in support of the merger........... 29 Smisek, Jeffrey, Chairman, President, and Cheif Executive Officer, Continental Airlines, response to request for information from Hon. Garamendi, a Representative in Congress from the State of California................................... 102 ADDITIONS TO THE RECORD International Brotherhood of Teamsters, Airline Division, Captain David Bourne, Director, written testimony...................... 290 Virgin America Inc., David Cush, Predsident and Cheif Executive Officer, written testimony..................................... 294 [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] THE PROPOSED UNITED-CONTINENTAL MERGER: POSSIBLE EFFECTS FOR CONSUMERS AND THE INDUSTRY ---------- Wednesday, June 16, 2010 House of Representatives, Subcommittee on Aviation, Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, Washington, DC. The Subcommittee met, pursuant to call, at 9:30 a.m., in room 2167, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Jerry F. Costello [Chairman of the Subcommittee] presiding. Mr. Costello. The Subcommittee will come to order. The Chair will ask that all Members, staff and everyone turn all electronic devices off or on vibrate. The Subcommittee is meeting today to receive testimony regarding the proposed United-Continental merger and the possible effects for consumers and the industry. I intend to give a very brief opening statement and put the rest of my statement in the record. And then I will call on Mr. Petri for his opening statement. And then we will go immediately to our first panel, the Members panel. I welcome everyone today to the Aviation Subcommittee hearing on the proposed merger between United Airlines and Continental Airlines and its potential effects for consumers and the industry. In particular, I want to welcome the families of Colgan Flight 3407 for being with us today and for their steadfast support to improve pilot training and safety in the industry. Given that we have several panels today, I will be brief with my statement and ask Mr. Petri to do the same so that we can go to our first panel. Last month, United and Continental announced they would merge to form an airline that by several measures will be the largest airline in the world. United and Continental claim the proposed merger will generate up to $1.2 billion in annual revenue and will create cost synergies for more effective aircraft utilization, a more comprehensive route network, and improved operation efficiencies. In 2008 this Subcommittee also held a hearing on the merger of Delta Airlines and Northwest Airlines. At that time there was speculation that other carriers within the industry would merge to create a U.S. airline industry dominated by just a few mega-carriers. Just 2 years later, as many predicted, we are meeting here again today to discuss another proposed combination that would surpass Delta as the world's largest. This merger would leave our U.S. Industry with only four legacy airlines. We all have a shared interest in maintaining a safe, reliable, competitive, and profitable air transportation system, and we must ask critical questions on the long-term implications of continued mergers for the future of the industry. I am very concerned about how this merger, if approved, will affect ticket prices for passengers, how the merger will affect pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and employees of both airlines, how many employees will lose their jobs or receive reduced benefits and wages, and what will happen with existing union contracts. Less competition generally leads to higher prices, fewer choices, and a loss of jobs. I sympathize with the thousands of airline employees who have suffered as a result of airline financial problems in the past. Many have seen their hard- earned pensions drop during airline bankruptcies, seniority rights disappear, labor disputes go unresolved, wages frozen or cut, d jobs lost to outsourcing and consolidation. This merger should not take place at the expense of consumers or the workers who have already made tremendous sacrifices. Unfortunately, past mergers have not always demonstrated that consumers and employees will be better served by consolidation. Therefore, what I want to learn from this hearing is, number one, how is this proposed merger different from past mergers? And number two, how will this merger really affect consumers and employees? Currently, both the Department of Justice and the Department of Transportation are in the process of reviewing the merger. I understand that United and Continental are hopeful a decision will be made by the end of the year. Although we do not have a government panel testifying here today, I trust that the appropriate Federal agencies will make certain that this proposed merger receives a thorough review and will ensure that it is consistent with the requirements of the law. Finally, I am interested in hearing from the analysts on our second panel regarding the pros and cons of this merger, the prospects for future mergers, and whether low-cost carriers will be able to effectively keep airfares down in markets affected by the merger. Before I recognize Mr. Petri for his opening statement or remarks, I ask unanimous consent to allow 2 weeks for all Members to revise and extend their remarks and to permit the submission of additional statements and materials by Members and witnesses. Without objection, so ordered. Additionally, at my request, the Department of Justice has prepared a letter explaining its antitrust review process in general. The letter does not deal with this specific merger, but it may be helpful to Members of the Subcommittee in understanding the process. In addition, we have received letters from organizations concerning this specific merger. And I will ask unanimous consent that these letters be placed into the record. Without objection, so ordered. [The information follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Costello. The Chair now recognizes Mr. Petri for his opening statement. Mr. Petri. Mr. Chairman, thank you for holding this very important hearing. It is important that the Subcommittee use this hearing to fully explore the proposed United-Continental merger in order to gauge not just its potential effects on both companies, and their thousands of employees, but even, more importantly, on consumers. Since 2001 the airline industry has lost over 150,000 jobs and seen over 35 bankruptcies. In today's economy airlines must significantly cut costs and increase operating efficiency or face closing their doors. Over the past decade commercial aviation industry has faced a variety of challenges, including terrorist attacks, volatile fuel prices, and a massive decline in demand due to the global recession. Unprecedented events such as SARS, H1N1 and the volcanic ash plume also have added to the industry's woes. In addition to these financial strains, U.S. carriers must also compete in the world marketplace against financially strong competitors; some, national champions. We cannot deny that the airline industry is a global industry. Decisions to merge over the last few years have in part been driven by the need to improve U.S. Carriers' ability to compete on a global basis. Last month United Airlines and Continental Airlines announced their intention to merge. Global competition, the struggling economy, and a need to improve operating efficiency are cited as the main reasons for this. Since the proposed merger was announced, aviation experts, labor groups, consumer advocates and other interested parties have commented both for and against airline mergers in general and the United- Continental merger specifically. The proposed merger's impact on consumers, competition in the marketplace, air service, airfares, and a combined 89,000 employees has been the subject of a great deal of speculation. Today we have before us representatives of the interested groups to testify about airline consolidations, focusing on the United-Continental merger. We will also hear from the chief executive officers of both airlines. It is important that the Aviation Subcommittee hear from the interested parties to gain a better understanding of the proposed merger of United and Continental. Procedurally, the merger cannot be completed, as our Chairman has just pointed out, without approval from the antitrust division of the Department of Justice. That review, currently underway for the proposed merger, is a grueling and thorough process that ensures that the proposal will not have negative consequences on competition. In the interest of fairness, I urge the Department to continue their tradition of objectivity and impartiality as they conduct their antitrust analysis. I look forward to hearing from all of our witnesses. And before I yield back the balance of my time, I would ask unanimous consent that letters of support from various Wisconsin interests be included in the hearing record. Mr. Costello. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the Ranking Member for his opening statement, and now recognizes our first panel, our colleagues: The Honorable Luis Gutierrez, who is a Member of Congress from the Fourth District of Illinois; Mr. Donald Payne, who is the Member of Congress representing the Tenth District of New Jersey; and Congressman Dennis Kucinich, who is on his way, who represents the Tenth District of Ohio. Gentlemen, your full statements will appear in the record. The Chair now recognizes Congressman Gutierrez. TESTIMONY OF THE HON. LUIS V. GUTIERREZ, A REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS FROM THE STATE OF ILLINOIS Mr. Gutierrez. Thank you, Chairman Costello and Ranking Member Petri and the distinguished colleagues of the Committee. Thank you for inviting me to speak before the Committee on the proposed merger of United and Continental Airlines. While this merger has generally been greeted with enthusiasm, I believe we should not overlook the potential serious impact it could have on consumers and the employees. For consumers, the issues of airline fees, which we all know cover just about everything except the air you breathe on board those airplanes, requires further scrutiny. In 2009, United and Continental Airlines made $523 million in baggage fees alone. Recently, United announced that its passenger unit revenue was up almost 25 percent from a year ago and topped pre-recession levels. Given this good news for United, I believe it is a good time to review the fairness and the necessity of excessive fees. The airline industry reported $1.2 billion in 1 year in extra fees last year. They are almost as out of whack as the credit card industry is. I also want to ensure that lower customers of frequent flyer programs have easy access to their rewards without being misled by the airlines. After receiving complaints from residents in my district, I began to look at the fine print on these highly promoted programs, which are a significant source of revenue for the airlines. Unfortunately, I find they lack reliability, honesty, and fairness. If you read the fine print you will find, as I did, airlines can deny a ticket, change the terms of the awards, charge a fee, and even eliminate the program at will. Congress must stand up for consumers and protect their interests in the frequent flyer mile program. I am also deeply concerned with the impact this merger will have on United and Continental employees. To keep these airlines in business, workers have made serious concessions, and their requests deserve consideration. Last week I met with United and Continental employees in Chicago, and I heard from Christie Shagel, a United Airlines flight attendant. She shared with me the following, and I quote, Today I am at work 33 percent more, but my savings account is depleted. I am forced to sell my town home, I can't afford a health-care deductible or meat at the grocery store. My family has suffered so United Airlines could succeed, and executives have awarded themselves with millions of dollars every year that we have struggled for, unquote. I also heard from Richard Petrowski, a union shop foreman and a 40-year United Airlines employee. He shared with us, quote, In the past few years, as so many airlines have cut wages and benefits, they realized they could also save money by cutting maintenance jobs and contracting out critical aircraft maintenance to the lowest bidder. I am not talking about changing a light bulb in the laboratory, I am talking about critical maintenance, work that if not held to the highest standard puts you, your family and my fellow United employees at risk. United Captain Herb Hunter told me, From an industry perspective, perhaps the greatest concern of this Nation's airline pilots is the continued outsourcing of pilots' jobs. Nearly half the passengers in the United States are now carried, most unknowingly, by subcontract airlines. The subcontractors are in a continual churn to sell their services to the major airlines at the lowest possible cost, violating, many times, safety guidelines. I think United and Continental have said far too little about how this merger will actually affect their frontline employees. We do know, however--and this is something that causes me great consternation, Mr. Chairman, Members of the Committee--we do know, however, that the merger might affect a few employees like the chief marketing financial and operations officer for Continental Airlines. They stand to receive a severance package totaling $27 million if they choose not to move to Chicago and join the new United. To put this in perspective, $27 million would be a 10 percent pay raise for each of United's flight attendants, and it would be well deserved. Before Congress gives this merger a stamp of approval, I strongly believe that United and Continental need to bring their employees to the table and consider their request. In addition, these airlines need to make a commitment to reduce ancillary fees and better protect their loyal customers. I thank you for allowing me to speak, and end by saying we can stand up for the consumers, we can stand up for the 40,000 employees at United and Continental. They deserve us to stand up for them today. Thank you so much, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks my friend from Illinois for his thoughtful testimony. The Chair now recognizes the gentleman from New Jersey, Mr. Payne. TESTIMONY OF THE HON. DONALD M. PAYNE, A REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS FROM THE STATE OF NEW JERSEY Mr. Payne. Thank you very much Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member Petri, distinguished Members of the Committee. Thank you for this opportunity for me to testify, and also it is great to be with my colleague here. Generally we are 100 percent on the same page. I think that this page might be a little tilted in the other direction at this time. However, we are certainly here today to discuss the proposed merger of United and Continental Airlines. Continental Airlines is the largest employer in my city of Newark. I am here today to offer my support for this proposed merger. As a general policy, though, I am generally concerned about mergers because, in instances, it does mean significant reductions in jobs, stifling competition, and some of the other situations that we heard the previous speaker talk about. However, this airline merger is different, in my opinion. These two airlines have very complementary routes with very little overlap. When there is very little overlap, there is no need for significant reduction of employees. This is a fact that Continental's CEO has confirmed to me and the other Members of the New Jersey delegation. I know that Continental has lost $1 billion since the 9/11 attack. And I know that the employees have lost jobs and have been forced to accept wage reductions and made other sacrifices during this time. This is not good for the many Continental employees who live in my district. However, the airline industry has also struggled with the high price of oil and with the impact of the 2008 recession. I have met with Continental's CEO Jeff Smisek to discuss this merger. And it has been made clear to me and Members of the New Jersey delegation that without the merger, Continental cannot be assured of a long and prosperous future. They may be able to earn a modest profit for some years, but that is not a formula for long-term success if they are losing money in the other years. Continental seems determined to try to turn their fortunes around through this merger. I have talked to Jeff and we expect Continental to bring its more favorable labor- management relations culture to the new airline, as I have encouraged him to complete the necessary collective bargaining agreements early in the process. I trust that he will conduct those negotiations with all the unions with dignity and respect. The unions will be critical to the long-term success of this merger. Employees' wages, retirement securities, and health benefits must be a top priority for the new combined carrier. It is comforting to know that Continental has fully respected the decisions of their employees to organize. Although it was a hard fought battle, in February of 2010 Continental's ramp workers made history when ballots were counted and the results showed that an overwhelming majority of the workers voted to join the Teamsters Union. This was a strong testament to the fact that fleet service workers at Continental are working to help create an environment that will sustain positive relationships between Continental and its workers who choose to unionize. I believe this merger is good for my city of Newark, and for New Jersey, because it will allow for growth of jobs and service. Continental's hub in Newark is a crown jewel. It is a premier domestic and international gateway to the New York and New Jersey region; the Nation's, of course, busiest financial hub. The Newark International Airport has been one of the fastest growing airports during the past two decades, thanks to Continental. Without a doubt, the city of Newark and the State of New Jersey have benefited from the airline's presence. Over the years Continental has not only made significant investments in infrastructure at Newark International Airport, but the airline's leadership has successfully worked with local government to establish job creation programs and promote other important growth initiatives in the State. Just this summer, there are nearly 75 young people benefiting from a summer internship program that allows them to learn valuable customer service skills as they spend each day working the crowds at the ticket counter. I have a long history of supporting Continental because they have a long history of supporting Newark and New Jersey. Newark is on the verge of a renaissance, and Continental is really one of the reasons for that. They have opened new routes to South America, Europe, China and Japan. While I have served in Congress, the additional new routes have really enhanced the airport. We have increased use of our airport by business to leisure passengers from around the country and around the world. And more importantly, we have increased jobs, jobs that come with good benefits from both part-time and full-time employees. As a Member of Congress and as a Member of the House Foreign Relations Committee, I travel the world to carry out my responsibilities, I see the other global carriers that Continental must compete with. And as much as Continental has changed and grown in the last decade, they need to be bigger if they are going to compete with British airline Iberia and KLM, combined with Air France. I realize that Chairman Oberstar and some of my colleagues may not agree about the benefits of this merger, but from my vantage point, given the current challenging economic landscape, the proposed merger between Continental and United is the best way to ensure sustainability for the airline industry for jobs in our region and to compete with the world carriers. So with that, Mr. Chairman, I appreciate the opportunity to testify before this Subcommittee. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks our colleague and friend from New Jersey. The Chair now recognizes the gentleman from Ohio, Mr. Kucinich. TESTIMONY OF THE HON. DENNIS J. KUCINICH, A REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS FROM THE STATE OF OHIO Mr. Kucinich. Thank you very much, Chairman Costello and Members of the Subcommittee. Thanks for this invitation to testify on the proposed merger of United Airlines and Continental Airlines. In hindsight it is easy to see that the merger is a culmination of Continental's efforts over the past 2 years to integrate its operation with United. But a year ago, Continental was insisting that it did not need to merge; rather, the company pursued antitrust immunity to join United and 20 other airlines in the far-reaching Star Marketing Alliance, and United and other airlines in the Atlantic, plus a joint venture for trans-Atlantic travel. Over the strenuous objections of the Department of Justice which speared substantial consumer harm, Continental received antitrust immunity and now can engage in flight code sharing, coordinate reservations and frequent flyer plans, and under the joint venture can even share revenues. Now Continental and United are back, pursuing a merger they said last year was not necessary. When last month the proposed merger was announced, and at the request of the mayor of Cleveland, I directed staff of the Domestic Policy Subcommittee of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, which I chair, to investigate its legal and policy implications. In addition to the significant antitrust concerns, which I will briefly outline here, we found the troubling possibility that Continental may not have been completely forthright with Congress and regulators with respect to its marketing alliance and joint venture last year or the proposed merger before us today. Yesterday I sent a document request to Continental that is directly relevant to significant concerns produced by the inquiry, and discussed below, regarding the legality of the proposed merger under section 7 of the Clayton Act and the Horizontal Merger Guidelines, the merger's advisability as a matter of policy, and the veracity of Continental's and United's representations regarding the merger's purposes and likely effects. When Continental pursued antitrust immunity for its marketing alliance and joint venture, key stakeholders concluded that the alliance was in lieu of a full-blown merger. Senator John Cornyn stated last month at a Senate Judiciary Subcommittee hearing that Continental officials informed him that the alliance and joint venture was an attractive alternative to Continental merging with United. Continental had explained to Senator Cornyn that a merger ``wasn't in the best interest of shareholders, employees or the communities Continental serves''; antitrust immunity for the alliance and joint venture ``would provide much of the benefit of a merger without the labor integration and financial risk''; and, ``Houston and Cleveland would be some of the biggest losers in terms of jobs'' in the event of a merger. Senator Cornyn and others wrote the Department of Transportation supporting antitrust immunity on the grounds that it was preferable to a full-scale merger between Continental and United that could lead to flight reduction and job losses. Yet only one year later, after receiving government support for its entry into a marketing alliance, Continental is now pursuing a merger. Is Continental's change in business strategy just a coincidence? I find that hard to believe. It is more likely that this was their plan all along. Their apparent willingness to make whatever representations necessary to garner support for its plan cast doubt on both Continental's stated motivations for the present merger and its intended postmerger conduct. Continental and United have stated they have no present plans to close hubs or reduce services but, instead, plan to moderately decrease overhead costs and more substantially realize between $800 million and $900 million of revenue gains by more effectively routing network customers through hubs for more profitable business and international flights and more efficiently deploying New United's larger fleet. Not surprisingly, Continental does not list cutting flights or raising fares as a means to revenue growth. Market observers, including some who support the merger, take a different view. First, they doubt the magnitude of the merger specific efficiencies. A substantial portion of the claimed network efficiency may have already been realized by Continental joining United in the Star ATI and the A++ joint venture. Moreover, analysts point out that the purported cost and revenue synergies of the past airline mergers have almost never materialized. And, despite the theoretical ability of low-cost and regional carriers to enter markets exited by merging airlines, service cuts and loss of hubs have been a common consequence. Most analysts flatly predict that my city, Cleveland, would lose its hub and the communities formerly served by hub will not be supplied either New United service out of surviving hubs or low-cost carriers entering the market. Perhaps more troubling is the way industry analysts believe new United may increase its profitability by eliminating up to 10 percent of its post-merger capacity and in raising fares. According to many merger supporters, the industry's tens of billions of dollars of losses since deregulation are largely a product of destructive competition among airlines that has led to overcapacity and artificially low prices. The New United and the industry in general would profit from the decreased number of market participants in efforts to reduce capacity and raise fares. While sustained profitability for our domestic airline industry is important, Mr. Chairman, I don't believe that destructive competition is the cause of the industry's ills, and fear that as a remedy consolidation may well be worse than the disease. First, increased fares and declines in service are prototypical examples of the adverse competitive effects of exercise of market power. Revenue gains based on these practices are not merger-related efficiencies under the law. Second, it is possible that if any efficiency gains do materialize, they will be realized through the Star Alliance and the A++ joint venture. DOJ should carefully analyze the efficiencies from the alliance and joint venture and whether its fears regarding the possible anticompetitive effect of those immunized arrangements have materialized before it even considers approval of a full-pledged merger. In addition, there are a number of other possibilities for anticompetitive behavior that could be exacerbated by further industry consolidation, such as the merger of American Airlines and U.S. Airways that is predicted to occur if United and Continental merge. Others include increased market power negotiations with bulk-buying business clients, increased leverage to force concessions from vendors, travel agents, and even localities which may feel more pressure to provide publicly funded infrastructure and facilities. Finally, the size of the new United could raise the prospect of systemic importance if not systemic risk to the economy. Even if the new United is not officially considered, quote, too-big-to-fail, unquote, it would certainly be big enough to exert increased power over regulators. If the current financial crisis has taught us anything it is the difficulty in predicting ex ante the myriad ways in which immense and concentrated corporate entities can leverage their corporate power to the detriment of citizens. Mr. Chairman, Assistant Attorney General Christine Varney has explained that the administration's pursuit of vigorous antitrust enforcement in this challenging era will involve the development of competition policy based not simply on the case before it, but on consideration of, ``the overall state of competition in the industries which we are reviewing'' including consideration of market trends and dynamics, and not lose sight of the broader impact of antitrust enforcement. It will be important, Mr. Chairman, for this Subcommittee to hold the administration to that promise. While traditional antitrust enforcement would examine the danger that the competition would immediately be reduced between city pairs that have been served by both incumbent airlines, such a limited analysis is not sufficient because it does not adequately capture trends and dynamics in the industry. DOJ should consider whether the new United will exercise market power to the detriment of consumers through the adoption of anticompetitive practices outlined here and elsewhere. I really thank the Chair for his indulgence and Members of the Committee for the opportunity to testify, and thank you. Mr. Costello. The Chair and Members of the Subcommittee thank you for your testimony. And, gentlemen, we thank all of you for taking time out of your busy schedule to offer testimony to the Subcommittee this morning. We recognize that there are a number of other hearings going on with other Committees, and out of respect for your schedule and time commitment, we thank you and would ask that the next panel come forward to offer their testimony. Thank you again. Mr. Costello. The next panel will consist of both of the CEOs of United Airlines and Continental: Mr. Glenn F. Tilton, who is the Chairman, President and CEO of the United Airlines Corporation; and Mr. Jeffrey Smisek, who is the Chairman, President and CEO of Continental Airlines. Gentlemen, we appreciate you coming before the Subcommittee today to offer your testimony. As you know, your entire statement will appear in the record. We would ask you to summarize your statement in approximately 5 minutes, and then we will give you an opportunity for myself and other Members of the Subcommittee to ask questions and to follow up. TESTIMONY OF GLENN F. TILTON, CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT AND CEO, UNITED AIRLINES CORPORATION; AND JEFFREY SMISEK, CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT AND CEO, CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC. Mr. Costello. So with that, the Chair now recognizes Mr. Tilton. Mr. Tilton. Good morning Chairman Costello, Ranking Member Petri and Members of the Committee. We appreciate the opportunity to offer our comments this morning. Let me start by simply saying that the status quo for our industry is clearly unacceptable. It is extraordinary and insightful that this industry has lost some $60 billion and 150,000 jobs in the United States in the last ten years, delivering the worst financial performance of any major industry, along with 186 bankruptcies over the last 30 years. Both before and after deregulation, this industry has been systemically incapable of earning even a modest profit, let alone a reasonable return, on the large investment that we have made in aircraft, facilities, and technology. It is ironic that this industry, unable to cover its cost of borrowing, is expected to be and indeed must be a key enabler of the country's economic recovery. As leaders, you all know the critical role our industry plays nationally in the communities that you individually represent, creating commerce, tourism, jobs and contributing to the overall economy. Regardless of one's personal perspective, we can likely all agree serial bankruptcies and the asset distribution of failed companies cannot be an acceptable industry strategy. We must create economic sustainability through the business cycles. And to that end, our objective at United has been very consistent: to put our company on a path to sustained profitability. Without profitability we cannot provide a stable environment for the employees that Mr. Gutierrez mentioned. We cannot maintain service to communities, large or small, or invest in customer service, nor can we create value for our shareholders. To be profitable, we must successfully compete in the global market of today, a very different market than the market of ten years ago or, indeed, the market of 30 years ago. Today, low-cost carriers are very well established across the United States. And Southwest Airlines will continue to be our country's largest domestic airline in terms of number of passengers carried after the United-Continental merger. Today, in the marketplace of today, international competitors have merged and powerful new entrants continue to gain ground across the globe. Today, the world's largest airlines, measured by revenue, are Lufthansa and Air France-KLM with more than half of the trans-Atlantic capacity and more than two-thirds of the trans-Pacific capacity provided by foreign carriers. United and Continental have taken significant actions to improve our performance, competing across both international and domestic markets, and, at the same time, finding a way to connect small U.S. communities into our combined route network. In this dynamic, a highly competitive environment, these actions have not been enough. Our proposed merger is a very logical and essential next step toward our objective of sustained profitability. Let me be very clear: Without this merger we would not have the $1 billion to $1.2 billion in synergies to improve products and to improve service for our customers, nor would we have the financial means to create better career opportunities for our employees. We would not be as successful a competitor as we need to be to enable economic development across the country. Our merger enhances and strengthens service for those who rely on our network in nearly 148 small communities in metropolitan areas, providing business lifelines and collateral economic benefit to those communities that they otherwise would not have. Carriers compete vigorously on both price and service, and our merger will not in any way change that reality. There is significant low-cost carrier competition at every single one of our hubs, including the 15 nonstop routes on which we overlap. Over the last decade ticket prices across the United States have declined by 30 percent, adjusted for inflation, with fares to small communities also declining. Our expected revenue synergies are derived from better service and expanded network; they are not based on fare increases. This represents excellent value in more destinations for consumers across the country. Consumers will benefit from intense price competition across the industry due to the prevalence today of low-cost carriers, other network carriers, and fair transparency. The competitive landscape has changed, and to be a company that attracts and provides value for customers, shareholders, and employees, our two companies also have to change. We are creating the leading global airline with the platform for a healthy company, a profitable company that can compete in the realities of today's global marketplace, provide job opportunities and provide vital connectivity for the many customers and communities that together we serve. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks you, Mr. Tilton. The Chair now recognizes Mr. Smisek. Mr. Smisek. Good morning. I want to thank the Chairman, the Ranking Member, and the Members of this Committee for the opportunity to be here today. I want to make four basic points. This merger is good for employees, it is good for communities, it is good for consumers and it is good for competition. Let me start with employees. The volatility and instability of the airline industry have had harsh effects on employment. Before 9/11, Continental had over 54,000 employees. Today, despite being the only network carrier to grown since 9/11, we have less than 41,000 employees and we have lost over $1 billion. Before 9/11, United had over 100,000 employees. Today it has about 46,000. After we merge, our employees will be part of a larger, financially stronger, and more geographically diverse carrier. This carrier will be better able to compete in the global marketplace and better able to withstand the external shocks that hit our industry with disappointing regularity. Because of how little we overlap, the merger will have minimal effect on the jobs of our frontline employees. We are committed to continuing our cooperative labor relations and integrating our workforces in a fair and equitable manner, negotiating contracts with our unions that are fair to the employees and fair to the company. United has two union board members, and those union board seats will continue after this merger. The merger will also enable us to continue to provide service to small communities, many of which you represent. The turmoil in our industry has been devastating to many small- and medium-size communities. As you know, low-cost carriers have not and will not serve small communities, as such service is inconsistent with their point-to-point business model that relies largely on local traffic. As a result, over 200 small communities are served only by network carriers. As a merged carrier, we plan to continue service to all the communities we serve, including 148 small communities. The merger will be good for consumers as well. The combined airline will offer consumers an unparalleled global, integrated network, and the industry's leading frequent flyer program. It will have the financial wherewithal to invest in technology, acquire new aircraft, and invest in its people and its product. We will have a young and fuel-efficient fleet, and our new aircraft orders will permit us to retire our older, less fuel- efficient aircraft. Continental brings to the merger its working-together culture of dignity and respect and direct, open, and honest communication. This culture causes an environment where employees enjoy coming to work every day, and as a result, give great customer service. United brings to the merger talented employees who are delivering industry-leading on-time performance. The merger will also enhance competition. Continental and United have highly complementary route networks. Our networks are so complementary that we have only minimal nonstop overlaps, each of which faces significant competition after the merger. Over 85 percent of our nonstop U.S. passengers have a direct low-cost carrier alternative. Moreover, low-cost carriers compete at all of our hubs and at airports adjacent to our hubs. As a result of the robust competition in the U.S., airfares have declined by over 30 percent over the past decade on an inflation-adjusted basis. We also face significant competition from foreign carriers which themselves have merged to create attractive global networks, including Air France-KLM, the Lufthansa group of companies, and British Airways Iberia. The merged Continental- United will enable us as a U.S. carrier to compete effectively against these large foreign carriers. In sum, the merger will create a strong, financially viable airline that can offer good-paying careers and secure retirements to our co-workers; great customer service in an unparalleled network to consumers; and reliable service to communities. The merger will provide us with a platform for sustained profitability and position us to succeed in the highly competitive domestic and global aviation industry, better positioned than either of us could be alone or together in an alliance. Thank you very much. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks you. And let me start with a few questions. In my opening statement, I expressed my concern, and you have heard from both the Members who testified here before us today, and I think every Member of this Subcommittee is concerned about the employees at both airlines, what happens to them. We know what has happened in past mergers. And we have heard your testimony, Mr. Smisek, that there will be minimal effect on the employees. And Mr. Tilton, you state in your written testimony that you maintain that any necessary reductions in frontline employees will come from retirements, normal attrition, and voluntary programs. Can you make a commitment to this Subcommittee that in fact the combined workforce, if the merger does go through, that there will not be layoffs, that people will not lose their jobs as a result of the merger? Mr. Tilton. I can speak, certainly, to the effect of the merger despite all of the external shocks that this industry has experienced that has resulted in the numbers that Jeff shared with you, the decline in employment at his company and the decline in employment at our company. This merger will not have a negative effect on our level of frontline employment; in fact, it should give us the opportunity to grow frontline employment through the growth of the two companies themselves, absolutely. Mr. Costello. Mr. Smisek. Mr. Smisek. Glenn is correct. Now, I will say that because in any merger in headquarters jobs, overhead jobs, there is only one CEO, there is only one CFO, there is only one general counsel, et cetera. There will be reductions in headquarters jobs, as there would in any merger. But the vast majority of jobs at the combined airline are frontline jobs, and because we are so complementary we do not expect any significant effect on employment on frontline jobs. Mr. Costello. In the Delta-Northwest merger in 2008, when they announced the merger, they also indicated that the pilot union had reached an agreement with the union prior to announcing the proposed merger. Is there a reason why that this wasn't done in this proposed merger with the pilot unions of the respective airlines? Mr. Smisek. Sure. Let me speak to that if I could. This merger came together very quickly. We learned that United Airlines, through pressure, of course, was in negotiations to merge with another carrier, and United was the right strategic partner for Continental. So we needed to move swiftly, and we did so over about a 3-week period. That swiftness was such that the processes for reaching agreements during collective bargaining agreements with our pilots or other work groups could not move that swiftly. We are in the process, and you will be hearing from our pilots on the next panel, we are in the process of working together with the pilots' union and hope to reach a joint collective bargaining agreement promptly. It is my strong desire to reach joint collective bargaining agreements as promptly as possible with all work groups. Mr. Costello. It is my understanding that both United and Continental units for the Airlines Pilots Association formed a special committee to discuss potential merger issues in 2008. And you just indicated basically that there wasn't enough time, that this came about quickly. If they formed a committee in 2008, and this proposed merger comes, the announcement, 2 years later, can you explain that? Mr. Tilton. So, Mr. Chairman, it is probably fair to say that the attention of our pilot union, the same as Jeff's, was largely focused in the run-up to Jeff's reengagement with myself on another transaction. So during that period of time we didn't have any further conversations relative to a merger with Continental. And as Jeff appropriately says, we were having a discussion with another company. And our pilots' union had a very distinct point of view about the difficulties associated with that transaction potentially, and they were focused on, as we were, the issues associated with that transaction rather than this one. And that is just a reasonable thing to have had happen. Now, let me be very clear. They also made it clear to me that they preferred this transaction rather than that one, but we weren't preparing for it, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. Some United retirees and other stakeholders have made note of the fact that both of you have indicated that the merger would generate $1.2 billion in synergies. And since United shed its obligation for employee pensions during bankruptcy, they are wondering if, with this merger, if in fact it takes place, is there any hope that employee pensions might be restored with the merged carrier? And they want to know how they are affected. Mr. Tilton. So, Mr. Chairman, you may recall that during the bankruptcy, the action taken relative to defined benefit plans was actually taken by the PPGC itself, and that was at their discretion. Along with the decision to guarantee at the PPGC guaranteed level, the defined benefit plans that the PPGC assumed responsibility for was a condition that a defined benefit plan at United per se not be restored. We replaced those pensions, those defined benefit plans, with defined contribution plans. We find ourselves in a situation where the two companies have slightly different retirement plans. We will work very hard together to make sure that the retirement plans that we put together for all employees are the best that they can be. Mr. Costello. So the short answer to those who lost their pensions with the bankruptcy, how will they be affected? Mr. Tilton. That will be unchanged. For the current retirees, there is no provision in the merger that will affect the retirement plans of current retirees. Mr. Costello. So they should not hold out hope that they in fact will see any of their---- Mr. Tilton. I don't see any reversal of the decision made by the PPGC, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. The Chair now recognizes the Ranking Member, Mr. Petri. Mr. Petri. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. The Chairman of our Full Committee often eloquently says the number one job of our Committee is to ensure, first and foremost, that safety in the traveling public is observed. And we have, as the Chairman pointed out, some representatives here of the Colgan flight from Newark to Buffalo. Sixty billion dollars of losses since 2001 as an industry puts an awful lot of pressure on the whole system. We have been fortunate, we have the most remarkable safety record overall. And I know--or certainly hope you are committed to maintaining that. But it has to be hard and puts a lot of pressure on frontline employees and others, as we saw with the Colgan crew and the difficulties that they had to operate under as individuals flying long hours and so on to make their work schedules and all the rest. And I just wonder if you could comment on any effect this would have or what--we have been having a lot of hearings, we are working on legislation to try to put standards in place. But of course, if the resources aren't there at the end of the day, it is very difficult to maintain standards. And I just wonder if you could talk about any implications this might have for safety or for the traveling public, or for the safety of employees as well. Mr. Smisek. Sure. Safety is always the number one priority of Continental Airlines, and will be the number one priority of the combined United. I would also like to, in honor of the Colgan families who are here today, express my condolences for their loss. That was a tragic accident and it saddened all of us throughout the industry and at Continental. This merger will not affect safety. Safety is important before the merger, safety will be important after the merger. Certainly, having a profitable carrier is something that one would rather have than a carrier that consistently makes losses and is eking out a hand-to-mouth existence. But no matter what level of profitability or loss, we are always focused on safety because that is the most important thing in the aviation business. Mr. Tilton. So, Congressman, let me simply add--echo what Jeff said emphatically: Regardless of how few dollars there may be, dollar one always goes to safety. But that having been said, I think you make an excellent point. I don't think anybody in the room would conclude that an economically fragile and systemically unprofitable industry is a benefit to safety. That can't be good. There is no way that anybody can suggest that that is a good thing for safety and security. So our view is that the more economically robust the new company can be, obviously the more resources we can dedicate to everything that is important to all of our constituents, including safety. We have a relationship with our regional carriers that is a partnership in safety. We share best practice, we conduct safety audits, we hold them to a high standard, and we value the fact that they appreciate that we have available to them at United a standard of safety that is of benefit to them as a learning. So we also are in a position to be able to do that. We will be able to do that more so as a new company. Mr. Petri. One other question, I wonder--or area, I wonder, if you could each expand on. You touched on it briefly. But this is a global industry now, particularly for the major carriers. And we face very robust international competition, many of it in some ways with the more favorable environment because of government support or whatever and less competitive domestic markets and all the rest than we face in the United States. Could you discuss how we can prevent or how we can--what we can do to become--or how this merger will affect our international possibilities for competitiveness? I know we have links and alliances with international competitors, but we don't want those to end up being ultimately international takeovers. We would like to see American, robust, global competition. Mr. Tilton. We couldn't agree with you more, Congressman. And as Jeff said in his testimony in his prepared remarks, the majority of our competition across the Atlantic and across the Pacific is now foreign carrier. And we face competitors who have usurped the traditional positions of the network carriers in this country to become the number one and number two carriers in global markets: Air France-KLM, Lufthansa, who have already gone through significant consolidation. And, of course, now we have the announced BA Iberia. Our view is we have to have the same scope, scale, and economic robustness that they have to be able to offer a competitive response to the consolidation that has taken place across the Pacific, across the Atlantic, and in fact in Latin America as well. And we do think that this company will give us the opportunity to do that. Mr. Smisek. Congressman, that is correct. This is a global business, and we need a global scope and global scale in order to effectively compete. What we are finding is large carriers, especially large foreign carriers, offer a greater scope, a greater scale than we do. And they are picking off our passengers one by one, particularly picking off our business passengers. And in Continental, we are principally a business-oriented airline. We carry all passengers, leisure passengers and business passengers, but where we make our money is business travelers. We orient our product towards that. We orient our service towards that. And these large foreign carriers are being very successful in taking our passengers. And by combining, we will be able to be in a position competitively to compete effectively with them and to continue to compete in the United States, of course, against the robust competition that we find ourselves with today. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the Ranking Member, and now recognizes the gentlelady from Texas, Ms. Johnson. Ms. Johnson of Texas. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I have not taken a position on this merger, but I am very concerned about what most passengers are concerned about, and that is the employees. In your joint testimony you state that customers must have access, will have access to 116 domestic destinations, and that small communities will continue to be served. Ms. Johnson. And that sounds good, but my question is, who will be serving these communities? And do you intend to subcontract out domestic groups that serve our smaller communities. And I would like to have both of you comment on that. Mr. Smisek. Let me address that, Congresswoman. This merger will be very good for our employees. It will provide them with good jobs--careers, and not just jobs; and retirements, secure retirements, and not just hope. It will provide us with the synergies that will permit us to continue to invest in our employees. And I have made it very clear that the wealth creation of this merger, that I intend to share that with all work groups, whether they are unionized or not. In terms of service to communities, we allocate the aircraft that we have at the mainline carrier, the larger jets, depending upon the demand of the routes. And for smaller markets, we often use regional affiliates that we contract with, because those routes cannot bear a large mainline aircraft, a 124-seat or a 160-seat aircraft, but rather a 50- seat aircraft or, in United's case, say, a 70-seat aircraft. And we will continue to do that. But what matters the most is the air service, because those regional carriers have employees, as well. And they will benefit, our regional carrier affiliates will benefit, our own employees will benefit from this merger. Mr. Tilton. So, Congresswoman, said in a similar way, the reason that the low-cost carriers do not serve those communities that you refer to and the 148 that we spoke to is because they don't have the flexibility of access to the aircraft that Jeff mentioned. So 737s won't be flying to Minot, North Dakota, to pick up passengers and connect them to Denver, but our 50-seat regional jets will. And that is how they will get to Denver and then get on to wherever they may be flying, domestically or internationally. And that is the way that the networks work. So, for the most part, you know, the low-cost carriers will not offer service to those communities if we weren't in a position to economically do so. Ms. Johnson. Thank you. Mr. Tilton, I am much more familiar with Continental than I am the other airline, United. And you have built a reputation in the last 10 years of having a culture that is very supportive of passengers, and the employees seem to be quite pleased and happy. When you combine the pilots and complete this merger, what will be your position on the pilots' authority? Will they come together prior? Or do you plan to---- Mr. Tilton. Congresswoman, I have only been in the industry for fewer than 8 years, so some of that relative to 10 years was probably--I was doing something else at the time. But, as Jeff said a moment ago, our pilot leadership is going to be given the opportunity to speak to their views of this combination and the extent to which they perceive it to be of benefit to the pilot profession and the two combined pilot groups. In answer to the questions that we had previously, although it has been a relatively short period of time, Congresswoman, they have had a good bit of opportunity to come together and to discuss their ambitions for the combining of their work groups. And I have to say on behalf of Jeff and myself, they have done a very good bit of work in a very short period of time. And I know they will share that with you when they come up here next. So that is made easier by, Congresswoman, the fact that they are represented by the same union. Across the other spectrum of our work groups, the two companies have different unions representing work groups, such as the flight attendants and ground workers and mechanics. So the first order of business there is going to be a determination, or at least an important order of business there is going to be a determination of which union ultimately is going to represent those professions in the new company. Because the workers are going to have to decide, they are going to have to choose between the different unions. So that is something that is going to have to be sorted out that, obviously, the pilot group is not going to have to attend to, because they are represented by ALPA, both. Ms. Johnson. Thank you. Now, I am basically a passenger, as you know, like the majority of American people in this business. And when I get on an airline, I want to be sure that the pilots are happy and healthy, that the attendants are happy and healthy, and that that plane has been serviced appropriately. Where do you get those planes serviced and maintained? Mr. Smisek. Congresswoman, you and me both. We are most interested in safety and the professionalism of our crews. Our aircraft are serviced by a combination of our own employees and outside contractors. We use GE, we use Rolls Royce, we use Goodrich, we use HAECO, we use AAR. We use a number of very professional companies. We are very focused on not only maintenance for safety but maintenance for dispatch reliability, as well; making sure, when you get on that aircraft, that there isn't a problem, that it gets off on time, because we are a networked business and all those flights connect. So you and I share the same desires. And, as a result, we are very focused on all the things that you have pointed out. Mr. Tilton. Across the United States, Congresswoman, our line maintenance organization is represented by the International Brotherhood of Teamsters. We have a large maintenance base in San Francisco, a significant maintenance base in San Francisco, also represented by that labor union. But, as Jeff said, we also have maintenance partners worldwide. And because, as Jeff has also said, we are a global carrier, we use the opportunity to have our maintenance performed all across the world. Ms. Johnson. Is there code sharing across the world with the U.S.? Mr. Tilton. Do we co-chair across the world? Ms. Johnson. Code share. Mr. Tilton. Yes, we do. Ms. Johnson. Now, you also mentioned in your testimony that there would probably not be any changes, most especially in the front-line employees. What about the back-line? Mr. Smisek. Well, Congresswoman, what you refer to are the headquarters. In any merger, there are efficiencies as a result of job redundancies in headquarters jobs. And we will have the typical efficiencies in any merger when you have two headquarters, two people doing the same job. There will be reductions in jobs both in Houston and Chicago. And there will be jobs, as well, that will move from Houston to Chicago, and there will be jobs that remain in Houston. But the vast majority of jobs will remain as they are today because we are such complementary carriers and we have so little overlap, that the front-line employees are largely unaffected. And the number of headquarters employees who are affected, although we have not determined the precise number at this time because we are early in the process of integration planning, that will be a relatively small number as measured against the total number of employees that the combined carrier will have. Ms. Johnson. Will you use retirement? Or how would you handle the people you have to cut? Mr. Smisek. We always prefer if we have employees who retire or through attrition or through voluntary programs. And, also, for employees whose jobs are affected, we will assist them in finding other jobs, hold job fairs, assist them in all ways we can for them to find other employment. Ms. Johnson. Thank you. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentlelady and now recognizes the gentleman from New Jersey, Mr. LoBiondo. Mr. LoBiondo. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, for holding this hearing. And, Mr. Tilton and Mr. Smisek, thank you for being here, as well as the other panelists. I want to say at the outset that I support this merger in the strongest of possible terms. I think that my colleagues, once they have the opportunity to review all the facts and the situation, will also agree with me. The merger of these two carriers will create a much stronger, much more sustainable airline that will be better able to survive in a struggling economy and succeed in an increasingly competitive market. It will enable dramatically needed new investment and products and services, and result in much more efficient flight operations to more destinations-- something that I don't think anyone can dispute and something that we all want to see. And, finally, it will vastly improve passenger convenience. I share the concern of some of my colleagues about the impact of the mergers on the workforce. Mr. Tilton, Mr. Smisek, I think you have answered that adequately and put it very well. But with little overlap, there should only be a negligible impact on this, as you have said. The merger will have a tremendous benefit in my State, and I think that is great. But, more importantly, I think it will have a tremendous benefit for aviation in the United States of America, which has been under assault, as we have heard the numbers of declining employees, since September 11th. And what do we want to see? Do we want to see our airlines go under while British and Iberia and KLM and all the rest of them suck up our passengers and people that could possibly work for us? Do we want to see our employees go by the wayside so foreign airlines can hire more of their people? And I think that is exactly what we are facing if we don't understand the consequences of this. So, while it will have a big impact on New Jersey, the bigger, more important, beneficial impact will be on the United States of America. It will open up many more destinations around the world and, I think, will allow for all kinds of economic growth and job opportunities. I have 23 letters from New Jersey businesses and organizations in support of the merger. And, Mr. Chairman, I ask unanimous consent that these letters be made a part of the record. Mr. Costello. Without objection. Mr. LoBiondo. I thank you. [The information follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. LoBiondo. And, Mr. Smisek, you talked about this, as did Mr. Tilton, but I would like you to touch on it a little bit more, about the ability of Continental to, on its own, effectively compete against large, combined European carriers. And if this merger were not to take place, what are those implications for you? Mr. Smisek. Congressman, we are very proud at Continental of the carrier that we have created. Our culture has permitted us to work together and provide great customer service and a great product for our customers. However, we are simply too small to compete effectively on the global stage that we find ourselves. We are finding greater and greater difficulty attracting and retaining our business customers and our other customers. We are facing increasing competition, not only here in the United States but, as you mentioned, abroad, with powerful foreign competitors who are well-financed, sometimes subsidized by governments, and who are profitable and can invest in their products and services, outstripping our own. It is very important for us to merge with United and put ourselves in a position jointly to be able to compete effectively on the global stage. At Continental, although I am very proud of Continental, I think we have done a very good job, candidly, Congressman, we are eking out a hand-to-mouth existence. And that is not a future that I want for my employees, it is not a future that I want for my customers, it is not a future I want for the communities we serve, it is not a future I want for aviation in the United States. Mr. LoBiondo. Thank you for that answer. In closing, Mr. Chairman, I think it is right to be asking all the tough questions from the Committee Members, those who may be concerned. But I think if we have blinders on and are very shortsighted about the opportunity that we have here to create a stronger company, protecting jobs, protecting safety, keeping jobs here, that some future aviation Subcommittee is going to come back in the future and look at why United and Continental, if a merger were declined, had to witness some great demise. And I don't think that is an overstatement, based on what has happened in the aviation industry. I thank you both for being here. And I urge my colleagues to look at the positive benefit that this is going to create. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman and now recognizes the distinguished Chairman of full Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, Chairman Oberstar. Mr. Oberstar. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for a contrasting view to that of my dear friend from New Jersey. The airways are the common heritage of all Americans. They are not the private estate of corporations engaged in airway service, in passenger service. The purpose of the deregulation act of 1978--and I was in this room, where it was voted on--was not to consolidate aviation but to expand competition, to take government out of the business of determining rates and market entry. In the first 5 years after deregulation, there were 22 new entrants into airline competition. But by the end of 8 years, there were only five of those new entrants left. Ten years, 12 years later, there was only one. And it, too, has been absorbed by U.S. Airways. What we saw just recently was a further step in that consolidation, when the previous Justice Department looked the other way, sort of brushed aside my objections that approval of Delta at Northwest would result in a cascade of mergers. That has happened. You have proposed one. You did not object to Delta-Northwest because you were waiting in line with your own hat in hand. The third will be American Airlines and a domestic partner. And the result will be, with your international co-chairing partners, three global mega carriers that will dominate the world airways. There will be little choice for passengers, little choice for cities, little choice for competition. You will concentrate on long-haul service, which you have already said and which I have pointed out in my letter to the Justice Department. I will quote from my letter, that, ``The networks of United and Continental overlap on 13 routes between some of America's largest markets: the New York Metropolitan area; Washington, D.C.; San Francisco; Los Angeles; Denver; Houston; Chicago; and Cleveland, among others. Two carriers also compete in a number of international markets. That competition will be gone.'' The Justice Department expressed its concerns over reduction in competition between United and Continental. Last year, you applied for antitrust immunity to collaborate on service and fares in a large number of international markets. The Justice Department's comments on the application concluded that, ``Fares are likely to increase by roughly 15 percent on routes where the number of nonstop competitors decreases from two to one and roughly 6 percent on routes where the number of nonstop competitors decreases from three to two. Competition will be significantly diminished in limited-entry markets, such as China, where United and Continental today present the best, and in some cases the only, service alternatives. Domestic competition between United and Continental may also be affected.'' The purpose of deregulation was not to assure that you have the gravitas in this or that market, but that there be competition. And, instead, what has happened is sheer avoidance, manic avoidance of competition. You have said it already in your testimony: There is too much capacity in this market. You guys hate competition. You want to be the competitor who dominates the market, each one of you, not just you-- Northwest, Delta, American, all the rest. I have seen it over all the years of deregulation. This is a blow to small-market service. It is a blow to air travelers. It is going to result in increase in fares and costs. And the purpose of deregulation is not to line the pockets of the big carriers but to give Americans more choices, lower cost, more opportunities. And what we have seen with the consolidation in the airline business is less of everything: less competition, higher fares, less service, $4 billion paid in baggage fares last year, for goodness sake. This is a terrible injustice to the purpose of the deregulation act, and I will continue to vigorously oppose it. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. I thank the Chairman for his comments and remarks, and I think he made his position very clear. The Chair now recognizes the gentleman from North Carolina, Mr. Coble. Mr. Coble. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And thank you, gentlemen, for being with us. Let me generously lace my first question with local interests back home. I represent the area that includes the Piedmont Triad International Airport, both having service provided by Delta and Continental. My question is, gentlemen, how will this merger affect airports that have seen a decrease in passenger service as a result of the current dismal economy? And, if approved, would this merger provide the opportunity for communities such as the one I represent to attract additional service? Mr. Tilton. Congressman, as Jeff and I have both said, we serve 148 small communities, and those 148 small communities have already made their case for service. As the economy improves, both of us are always mindful of opportunities that new markets might provide. And here very recently, certainly speaking on behalf of United, we have commenced service to small communities that we had not previously served. We are mindful, actually, of something quite different from what Mr. Oberstar mentioned a moment ago. Low-cost carriers are actually lowering their sites for new market entry to markets that previously may have been right on the margin of interest to them. So we are now finding ourselves in markets such as Greenville, South Carolina, which is not a trivial market but not a market that qualify as hub status. We are finding that those markets are now beginning to be competed vigorously, as well. So, as the economy improves, I think markets such as that you represent---- Mr. Coble. Greensboro, North Carolina. Mr. Tilton. --Greensboro, North Carolina, are going to find themselves the object of service and opportunities from both of our companies, and certainly from the merged company. Mr. Coble. Good. I thank you for that. Mr. Tilton. You bet. Mr. Coble. And you concur, I presume? Mr. Smisek. I do. We are always responsive to market demand, but, certainly, markets in all communities are better served by healthy carriers that have a future than carriers that are eking out hand-to-mouth existence. Mr. Coble. Thank you for that. Gentlemen, has the development of the three international airline global alliances over the past 15 years had a positive or a negative impact on competition, pricing, and customer service? And is it your opinion that--well, strike that. Let me ask you a different way. Are three alliances enough or sufficient to ensure future competition? Mr. Tilton. As one of the founding members of the Star Alliance, I think that the alliances certainly serve the purpose of giving consumers the opportunity to fly across the globe with a multitude of different carriers who happen to belong to the same alliance, but able to do so seamlessly on the basis of the entry of one carrier's ticketing into that alliance. So United can be your entry into the Star Alliance, and a businessperson can make a multi-segment journey across the world and travel on three of our partner carriers, return to their place of business. I think that has been great for business. I think it has been good for business productivity. I think it has been good for consumers. Whether or not ultimately there are going to be three I think goes back to Jeff's point that it is a very, very dynamic market and we see things constantly changing. One of the phenomena that we are seeing here recently, Congressman, is decisions made by companies such as Jeff's, by Continental, to actually accept an invitation from United to depart an alliance where Continental was perceived to be a small participant in that alliance and come to the Star Alliance. And 2 years ago, we made that invitation to Continental. Continental accepted the invitation, left SkyTeam and came to Star, to the benefit of Star. But I think alliances are going to continue to be intrinsically competitive themselves, trying to bring the best carriers into the alliances. Mr. Coble. I thank you for that. Mr. Smisek, you concur? Mr. Smisek. I do. Alliances have been very good. For my business, entry into Star has been good. Recognize that those within the alliances, those are alliances of competitors. We compete with each other even though we are inside an alliance. The alliance assists us in offering destinations on a single ticket through carriage of baggage that we ourselves could not offer. They can be highly beneficial. For example, we recently announced nonstop service from Houston to Auckland in New Zealand. We did that in a couple of contexts: one, Star Alliance, because their New Zealand is a member of the Star Alliance and we are going into a hub even though we compete with Air New Zealand; and, secondly, the traffic flows that we expect from our merger gave us the confidence to launch that nonstop route, which will be on a new 787 Boeing aircraft manufactured here in the United States. Mr. Coble. I thank you gentlemen. Mr. Chairman, I was going ask about how it would affect the employees of each company, but I think that has been adequately addressed. And I yield back. Thank you for being with us, gentlemen. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman and now recognizes the gentlelady from Hawaii, Mrs. Hirono. Ms. Hirono. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. This Committee is particularly concerned about the impact of this merger on employees, on customers, and on competition. And on the issue of competition, of course it is the Department of Justice that has the major responsibility to determine in a very complicated antitrust analysis as to the impact of this on lowering of competition. How long do you think the DOJ's review will be, regarding your proposed merger? Mr. Smisek. Congresswoman, we expect a very professional and very thorough review from the Department of Justice, as one would expect. They are a very professional organization. We are being responsive to all of their requests for information. And we would anticipate to be in a position to close this merger by year end. Ms. Hirono. Considering that this is going to be one of the largest aviation mergers ever and the fact that when Continental came in and requested an antitrust exemption and apparently the Department of Justice had some concerns about that, do you have any concerns about their approving this kind of a large merger? Mr. Smisek. Well, Congresswoman, I can't speak to the Department of Justice's thought processes with regard to our application for antitrust immunity for the Atlantic Plus-Plus joint venture, which is, I believe, what you are referring to. But I will recognize that joint ventures deliver some degree of revenue benefits, some degree of cost savings, but not the efficiencies of a merger. And, therefore, from the Department of Justice's perspective, I would imagine that the concern there had to do with the difference between a joint venture and a merger, where you can obtain significant efficiencies and consumer benefits from a merger that are not obtainable from a joint venture. Ms. Hirono. Well, that leads me to my next question, which is that, when Continental came in for their antitrust exemption, the testimony was that antitrust immunity would provide much of the benefit of a merger without the labor integration and financial risk. So that was your testimony only a year ago. By ``your,'' I mean your company. So what changed, that suddenly you are saying, well, all of these risks aren't there? Mr. Smisek. No, ma'am. The risks are there, Congresswoman. The risks are there, without question. The risks are there in any merger. The joint venture and our entry into Star Alliance has been very good for Continental and has provided additional revenue. It has been necessary but not sufficient. We have continued to lose money and we have continued to be in a position of being concerned about our future. The merger will add significant revenue benefits, principally from our ability to improve the business mix onboard our aircraft. There is nothing in the merger synergies that is conditioned on fare increases, but rather improving the business mix, creating a network that is more attractive to business travelers and improving the mix of business travelers onboard our aircraft, and also optimizing our two fleets across the 10 hubs that we will have. So the merger is additive to a joint venture. We were hoping that Star Alliance would be sufficient to return us to profitability. It clearly is not. Last year, we lost $282 million, after having lost money the year before that. And since 9/11, we have lost a billion dollars. That is not a future I want for my coworkers. Ms. Hirono. Well, I appreciate the fact that both of you have testified on the benefits of this kind of a merger. And before I continue, I would like to ask the Chair's permission to submit for the record four letters from Hawaii supporting this merger, including one from the Governor of the State of Hawaii. Mr. Costello. Without objection. [The information follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Ms. Hirono. I personally have not made a decision regarding this merger. I do expect that the Department of Justice will be very, very vigilant in its antitrust analysis. I am reading the testimony of the American Antitrust Institute, and they pose a very interesting possibility. And that is that this Committee should hold some hearings, retrospective hearings, on the Delta-Northwest merger. Because when that merger was brought to this Committee, there were various kinds of positive impacts, and we are not sure--I am not sure whether these impacts have been realized. So their suggestion is that we have such hearings and then, perhaps, to hold off on going forward with this merger or supporting this merger until we can find out what the Delta- Northwest merger resulted in. Do you have any comments about that kind of a suggestion? Mr. Tilton. You know, I do, Congresswoman. I think every transaction that you are asked to consider is considered in the context of a particular time and place and in a particular economic reality of the moment. If you think about the concern, the appropriate concern of all the Members who have asked us about the effect here of a proposal that Jeff and I make that will bring some measure of economic stability to the new company, as the new company has to confront the extraordinary--the extraordinary--economic shocks that this industry has had to confront, either post- deregulation or post-9/11, making a commitment in the context of an environment that is certain to change within 30 days of your making any such commitment is a challenging proposition. What Jeff and I are saying is that this combination will be positive for consumers. It will be positive for communities. It will be positive for employees. It will be positive for shareholders. What Jeff and I cannot tell you is what the next unexpected event might be and what the next economic shock might be and how our companies or the new company will respond to that. And making no representations here, either Jeff or myself or our colleagues at Delta, you would have to go over and say, what else changed from the point that they were before you? Ms. Hirono. Mr. Chairman, I know my time is up, but as to that, yes, we realize that circumstances change, and that is why your coming and reassuring us that everything will be positive--I mean, circumstances can change. And I think that is where our concerns rise. Thank you. Mr. Tilton. And my point is, we will be better able to meet those circumstances with this combination than we otherwise would. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentlelady and now recognizes the gentleman from Tennessee, Mr. Duncan. Mr. Duncan. Well, thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you for calling this hearing on this very important matter. I am sorry that I didn't get to hear your earlier testimony. I was in another Committee. But I think almost everyone agrees that the country would be better off with more airlines instead of fewer and more competition instead of less. On the other hand, if the refusal to grant this merger is going to result in one or both of these airlines going out of business, then that would certainly not be a good thing either. But I have these concerns. We have two briefing papers. One from the majority says, ``Concerns have been raised that a merger of United and Continental could result in substantial increases in fares.'' And the minority briefing says, ``The Department of Justice's most recent antitrust analysis, with the support of empirical data, economic studies, and precedent, generally assumed that air fares increased by approximately 15 percent in markets where the number of nonstop competitors decreases from two to one.'' Knoxville, where I am from, is fortunate to have probably more airlines than any city anywhere close to our size, larger or smaller. Though we don't have any low-cost carriers, so- called low-cost carriers, so we get some extremely high prices, particularly on the flights from Knoxville to Washington. And I remember a few years ago, when I Chaired this Subcommittee, we had a hearing in Wichita, and the staff told me later that it cost $1,000 for me to fly round-trip from Knoxville to Wichita coach. And that same weekend in The Washington Post they had had an advertisement advertising a round-trip ticket to Madrid, Spain, and two nights in a hotel for $389. And so, you know, people have a hard time understanding how all these fares come about. And I was just wonder, maybe you have already given some assurances about these fares, but I would like to hear what you have to say about the lack of competition in some of these smaller or medium-size cities. But, also, several years ago, I was told that each one- penny increase in jet fuel or aviation fuel costs the aviation industry as a whole $200 million. Now, many people feel that there is going to be such restrictions put on the offshore oil production that the price of fuel is going to go way up. And I am wondering, have you all given that any consideration? And what effect would a doubling of jet fuel or aviation fuel have on your companies? Mr. Tilton. It is a rather multi-part question, I guess. Mr. Duncan. Yes, sir. Mr. Tilton. I will take the back end. A dramatic escalation in the price of fuel would likely eliminate the prospect of economic recovery for the industry this year, which, as advertised now, and we agree, as the incipient economic recovery in our markets, we are seeing the return of business travelers. But were that to happen, it would have such a collateral effect on overall GDP that, in all probability, it will put the cork in the bottle of economic recovery in business travel, and we could be back into one of the challenges that I mentioned to your colleague a moment ago that we systemically face that only stronger economic enterprises can actually survive. So that would be a very bad thing, irrespective of my hedge book and my colleagues' hedge book, where we have tried to lock in a price that even by historic standards is a high price. I mean, if our average hedge price is a $70 barrel of crude oil, that is not an inexpensive consideration for that most important cost input. You know, one way of thinking about that is, those bags that we heard so much reference to here a little while ago weighing, let's say for discussion's sake, 50 pounds apiece, they consume a tremendous amount of jet fuel. And the idea that they should be transported for free when they are transporting that amount of jet fuel is debatable. Mr. Smisek. We spend more on fuel at Continental than we do for our employees worldwide, our airplanes worldwide, our facilities worldwide. So a doubling of jet fuel would obviously be devastating to Continental and to the entire industry. As to pricing, first, let me be clear that this merger is not predicated on fare increases. The synergies are not predicated on fare increases. The merger is not predicated on capacity reductions. This is a brutally competitive industry, particularly in the United States, where low-cost carriers have essentially 40 percent of the market and continue to grow. Air fares have dropped 30 percent over the past decade on an inflation-adjusted basis. We have lost, over at Continental, over a billion dollars since 9/11. So, certainly, we are currently charging amounts that are clearly below our costs. We need to change the business mix at Continental, bring more business travelers into our system, who do pay a higher price because they consume inventory that we hold open until the very last moment, and we run the risk of that inventory spoiling--that is, the aircraft taking off without someone in that seat. And that is an expensive risk for us to take, and, therefore, the business traveler who books at the last minute and wants to be able to change at the last minute and take a later flight or an earlier flight pays for that privilege, compared to the leisure travelers who book far earlier than that and pay a much lower fare. Because we, as a company, are taking a much less business risk with respect to those people than we are with holding the seats out until the last. But I can assure you, this is a very competitive business. We do not have a single market in the United States where we overlap. And we only overlap on 15. There is not a single market where the number of competitors is reduced to just one. So that is not going to occur in this merger. Mr. Duncan. All right. Well, thank you very much. There is not an easy business out there, but I think your business has to be one of the most difficult in the world, with so much that is beyond your control--the natural resource problem, the weather problem, and so forth. But thank you very much. Mr. Lipinski. [Presiding.] Thank you, Mr. Duncan. The Chair will now recognize himself for 5 minutes. As Chicagoland's only Member of this Committee, a top priority of mine is working to enhance and improve the region's transportation network. And since Chicago is the transportation hub for the Nation, what is good for Chicago in many ways is good for the Nation. So I believe that this merger, if implemented correctly, will benefit the Chicago region. In addition, it has the potential to be good for O'Hare Airport and the O'Hare Modernization Program, which is definitely, without question, good for our Nation's air traffic. However, there are a number of critical issues that need to be examined as this process moves forward. For instance, we clearly need to consider the merger's impact on consumers, including how the proposal would impact pricing and service. Chairman Oberstar carefully went through these issues, and I am sure that we will hear more about that. And we have spoken a little bit--you have provided in your testimony some answers on that. We also need to look at the impact the merger would have on jobs, especially with respect to job loss and to benefits. And, finally, we also need to make sure, I believe, that there is a commitment by the new United, the merged airline, to projects that increase system capacity, especially the O'Hare Modernization Program. So I want to start on that last point. Right now, OMP, O'Hare Modernization Program, most critically would provide parallel runways and will reduce delays by 75 percent at O'Hare. Two runways have already been completed. One runway project is currently being worked on. And there are three more runway projects remaining to be done. So I want to ask Mr. Tilton, are you committed, if this merger goes through with this new airline, or are you committed in general, to moving this critical program forward, specifically with respect to the three remaining runway projects at O'Hare? Mr. Tilton. Congressman, as you know, we have been supporters from the beginning of the modernization and the expansion of O'Hare. We are supportive of the runway development, the two that have been developed and the additional runway capacity. It goes significantly to something that Jeff mentioned in his remarks, that we are indeed and have been for quite some time the number-one on-time carrier, network carrier in the United States. Much of that has been enabled, Congressman, by the modernization and the development of those new runways at O'Hare. Before we get to, perhaps, the follow-on question, there are issues associated with the modernization of O'Hare that go to facilities that we think are perhaps no longer necessary. And those are terminal facilities and the expansion of terminal facilities in the current economy. But as you also know, we are at the table negotiating those issues with Mayor Daley and with Ms. Andolino. And I think that those discussions are going to be constructive and good for Chicago and good for O'Hare. Mr. Lipinski. Well, you mentioned the terminal project, but are you---- Mr. Tilton. Yes. Mr. Lipinski. --committed to the three runway projects when United---- Mr. Tilton. Yes. United, given the current economic circumstances we face, thinks those runways are justified. Mr. Lipinski. The other question that I wanted to get to is the impact on employees. Because, certainly, you understand the concern with the uncertainty that employees face at United and Continental. We have seen other mergers, and sometimes the impact on the employees certainly has not been what was expected; it has been detrimental to the employees. United's bankruptcy, the employees certainly paid a high price in that for allowing United to continue to operate. I want to focus specifically here on pensions, because I understand--and this has been touched on a little bit already-- that the defined benefit plans no longer could exist at United Airlines after the bankruptcy. Now, some Continental employees do have defined benefit plans. There are going to be problems with putting all of the employees together in a merged airline. Will it be possible for the Continental employees to keep their defined benefit plans, or is this forbidden by the bankruptcy settlement? Mr. Smisek. Congressman, let me speak to that. Yes, Continental's defined benefit plans will continue after the merger. And we have received confirmation from the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation to that effect. As we go forward, as we negotiate joint collective bargaining agreements with each of our collectively bargained units, we will obviously be discussing a broad range of wage and benefit items, including the form of their pensions and amounts of pensions. Those defined benefit plans could change. For example, our own pilots union, in negotiations, determined to freeze their plan and go to a defined contribution plan, which we have been funding since that was negotiated. Last year, we at Continental lost $282 million, but nonetheless we put $283 million into our employees' retirement plans. Mr. Lipinski. Does this mean, then, that there is a possibility that United--if the merger goes through, former United and former Continental employees now in the merged airline will have different pension plans? I just want a better understanding of what this will mean. Mr. Tilton. Well, it does, Congressman. If you think about it--we were saying earlier on, for example, our IAM-represented employees have a multi-employer plan that it is supported by the IAM. It was a product of the negotiations during the bankruptcy. The IAM represents employees at both companies. How the employees choose to be represented, just using their multi-employer plan as an example, in a course of their representation choices will determine whether or not more or fewer employees are given the opportunity to be beneficiaries of that plan. But that is a function of, at the end of the day, which union represents which employees at the end of the decisions made by the employees on that matter. So there are significant differences across the two employee groups. And the process, that will be made transparent to employees when they make it their selections. Mr. Lipinski. Well, I certainly believe, as we move forward with this in consideration of the merger, that this is going to be a critical piece of it. The more things, if possible, that can be worked out with the employees, the better off we will be and I think the, certainly, greater likelihood of this merger moving forward. But I think that is something that we have to continue to keep our eye on. With that, the Chair will now recognize--the gentleman from Arkansas is not there. We will go back over to the Democratic side here. The Chair will recognize the Chair of the Surface Transportation Subcommittee, Mr. DeFazio. Mr. DeFazio. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Gentlemen, I will read you two quick statements, and then you tell me how this merger I think is in reaction to this, but how it is going to solve this problem. Alfred Kahn: ``I must concede the industry has demonstrated more severe and chronic susceptibility to destructive competition than I, along with other enthusiastic proponents of deregulation, was prepared to concede or predict.'' And then former American Airlines CEO Robert Crandall: ``Market-based approaches alone have not and will not produce the aviation system our country needs and that some form of government intervention is required.'' I think your merger reflects that. Is this going to solve the problem once and for all of this cutthroat, deregulated, race-to-the-bottom industry? Mr. Smisek. Congressman, I am not sure it will solve all the ills of the aviation industry. I don't hold it to such a high standard. What we are trying to do is to create an entity that can be profitable, that can withstand the external shocks, that can offer a future and some stability to our employees, that can reverse the trend of the employment loss that this industry has suffered, particularly since 9/11. Mr. DeFazio. OK. Well, that is good. Quick, Mr. Tilton, because I have several other questions. Mr. Tilton. Congressman, I don't think that the merger is going to be able to resolve many of the structural issues that lead to the cutthroat competition that you mention, such as the absence of apparent barrier to entry that allows a significant number of new entrants to come into the business and fail repeatedly but, in the process of so doing, destroy tremendous value. And they destroy value collaterally--employee value, shareholder value, and even, for that matter, community value, because they come and they go. Mr. DeFazio. OK. So there might be something in the statement by Bob Crandall, some form of government intervention might be required. And I guess that gets to my second point--I am sorry to interrupt, but I have very little time--Mr. Smisek, you said safety would not be affected. And, actually, I didn't take that as positively as you might think, because I would hope it would be. And I would reference both the chairs of your Master Executive Council, when they are talking about, ``Passengers do not want air travel that is provided by the lowest bidder. They want and deserve safe and reliable transportation provided by the network carrier of their choice.'' That was Captain Jay Pierce. And then, ``When a passenger buys a ticket from United Airlines, they deserve to have United pilots at the controls. This merger presents the opportunity to put an end to management's preoccupation with outsourcing.'' That was Captain Wendy Morse. Will this merger lead to any reduction in outsourcing or any improvement in who you contract with? Mr. Tilton. Congressman, we don't really perceive at United that the regional carriers that are our partners and are really the entry level into the industry for coworkers of our employees as being outsourcing. You know, United is not going to fly an A319 or a 320 to Minot, North Dakota, to collect those passengers---- Mr. DeFazio. Right. But we are paying someone $18,000, $20,000 a year with a low number of hours to be the pilot. I mean, we tried to deal with that through government intervention in the FAA bill and in the safety bill. Mr. Tilton. Right. Right. All I am saying---- Mr. DeFazio. You are being pulled down by people who are-- you may well require a higher standard, but you have to compete with these---- Mr. Tilton. Well, and, as I said, Congressman--I know you are in a hurry--as I said, we spend a lot of time talking to our regional partners about the very things that you just mentioned a moment ago, and that is taking our safety practices, sharing them with them, and expecting them to abide by them. Mr. DeFazio. OK. Mr. Smisek, would we see, perhaps, we wouldn't go to the lowest bidder for outsourcing in the future and require a higher standard, or are we going to have to wait until we pass legislation to require more hours, more experience, et cetera? Mr. Smisek. We support all improvements in safety in this business. Safety is incredibly important, as you know. However, the combined carrier will not be flying mainline aircraft into small cities---- Mr. DeFazio. No, I understand. Mr. Smisek. --because demand won't be there. So that service will always be provided by third parties. Mr. DeFazio. Well, you could operate a subsidiary that provided that service, or you can contract--there are different levels of contracting. Mr. Smisek. Sure, sure. I appreciate that. But our practice at Continental and our practice at United and our practice as a combined carrier would be to use third parties to do that. But we are very committed to safety for ourselves, for our regional carriers. And we, like United, share best practices with them. Mr. DeFazio. OK. Well, I am out of time, Mr. Chairman, but I just want to say I think there are a lot of people out there trying to run airlines well and safely and with respect for their employees, but what we have seen is this pattern of destructive competition. And it may be a transient entrant who, you know, goes away, or it may be other people who persevere longer but they drag down the standards. And I think the industry should wholly support setting a much higher floor that everybody has to meet, and then there is no competitive disadvantage among any of the industry for any level of service out there. And I hope you would both support that. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. DeFazio. Congressman Boswell has been called away, but he asked me to express his serious concerns that contractual arrangements with pilots, flight attendants, and other labor groups be worked out in fairness and completely fulfilled. At this point, the Chair will recognize the gentleman from Ohio, Mr. Boccieri. Mr. Boccieri. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you both, gentlemen, for your testimony today. While I may not be as long in tooth as some of the Members here in the Committee who have experienced deregulation and such, I know that, from my experience in the State legislature and past airline mergers that have affected Ohio, to put it mildly, it has not gone well. Dayton, Columbus, Wilmington, Cincinnati have all experienced significant service and job loss, and a movement, if not complete outsourcing, of these jobs. And I remain concerned, while I have not taken a position on this, I remain concerned that this business model that is now being proposed would put added strain on the hub in Cleveland, especially after so many taxpayer dollars have been funded to expand the facility, as well as corporate investment. But I remain concerned about that. I want to just hone in on one thing. I am really concerned, and I have not been convinced by the testimony thus far, that by reducing the number of competitors--both of you are competitors currently--that we are going to increase competition. And we may be setting up a scenario of too big to fail. Can you give a brief comment to that? Mr. Smisek. Certainly, Congressman. I think what we are creating is a carrier not too big to fail but big enough to succeed. We compete on a global scale. We compete with large foreign airlines. We compete with large domestic airlines, for example like Delta or American. And we are putting ourselves in a position through this merger to be able to successfully compete. I do not believe that competition is reduced by this merger because this is a brutally competitive industry as it is. It is today. It will be after this merger. There are essentially no barriers to entry; there are high barriers to exit. This industry does not earn anything on its invested capital. We have lost billions of dollars. Mr. Boccieri. Sure. Can you name one legacy carrier outside of bankruptcy that have merged where they have actually produced lower costs, lower operating costs, and have not had a significant reduction. Mr. Smisek. Well, let me speak to what Delta Airlines--and we will leave the capacity reduction aside for the moment, because that, I believe, was caused by the global recession, not by the merger. But you will need to speak directly to Delta executives about that. But they have been on the public record saying that they believe that the synergies from their merger will be approximately double what they anticipated. And that gives me great hope at Continental. I am not saying we will be able to deliver that in this merger, but so far what they are claiming publicly is their merger has been very successful, both in cost efficiencies and in revenue generation. Mr. Boccieri. Hubert Horan provided testimony here, and I just want to read to you because I think it is pretty prescient. He said, ``United's own public statements acknowledge that the merger will not reduce costs to disadvantaged versus low-cost carriers or more efficient legacy competitors, and that the industry does have financial problems, but those problems will not be solved by suspending antitrust laws so business strategies that have moved into obsolescence can exercise artificial market power.'' Again, he is suggesting that the costs are not going to be reduced and that this is going to put an added strain on you to cut corners down the line. How do you respond to that? Mr. Tilton. By its very nature, Congressman, it is sort of a contradictory statement. We have already established that there are going to be the elimination of overhead redundancies that are clearly going to reduce cost. So, on the one hand, we have a question as to, are you going to be sympathetic to the concerns of employees whose jobs are going to be eliminated because there is only going to be one headquarters? On the other hand, we have a statement that says that is going to be insufficient in the context of cost reduction. Whether or not the network hub-and-spoke model is obsolete and redundant is yet to be established. And creating a company that is going to have the hub structure that we have and the ability to optimize the hub structure that we are going to create from Newark to Washington to Cleveland to Houston to Chicago to Denver to San Francisco and to Los Angeles, to connect small communities into those hubs, is really the premise upon which we think we are going to succeed. Mr. Boccieri. Sure. Mr. Tilton. But if somebody thinks that the business model has failed, it actually doesn't go to the point of the proposition of the merger. Mr. Boccieri. Well, the big money is where the international carriers are shuttling folks back from vacations over in Europe. Mr. Tilton. Right. Mr. Boccieri. But, more specifically to your point, Mr. Tilton, we talked about outsourcing jobs, and safety is a big issue for me, after having lived through testimony from the Colgan crash here, where the pilot, under the NTSB after- actions report, showed that they weren't even trained in their own safety equipment that that airplane was required to have for saving the day. And right now we have 1,400 pilots furloughed by United, but you are flying routes from Washington, D.C., to Spain with foreign pilots. Can you guarantee me that those pilots are trained, educated, and have the same experience level, as well as the other air crew members that are aboard that aircraft, that our own domestic air carriers have? Mr. Tilton. That relationship with Aer Lingus is analogous to our offering our code on Aer Lingus as a code share partner, if one thinks about it, and telling a passenger, ``You can book on United, but you will fly on Aer Lingus,'' or, ``You can book on United, sir, but you will fly on Lufthansa,'' or, ``You can book on United, but you will fly on US Air.'' And that is a function of the reciprocal agreements that this industry has. It is a part of the joint venture that we have across the Atlantic with four participants in it: Air Canada, Lufthansa, Continental, and United. We share that. I take for a given that my Aer Lingus partner is as committed to safety as I am. And with Aer Lingus being the operator of that flight and United being the marketer, it is a relationship that is symbiotic between the two of us, and I ensure that they are. Mr. Boccieri. Well, I am glad you share that, but I don't know if I share that, and I don't know if many other pilots who---- Mr. Tilton. Well, but think of the interrelationships that we have across the business, where all of that code is shared. Mr. Boccieri. I am OK with that, but, you know, if you asked your customers if they would prefer an American pilot versus an international pilot flying them from the United States over to Europe--because when you fly back from Europe, those are mainly American pilots, correct? Mr. Tilton. No, sir. If they are flying on Lufthansa, they are German pilots. If they are flying on BA, they are British pilots. If they are flying on ANA, they are Japanese pilots. Mr. Boccieri. Are Aer Lingus pilots United pilots? Mr. Tilton. No, they are Aer Lingus pilots. Mr. Boccieri. OK. That is my point. Thank you, sir. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Boccieri. The Chair now recognizes the gentleman from California Mr. Garamendi. Mr. Garamendi. Thank you for the testimony today. And also let me congratulate you on a new way to describe job loss as synergies. Very unique. Your PR folks should be congratulated. I do have some questions that are specific to safety. The San Francisco maintenance facility was discussed earlier today. It is my understanding that you are, in fact, at United moving jobs away from that maintenance facility to China, Singapore and the Philippines; is that correct? Mr. Tilton. So as I said in my response to a prior question, we have long had---- Mr. Garamendi. No, no. Get directly to answer this. Are you moving jobs out of San Francisco to foreign countries for maintenance purposes? Mr. Tilton. We have overseas maintenance facilities that do maintenance work for the company and have for quite some time. Mr. Garamendi. You did not answer my question. Please do so. Mr. Tilton. There are no plans to move any further jobs out of San Francisco, if that is your question. Mr. Garamendi. My question is very simple. Are you moving jobs out of San Francisco to foreign facilities, yes or no; and if so, how many? Mr. Tilton. No, we are not moving jobs out of San Francisco today to foreign facilities. Mr. Garamendi. Did you do so yesterday? Mr. Tilton. Yes. Mr. Garamendi. How many? Mr. Tilton. We have a maintenance facility in Beijing that is the maintenance facility for our 777 facility--for our 777 fleet, and it is a joint venture between Lufthansa and Air China. Mr. Garamendi. Does the FAA regularly inspect that facility? Mr. Tilton. That is FAA's responsibility without a doubt. Mr. Garamendi. That is not the answer to my--that is not the question I asked. Mr. Tilton. Well, that is a question better posed to the FAA. Mr. Garamendi. It is posed to you because it is your responsibility. Mr. Tilton. Well, my view is the FAA fulfills its obligation and its responsibility with respect to such facilities, yes. Mr. Garamendi. Then you must be aware of earlier testimony before this Subcommittee that the FAA doesn't regularly inspect to the same degree that---- Mr. Tilton. No, I am not aware of that testimony. Mr. Garamendi. We will get the testimony for you. Mr. Tilton. I would appreciate that. Mr. Garamendi. With regard to the question of continued outsourcing, the question about pilots was asked. I want to follow up on that question. Are foreign pilots in the left and right seats of the United airline jets? Mr. Tilton. Are foreign pilots---- Mr. Garamendi. Aer Lingus or any other foreign pilot? Mr. Tilton. On our airplanes? Mr. Garamendi. Yes. Mr. Tilton. No. Mr. Garamendi. Thank you. One final question. Could you describe the personal benefits that the two of you will receive as a result of this merger, specifically golden parachutes and the like? Mr. Tilton. So I think I know I have made the decision already, I don't know that Jeff has, that anything that I might receive is going to be converted into shares of the new company and deferred until such time as I eventually retire from my board seat. Mr. Garamendi. And the estimated value of that? Mr. Tilton. It will largely depend on how successful the new company is and indeed whether the new company is formed, Congressman. Mr. Garamendi. I would like have specific information on that, and I would not like to have to receive that from the SEC filings. So if you could deliver it personally. Mr. Tilton. I will do so. I have already filed it, as a matter of fact. Mr. Garamendi. Thank you. And you will be able to deliver it to me. Thank you. Mr. Smisek. Congressman, my compensation is set by my human resources committee, which consist of independent directors. My arrangements regarding becoming CEO of United have not yet been negotiated. That is a process that is going to go through both Continental's human resources committee and the compensation committee of United Airlines. The amount of compensation that I will receive thus has not been determined. Mr. Garamendi. What is your present compensation? Mr. Smisek. I receive no salary whatsoever, sir. I have waived that until Continental is profitable. I am also not eligible for a bonus as a result of my waiver of my salary. Mr. Garamendi. And stock options? Mr. Smisek. I have no stock options, sir. Mr. Garamendi. And you are receiving any benefits? Mr. Smisek. I am participating in long-term performance programs, the pay-out of which is dependent on the amount of profit sharing that we share with our employees, as well as the stock price. Mr. Garamendi. I thank you. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. [Presiding.] The Chair thanks the gentleman and would ask any Members present if they have additional questions. I understand that Mr. Boccieri does. Mr. Boccieri. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. One follow-up question that came to my mind. My synapses aren't working as quickly as they used to at 41. But you had suggested that Aer Lingus pilots are trained as well as domestic aircraft commanders, pilots and captains on board our aircraft. How can you make that assumption when your own regional carriers aren't training to the same level as legacy carriers? We found this in constant NTSB reports. We found this over and over and over again. Explain to me how you draw that connection when your own regional carriers cannot commit to the same level of experience level that you have been training your pilots. Mr. Tilton. So back to the relationship between the network carriers and our regional partners, as I have said, and Jeff has echoed, our safety management organization works together with our regional partner management organization to ensure that the safety processes that we hold to best practice at United share it with the regional carriers. We audit them; we audit them together with the FAA. We share information with the FAA relative to our work with the regional carriers. We are mindful of the risks associated with new anything, new employees of any type, so we are mindful of that, we understand that. But as Jeff has said a moment ago, they are necessary, they are important. So just bear with me for a second. With respect to our relationship with all of our foreign partners, you have to think about it, all of them, All Nippon, Air China, Singapore Air, Lufthansa, all of British Midland, Austrian Air, all the carriers with whom we share code across the entire Star Alliance, we, either from an IATA perspective, the global international association carriers, all of the safety authorities that exist in all of those countries, we have to set a safety standard for the entire industry worldwide regardless of the nationality of pilots. That is the essence of the alliance structure. And we will fly a passenger across four or five of those carriers. And we know we are making an implied commitment to the training of all of those carriers, which is why, Congressman, to get into the Star Alliance or to get into a code-sharing agreement, you have to be approved across a spectrum of safety considerations before you are approved. Mr. Boccieri. Mr. Tilton, the after-actions report from the NTSB for the Colgan crash showed that the regional air carrier in part of their syllabus did not teach the pilots how to recover from a full stall. They taught only stall recognition through a stick shaker, not a stick pusher. What happens if the aircraft goes into a full stall recovery and what were the pilot's reaction, that was not part of the training syllabus. When asked they said it wasn't part of the FAA's requirement. So what we have seen--Colgan has said this wasn't part of the FAA requirement, so what we have seen is now where airlines had reached for the stars in terms of their training, they are now reaching for the minimums in some of these regional carriers. And I have grown very concerned about this over my term on this Committee. But I want you to say to this Committee and for the record that you know that those aircraft that are flying out of Washington, D.C., while we have 1,400 grounded pilots in your airline, if they are trained, and you know for certain that they are trained to recover from a full stall. Mr. Tilton. So all of our foreign carriers, all of the foreign carriers with whom we do business, are trained to a level that is satisfactory to both the FAA, to ourselves, to ourselves, and to their respective safety jurisdictions in their countries. Mr. Boccieri. Mr. Smisek, was Colgan Air training to your satisfaction? Mr. Smisek. No, it was not. Mr. Boccieri. And why did you keep them as one of your carriers? Mr. Smisek. We were not aware of that training deficiency. That is the responsibility of the Federal Aviation Administration. We expect all of our regional carriers---- Mr. Boccieri. That is your responsibility. That is your responsibility. Mr. Smisek. Let me tell you that we are very concerned with safety. We did not train those pilots, we did not maintain those aircraft, we did not operate the aircraft. We expect them to be safe, we expect the Federal Aviation Administration to do its job, we expect that you do your job---- Mr. Boccieri. Well, we expect you to do your job too, sir. Mr. Smisek. And I expect me to do my job. Mr. Boccieri. You need to make sure that your domestic carriers in these international agreements that you are going to be making, outsourcing jobs and outsourcing training and doing all the other stuff that is going to move this type of level of expertise off our coast, needs to be maintained. I can't sit here and guarantee as a representative of the people from Ohio who fly on your airline and fly on other airlines to be certain that this level of training is going to be maintained if we are going to be getting into these big agreements, too big to fail, with other international carriers. Mr. Smisek. We are very focused on safety. The training of pilots across the globe is a responsibility too great for Continental Airlines. We do not have the resources. Each jurisdiction has its Federal regulators; each jurisdiction has its regulation over safety. We participate and share our best practices. But if you take a look at Star Alliance, Star Alliance has rigorous requirements for joining and rigorous requirements for safety. And I am confident in the safety of all the Star Alliance carriers. What you point to was a problem. There is no question about it. And everyone in the aviation business, and I personally and everyone at Continental, regrets that training failure at Colgan. That has been identified and will be, I am confident, corrected. And we need to make sure we all share your concern with safety. Safety is the most important thing that we have. But we can't possibly be responsible with the limited resources we have for the safety of every carrier in the globe and every carrier that is out there. We can be responsible for our own safety. We can certainly share our best practices, and we do so. And we support all improvements in pilot training, and we support regulatory reform within the Federal Aviation Administration if that is what is required for oversight for U.S. carriers. Mr. Boccieri. We are going to get to that reauthorization bill. We are going to make sure that it is mandatory that pilots know how to recover from a full stall. Mr. Smisek. And I would support that. Mr. Boccieri. Thank you. Mr. Costello. That Chair thanks the gentleman. And I was going to make that very point that is the reason why we passed legislation through both the Committee and out of the House, that when we come out of conference, we are going to have a reauthorization bill that has the Airline Safety and Pilot Training Improvement Act, which will in course raise the standards for pilots at the regional carriers as well. We recognize that the both United and Continental and some of the other major carriers do not hire at the lower standard even though they can, but many of the regionals do. And that is what we found with Colgan, and that is what we have found with other regional carriers. And I would just interject as well and agree with the gentleman that while it is the FAA's responsibility, it is also your responsibility as CEOs of airlines that contract with regional carriers to make certain--not just rely on the FAA, but to make certain that these regional carriers are hiring pilots that have training in excess of the minimum requirements as opposed to the minimum even after we increase the minimum requirements in the conference report. With that, the gentleman from California Mr. Garamendi is recognized. Mr. Garamendi. Mr. Chairman, thank you. And thank you for bringing up that last point. You gave me an opportunity to cool down a little bit. I heard the most astounding testimony I have heard in my 34 years, that the chief executive officer of an airline that contracts for services to provide services to that airline, in this case Continental--and I did not hear this from United, and pleased I didn't hear it--that it is not your responsibility to ascertain the safety of the pilots with which you contract. Mr. Smisek. Sir, I did not say that. Mr. Garamendi. I am delighted to hear you did not say that. Could you specifically tell me what your responsibility is with regard to the qualifications of those pilots with whom you contract on your flights? Mr. Smisek. We do expect, we do require all of our regional carriers to be safe carriers. Colgan in this instance had a training failure. It resulted in a terrible accident, which we regret tremendously. We are as focused on safety as you are, sir. We expect safety, we require safety. You have to understand, however, that there are limitations on the resources. Since all airlines contract with large numbers of other airlines, for example in code shares, we do rely on the requirements and the safety audits of IATA, on the Federal Aviation Administration, we have our on-line safety audits, safety audits that Star Alliance conducts with respect to its other carriers as well. Mr. Garamendi. I am particularly concerned about the domestic situation because that is where the accident occurred, that is where the training was inadequate. I would like to have you specifically in writing present to me and to the Committee exactly what you and United do to ascertain the quality and the safety record and training record of those pilots with whom you contract in your hub-and-spoke situation. Mr. Smisek. Sure, we will do so. Mr. Tilton. And we will be delighted to do that. We will go beyond that. We will actually give the Congressman a report on the nature of our best practice transfer; on the nature of the relationship between the two safety organizations, the regional carrier safety organization and ours; the extent to which we have on occasion found them wanting, and suggested that until something was addressed, we would be suspending any contractual services of a particular sort with them. So we will be glad to do that. Mr. Garamendi. And I would hope that would also include the specific actions that your airlines take to verify individual pilots. Mr. Smisek. We will do so. Mr. Tilton. We will be glad to do that. [The information follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Garamendi. Thank you. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman from California and now recognizes the gentleman from Michigan Dr. Ehlers. Mr. Ehlers. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And before I ask questions, I will just comment on the Colgan situation. I read the transcript, and I think beyond the training issue was the issue of the lack of competence of the individuals. It made me shudder to read the cockpit transcript and observed the conversation back and forth. They were totally preoccupied with personal issues and not with flying the plane. And so I think it is not just a matter of training, it is a matter of hiring responsible individuals. And I think anyone who reads that transcript would realize that was a good share of the problem. I just want to comment. We have had some other airlines coming together, and I understand all the advantages of airlines combining and working together and the many different ways they do that. But I am afraid what I have seen is that there is something lost every time we get some airlines going together. A very recent case, I won't give specific names, but one airline that I thought was operating very, very well, and I got to tell you, everyone in the Congress is an expert on flying in the airlines because we do it every week ad infinitum. There is an airline that I thought was really operating very well was combined with a very large airline which had not operated as well, and now the combination of the two is not operating very well in a number of cases, so I won't get into specifics. I really caution you, make sure that you are improving service for the public. And I know it is easy for you to say, yes, yes, yes, of course, that is our business, that is what we should do. That is not what happens in too many cases. And I want to warn you about that. And I hope you will give assurances that you will conduct frequent surveys of your frequent flyers and of the general public as well to evaluate how well you are doing in that of combining the two, because I am just astounded that the number of what I call poor judgments being made by executives who didn't even bother to understand the culture of the company they were absorbing and have lost some very good people, but above all have lost a lot of good spirit, and the public is the worse for it. I am not convinced that all this combining of airlines is really that advantageous. It may reduce cost of the passengers very slightly, it may result in you making more money, which is your goal of course, but I am not sure the overall picture is really all that great. And I just wanted to caution you on that from my perspective, but also give you an opportunity to rebut what I have just said. Mr. Tilton. Well, what you just said may well present a competitive opportunity for Jeff and myself. Mr. Ehlers. It may well be. I know that Continental has had a very good history in the last decade of being extremely well run under the CEO that really renovated it. And I fly all the airlines. Unfortunately, being in Grand Rapids, Michigan, we have just about every airline under the sun flying in and out of there, so we have a large choice, and we exercise that choice depending on the service we get. Do you have anything to say, Mr. Smisek. Mr. Smisek. Sure, Congressman. You are right, we are well known for our customer service. I have been in Continental since the turnaround 15 years ago and have been part of all the decisionmaking at Continental during that 15-year period. We are very attuned to customers. We have corporate advisory boards, we bring in frequent flyers, we participate in a flyer talk forum. We are very attuned to our customers, and that is how we get the reputation for customer service. But largely, Congressman, our reputation for customer service is built around the culture of Continental Airlines. We work together very well. We may have disagreements. Working together does not necessarily mean saying yes; what it means is listening respectfully to someone's position, treating each other and our customers with dignity and respect. And as a result--and being honest and open and direct. And as a result we do give very good customer service. And I anticipate the combined carrier, that with our combined cultures--United has very, very good people. They are delivering tremendous operational performance today. They have a fine product, they have great facilities, they have very good people. We will combine that into a culture of dignity and respect, which they have today, which we can bring together, and we can have a carrier that will have wonderful customer service. The reason I am so confident that we can deliver on the synergies is I am confident in the team that I will build, I am confident in the culture that we will have, and I am confident in the customer service that we will focus on. Mr. Ehlers. Well, if you are so great, why are you even doing this? Mr. Smisek. Because alone we are too small. We compete on a global stage, and we are too small. We are a global carrier, but a small one, and we need to be big enough to succeed against our large foreign and large domestic competitors. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman from Michigan. Mr. Ehlers. Well, Mr. Chairman, I just want to offer my services to you at some point to go in the planes and just ask people about what they think. Mr. Smisek. That would be great. Mr. Ehlers. I did this last week. Mr. Tilton. I will take you up on that. Mr. Ehlers. I didn't initiate it, but someone else in the airplane did sitting in the front row of first. And, of course, all the people in first were frequent flyers who said, this airline used to be good, what happened to it? Mr. Tilton. We appreciate both the competitive opportunity that you have advised us of, and we certainly appreciate the offer of your services. Mr. Ehlers. OK. But at any rate, this one individual said it, and the next person said, yeah, I agree with that, and pretty soon the entire first class section was saying it has really gotten lousy. Mr. Smisek. We have a great competitive opportunity. I appreciate the heads up. Mr. Ehlers. That company has something to worry about. Thank you. I yield back. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman from Michigan. And, gentlemen, thank you for your testimony today before the Subcommittee. And with that we will dismiss this panel and ask the next panel to come forward. Thank you. Mr. Costello. I will begin to do the introductions for this panel. Captain Wendy Morse is the chairman of the United Master Executive Council, Air Line Pilots Association. Captain Jay Pierce is the chairman of the Continental Master Executive Council, Air Line Pilots Association. Ms. Patricia Friend, the international president for the Association of Flight Attendants, CWA. Mr. Robert Roach, Jr., general vice president of the Transportation International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers. Mr. Albert Foer is the president of the American Antitrust Institute. Mr. Hubert Horan, who is the aviation analyst and consultant. Mr. William McGee, consultant on travel and aviation issues, Consumers Union. And Mr. David Strine, who is the portfolio manager, Impala Asset Management, LLC. Ladies and gentlemen, as you know, we will put your entire statement in the record. We would ask that you summarize your testimony in a 5-minute period. And that will allow both myself, Mr. Petri and other Members to ask questions. With that, the Chair will recognize now Captain Wendy Morse. Captain Morse. TESTIMONY OF CAPTAIN WENDY MORSE, CHAIRMAN, UNITED MASTER EXECUTIVE COUNCIL, AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION; CAPTAIN JAY PIERCE, CHAIRMAN, CONTINENTAL MASTER EXECUTIVE COUNCIL, AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION; PATRICIA FRIEND, INTERNATIONAL PRESIDENT, ASSOCIATION OF FLIGHT ATTENDANTS-CWA; ROBERT ROACH, JR., GENERAL VICE PRESIDENT OF TRANSPORTATION, INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS AND AEROSPACE WORKERS; ALBERT A. FOER, PRESIDENT, THE AMERICAN ANTITRUST INSTITUTE; HUBERT HORAN, AVIATION ANALYST AND CONSULTANT; WILLIAM McGEE, CONSULTANT ON TRAVEL AND AVIATION ISSUES, CONSUMERS UNION; AND DAVID STRINE, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, IMPALA ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC Ms. Morse. Good morning, Chairman Costello and other Members of the Subcommittee. I am Captain Wendy Morse, chairman of the United Master Executive Council of the Air Line Pilots International. We have more than 7,700 active and laid-off pilots at United Airlines, and I appreciate the opportunity to speak before the Subcommittee regarding the United-Continental merger as proposed. Over the past decade the airline industry has experienced the worst economic storm in the history of commercial aviation. An unprecedented series of financial shots have taken their toll on airline service and on employees. Bankruptcies, employee layoffs, contractual concessions and outsourcing have all been well chronicled. The proposed merger between United and Continental represents not only an opportunity for both airlines, but a possible sea change in the economic direction and customer satisfaction for the airline industry. How this merger is handled will determine whether it has changed for the better. This choice could not be clearer, and a recent history of airline mergers provides a vivid picture of which path to choose. We are not traveling down uncharted territory. The obvious path to success, should it be selected, has already been established. The advantage of the knowledge of what has worked and what hasn't worked must be recognized. The Delta-Northwest merger in which the company worked out a mutually satisfactory contract with the pilots has been a resounding success. It has exceeded initial estimates for financial synergies, leading to a more viable company that provides greater service for the flying public and provides greater employment certainty for its employees. The America West-U.S. Airways merger in which management failed to negotiate contract terms in advance is still run as two separate companies. Mired in lawsuits, America West-U.S. Airways has failed to realize the advertised synergies, even though the merger took place more than 5 years ago, and continues to have its share of unresolved labor issues, which benefits neither the company nor the consumer. One axiom in the service industry stands as a beacon of truth: Take care of your employees, and ultimately they will take care of the customers, and the business will take of itself. It is imperative that the combined United-Continental establish a management team not only capable of running the airline well, but also that cultivates a culture where the combined entity provides the revenue and capital generation for a great product. In order for this merger to be successful, there must be a joint collective bargaining agreement with assurances for wages, working conditions and job protections that are commensurate with the professionalism that our pilots exhibit each and every day. Thanks to the professionalism, commitment and financial sacrifice of pilots and other employees, our airline has weathered numerous challenges and now flourishes, but there are still challenges ahead. One of the biggest for the pilots of United and Continental, and indeed for the airline piloting profession, is the industry's continued drive to outsource as much flying as possible to an ever-shifting collection of the low-cost subcontractors. Last year United Airlines laid over 1,437 highly experienced pilots, their jobs outsourced to these low- cost subcontractors. The average United Airlines passenger now has a 50/50 chance that their flight is being operated by United Airlines. This philosophy, which puts profits ahead of safety and the traveling public, must come to an end. While United Airlines has been on the Hill saying all the right things, seeking approval, I speak for the United pilots when I tell you that our contribution must be recognized in order for this merger to be successful and the synergies to be realized. We ask that as you consider the benefits this transaction will have for the industry and for consumers, you also measure whether managerial actions are consistent with their words. United and Continental managements now stand at the threshold of what could be a great airline, one that sees sustainable profits and will also provide unmatched service to our customers. A combined United-Continental could establish a new paradigm in commercial aviation, one where management and labor work together to establish a solid, profitable airline, where employees are properly compensated and where job security is not a constant concern. As key stakeholders, the United pilots stand ready to embark on this new business opportunity. Our favorable participation will lead to a stable, sustainable airline. This in turn will produce an unprecedented level of success for United stakeholders and an exemplary level of service for the flying public. I thank you. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks you, Captain, and now recognizes Captain Pierce. Mr. Pierce. Good morning, Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member Petri and Members of the Committee. I am Captain Jay Pierce, chairman of the Continental Airlines Master Council of the Air Line Pilots Association International. Thank you for the opportunity to speak regarding the proposed Continental-United merger. I am particularly thankful that you have taken the time to consider the effect this proposed merger may have on labor. I began my aviation career in the United States Army in the late 1970's and have been a professional airline pilot for over 25 years. I am in my second term serving in the Continental Pilot Group as its chairman. And as a Continental pilot I can assure you that I have been trained to recover from a full stall. I tend to think in terms of opportunities, risks and rewards. I believe that this merger will be an exercise in all three. The questions that have to be answered are, will the opportunities produce success; who will assume the risks; and finally, who will reap the rewards? To some, the initial value created by participating in the merger will allow for claims of success. However, if creating a story for Wall Street simply through participation is the goal, that bar is set very low. None of us should accept the philosophy of mediocrity as the standard for success. If done correctly this merger can strengthen our airlines and help resurrect a failing industry. This is the opportunity. Our merger partner United's financial performance has been in critical condition, and although ours is better, has been in--could be considered somewhat anemic. Over the last decade network carriers have reported over $60 billion in net losses. Since deregulation there have been over 180 airline bankruptcies. Historical greats, such as Pan American, CWA and Eastern, have become extinct. Thousands of employees have lost their jobs, shareholder value has been erased, and communities have suffered. The industry is broken and is badly in need of an overhaul. Continuing down the well-traveled path of economic irrationality does not bode well for the traveling public, shareholders, or for the long-term interest of airline employees. It is incumbent on us to find rational solutions. I believe that a properly executed merger can be a better solution for the industry than consolidation by failure. Going third in this round of airline consolidation provides us an opportunity to examine what has worked and what has failed. It is clear to see that the difference between marginal success and real success can be tied directly to labor, and more specifically pilot labor. In a merger it is not the executives, the bankers or the lawyers who assume the risk; it is the employees, and it is labor. If we must carry the risk, we must share in the rewards. I cannot guarantee that this merger will be successful, but I can with all certainty predict its downfall if our pilots do not support the path our managements have chosen. The merger is expected to produce over $1 billion in airline synergies. If the merger is successful, that success will be determined by the strength of the new entity, the value added to shareholders, and, even more importantly, by the pride of the airlines' labor force. This pride can only be regained by first returning to labor what has been lost through years of concessions. As irrational as it is to continue to foster a failing industry, it is equally irrational to use the benefits derived from a merger to simply enrich those who put the deal together or to continue to throw good money after bad with ill- conceived business plans that reward only those at the top. It is also important that this merger provide benefits for passengers. We should use this opportunity to reexamine subcontracting and outsourcing. When a passenger books a trip with Continental from Houston to Newark and then beyond, they have an expectation that the entity they purchased the ticket from is responsible for their travel experience. Network carriers should be operational airlines, not merely ticket agents. Our passengers have a right to receive one level of service and one level of safety from the beginning of their journey to their final destination. To achieve that single platform experience, flights must be operated under the operational control of the network carrier and therefore be crewed by pilots working under contract with that airline. As Continental employees we bring an award-winning culture of customer service to an industry marked with sharp declines in customer satisfaction. We bring strong job protections that limit the outsourcing of flying to its lowest bidder. If done in the right fashion, this merger can bring the best of Continental to the United name. In closing, I would like to remind you that Continental Pilot Group did not search out or solicit this merger. We are, however, cognizant of the fact that if done correctly, this could be an opportunity to create a great airline, one enriched by Continental's culture, with a route structure capable of transporting customers to almost anywhere in the world and a pilot group unmatched in professionalism and experience. Thank you for your time, and I look forward to your questions. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks you, Captain Pierce, and now recognizes Ms. Friend. Ms. Friend. Thank you, Chairman Costello, Ranking Member Petri and the Members of this Committee, for giving AFA-CWA, the world's largest flight attendant union, the opportunity to testify on this proposed merger of United and Continental Airlines. The voices of the workers often take a back seat in these hearings and in the public pronouncements about the benefits of airline mergers. I am here today to give those workers a voice. As a United flight attendant for 43 years and the president of AFA-CWA for 15 years, I have had a unique perspective on the dramatic changes that have reshaped the commercial aviation industry and eliminated thousands of jobs. Lately I have listened to airline CEOs testify before this Congress about the need to consolidate the industry in order to achieve a sustainable business model. After hundreds of airline bankruptcies, thousands of employee furloughs, devastating pay and benefit cuts, destruction of pensions and 32 years of deregulation, it seems that airline management has figured it out, albeit in the worst fashion, that our Nation needs a stabilized and a rational aviation industry. Mr. Chairman, the Nation's flight attendants and all aviation workers also need a stable industry. The consumers are rightfully concerned that airline mergers will lead to higher fares and reduced service. We agree. But we also recognize the reality that airline fares must increase in order to stabilize this industry, provide a robust air transportation system, and provide more stable employment for thousands of aviation workers. To strike this balance between a stable industry and reliable air service, we assert today that the increase in consolidation activity requires appropriate regulatory oversight to protect the interest of employees and consumers. But while some protections are in place today for consumers and communities, since deregulation there are virtually no protections for airline workers. Of all the well-developed, prederegulation rules of the Allegheny-Mohawk Labor Protective Provisions, only one exists today, a provision that establishes basic seniority protections in the event of a merger. After deregulation the Congress was concerned that massive postderegulation restructuring of the airline industry would displace large numbers of employees. So in order to assist laid-off employees, they added the Airline Employee Protection Program to the Deregulation Act of 1978. Unfortunately, the almost 40,000 employees who lost their jobs in the immediate wake of deregulation never received the benefits that Congress promised since funding was never authorized for the benefits. As Congress looks into the impact of mergers on employees, it should definitely look at the failed EEP as a framework to provide meaningful protections to workers in the future. As we have testified in the past, we are not proposing to reregulate the industry, but we do think that at a minimum something needs to be done to shield workers from the harshest effects of this merger and all future mergers. So what can the workers at United and Continental expect as they combine their workforce and route structure? While management has provided information that is otherwise publicly available, management has not been forthcoming about critical and future business plans. I call on this Committee to compel United and Continental management to provide the information on their plans for current United and Continental employee-based and hub operations. In addition to the proposed merger, United is the architect of a new global alliance revenue-sharing scheme. They have contracted with Aer Lingus to operate an international route for them using Aer Lingus aircraft, but employing flight attendants from a third-party operator. We call on this Congress to stop this type of so-called joint venture scheme by enacting H.R. 4788. We call on you to not let United and Continental management use this merger as a vehicle to outsource more good middle-class jobs. We also ask this Committee to consider the impact this merger may have on the contract negotiations under way between the Association of Flight Attendants, CWA and United Airlines. For almost 6 years the flight attendants at United have been working under a collective bargaining agreement that was negotiated while the company was in bankruptcy. They sacrificed nearly $2.7 billion in salary and benefit concessions in addition to the loss of their pension. We are asking your help to ensure that the current contract negotiations are satisfactorily resolved before this merger is finalized. We will not allow the negotiation process at United to be delayed as a result of this merger. The employees at United Airlines make deep sacrifices to keep the company flying, and it is time for the workers to share in those rewards. While much will be made over the coming months about the impact of this merger on consumers and communities, I urge you to remember the hundreds of thousands of airline employees across this country. Keep us in mind as you review this merger and the impact that it will have on our lives and our families. We are the ones who have the most to lose, and we have the least protection. I thank you for your time, and I look forward to your questions. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks you, Ms. Friend, and now recognizes Mr. Roach. Mr. Roach. Thank you, Chairman Costello, and Ranking Member Petri, and Members of the Committee, for the opportunity to speak to you today. My name is Robert Roach, Jr. I am the general vice president of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, the largest airline union in North America. The Machinists Union represents over 27,000 employees that could be adversely affected by this merger at Continental Airlines; the flight attendants, Air Micronesia, a subsidiary of Continental; the flight attendants, Express Jet, a regional partner of United and Continental; and fleet and passenger service, as well as other classifications at United Airlines. We echo Chairman Oberstar's statement when he wrote to the Department of Justice, this merger will move the country far down the path of an airline system dominated by three megacarriers. If United and Continental merge, another domino in a chain of merges will fall, and there will also be additional consolidations to help them survive. Already the president of U.S. Airways of the regional--of a low-cost carrier has announced that if this merger goes through, that his airline will soon follow suit. We cannot look at the United-Continental transaction in isolation. The airline industry has been in turmoil since the passage of airline deregulation in 1978. The Machinists Union argued against deregulation. Our predictions have come true. Deregulation in this industry and others has had disastrous effects. In 2007, the financial and housing meltdown was a result of unregulated corporate greed in the banking and mortgage industries. Looking daily at the news reports about the catastrophe in Louisiana and the Gulf Coast, with oil spilling out, ruining the lives of people down there, we can tell that deregulated industries only operate in their own best interest and not the interest of the consumers or their employees. The airline industry needs to be stabilized because it drives $1.4 trillion in economic activity and contributes $692 billion per year to the gross national product. It is too vital an industry to leave to its own destructive devices. It is clear that the airline industry has failed to deliver on the promises of a stable, profitable industry, and staying the course will only continue the industry's downward spiral. Albert Einstein, the great scientist, said, ``Insanity is to continue to do the same thing over and over again and expect a different result.'' Can we allow the airlines to continue to consolidate and merge and continue to lose money, lose employees, destroy cities and States with their supposed service without some sort of regulation to protect those interests? Even Alfred Kahn, the major architect of deregulation, said, ``I must concede that the industry has demonstrated a more severe and chronic susceptibility to destructive competition than I, along with other enthusiastic proponents of deregulation, was prepared to conceive.'' The industry is crying out for limited reregulation. Does anyone really believe that having only a few major airlines in operation, each with immense market control and offering consumers fewer choices, will benefit the country? If one of these megacarriers should fail, how will that impact the country? The Machinists Union has serious concerns not only about the viability of a combined carrier, United-Continental, but the industry in general. Although we have met both airlines jointly and separately since the airline merger was announced, IAM members still have many questions unanswered and concerns that need to be addressed. We estimate that United, the merger--the merger of United with Continental carrier would start out with $13.8 billion in debt. What is the business plan to deal with that debt structure? Will the merged carrier have any choice but to eliminate hubs in order to avoid competing with itself? Closing hubs initiates a cascade of job loss that begins with airline employees and continues throughout the communities to the firms that provide services to the airline. Will the merging of these two carriers and wholesale reshaping of the industry destroy competition and harm consumers? As details about the combined carrier business plan emerge, it must be closely scrutinized to determine if the merge will result in a successful airline or not. We ask Congress to help determine if this transaction will be good for employees. The carriers admitted that homogenizing pensions is a complex issue, and although they have given it much thought, they do not know how it will be resolved. The Machinists Union will not allow a member's retirement security to become a casualty of this merger. United Airlines has passed billions in pension liabilities to the American taxpayer already. The Machinists Union is currently in contract negotiations. For all eight classifications we have members of the two carriers. It is premature for anyone to talk about combining the carriers' employees, and each airline must recognize a responsibility to continue bargaining in good faith. I would like to say that all the past mergers--U.S. Airways and America West, which is now being said we are going to another carrier, has operated as a separate carrier for 5 years. Although your announcements that Delta is working fine, Delta is working as a separate carrier in many of its classifications. And let me just say very quickly in closing that I am a product of one of these mergers. I was at TWA. My seniority was changed from 1975 to 2001. And we heard the same predictions, the same predictions that we hear from all CSOs and CEOs, that these airlines were not going to lay anybody off, that we were going to continue to service. St. Louis is a ghost town. The people in Kansas City have lost their jobs. As Mr. Tilton testified, planes are going over to China to be maintained. It is time to put a stop to this. Enough is enough. We need to reregulate the airline and put a halt to this airline merger until we have a stable airline industry. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I look forward to your questions. Mr. Lipinski. [Presiding.] Thank you, Mr. Roach. The Chair now recognizes Mr. Foer. Mr. Foer. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, Members. Since most of my analysis today closely resembles my testimony before this Committee 2 years ago, my first recommendation, as foreshadowed by the gentlewoman from Hawaii, is that Congress ought to hold retrospective hearings on the Delta-Northwest merger. Has it accomplished its stated objectives? Were the projected efficiencies obtained? Has competition been adequately protected? Is the American consumer better off or worse off? I don't have the answers, but there is no question that the answers would be invaluable in our efforts to predict what the implications of the United-Continental marriage are going to be. Indeed, it might make sense to actually delay the consummation of this merger until a fully credible study of the prior merger can be taken into account. The essential points of my written statement are the following. One, this is an industry in which there are substantial network effects, but the incremental costs of expanding an already large network may offset the network benefits. Two, the industry is already concentrated on a national basis, but this generalization underestimates the market power that is present at most hubs and on most routes. Three, a merger of this magnitude will in all probability lead to at least one more merger of similar size, and that will leave the U.S. domestically with three national network carriers, plus Southwest, and a fringe of other low-cost carriers. And four, this merger will itself likely lead to rationalizing capacity by closing or scaling back hubs, probably in the Midwest, which will harm a significant number of consumers. Now, these considerations require us to ask whether the four, or more likely three, national networks that will emerge from this process will be sufficient to provide a satisfactory range of choice and service and sufficient competition to keep prices close to cost. Standard antitrust analysis focuses on horizontal overlaps between airport pairs and, in certain markets, between city pairs. If an origin and destination route is served by only a few airlines, and the merger will leave the particular market more highly concentrated, then the DOJ will likely and properly require a divestiture or some other arrangement with respect to that route as a condition of approving the transaction. This is necessary, but it is not sufficient, especially if we look at competition among the systems and not merely within specific route pairs. Much has been made over the role of low-cost carriers in preserving competition. Southwest clearly influences prices wherever it competes, and there may be an effect even when Southwest is perceived as a potential competitor. But Southwest and the other low-cost carriers have found their success by competing indirectly rather than directly with the networks. They are called low-cost carriers in large part because they do not bear the cost of large networks. They do not offer the same type of one-stop shopping, frequent flyer benefits or airport amenities as network carriers. So decisions about the future of domestic air transportation should not rest on the concept that Southwest will always play its current role. Its strategies could change, its management could make mistakes. It could choose to relax under the price umbrella of a tight oligopoly of network carriers. The ultimate question is whether the public will be satisfied with three domestic and three global air transportation systems. There is little, if any, empirical knowledge that says how many systems are needed to provide a workable degree of intersystem competition. There is substantial data, both empirical and theoretical, that suggests that competitive problems increase as the market becomes highly concentrated. There is substantial experience with domestic air mergers that suggest how difficult they are to execute successfully, how few efficiencies have resulted from big carrier mergers, and how minimal entry has been at the network level. To the extent there is doubt about the United-Continental merger, it should be resolved as essentially a public policy question: Are we willing to interfere with private business decisions in order to preserve the few competing systems at the possible expense of whatever efficiencies might realistically be lost? We suggest that the magnitude and certainty--and I am just about finished--of these proclaimed efficiencies should be analyzed with great skepticism, and must be laid against inefficiencies due to other diseconomies of scale and scope, the cost of consummating the merger, and the reduction of competition arising from the merger. From a public perspective there should be no reason to rush to a decision on whether to allow United and Continental to merge, and it would make particularly good sense to examine the effects of the most recent similar merger, Delta and Northwest, before opting for further consolidation. Thank you very much. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Foer. Mr. Horan. Mr. Horan. Mr. Chairman, the United-Continental merger and the ongoing airline consolidation process creates four major problems for consumer and industry efficiency. I believe all four problems have a common cause the Committee needs to address going forward. Problem number one, as documented in Exhibit 1 of my testimony, is the overwhelming evidence that anticompetitive market power created by North Atlantic consolidation has already created consumer welfare losses in excess of $5 billion a year. These consumer welfare losses will be much worse in a few years after the implementation of United-Continental and American-British Airways. Problem number two is that United-Continental is part of a well-planned, three-phase process to consolidate the entire legacy network business so that a permanent cartel of three too-big-to-fail collusive alliances control 80 percent of the overall U.S. aviation market, including 100 percent of the transatlantic and transpacific. In the North Atlantic phase 1, the DOT handed exclusive control of all intercontinental traffic to and from the United States to three companies. In phase 2 those three companies used that artificial market power to force the other three domestic legacy airlines out of business. Phase 3 began last year with the Japan ATI cases that are designed to create the same type of multibillion-dollar consumer welfare loss as we have already seen on the North Atlantic. Continental-United is an integral part of all three phases and can't be evaluated as an isolated event. Problem three is the domestic market power threat. United- Continental will not cause immediate price increases in the local Chicago-Houston market, but broad categories of U.S. consumers are at risk. Legacy network carriers cannot survive without a strong, secure source of the international traffic that is the heart of their business model. When DOT gave three legacy companies exclusive control over all of this traffic, the DOT issued a de facto death warrant for legacy companies 4, 5 and 6. The Delta-Northwest merger eliminated number 4; the current merger eliminates number 5 and is designed to cripple or kill U.S. Airways, number 6, who has no hope of independent survival even though it is the most efficient of all the legacy carriers. The destruction of competitors in forced mergers where companies can be acquired for pennies on the dollar are market power abuses every bit as serious as the cartel pricing you see in international markets. Consumers also face the threat of oligopoly service reduction in hundreds of smaller cities once this control of the legacy 80 percent of the market shrinks from six to three carriers, a threat that will not be addressed or mitigated by low-cost carrier expansion. Problem number four is that these mergers cannot be justified on efficiency synergy grounds, the heart of the CEO's arguments earlier, and are strictly motivated by the potential for increased anticompetitive market power. No previous merger between large airlines has ever produced a material reduction in unit operating cost, no previous merger between large airlines has ever produced large enough synergies to justify the enormous implementation costs of these mergers, and the vast majority of airline mergers since deregulation have been dismal financial failures. There is no evidence that the PR claims about the Delta-Northwest merger producing multibillion- dollar synergies are true. The single root cause of these four consumer inefficiency problems is the DOT's willful refusal to obey or enforce longstanding antitrust law. Antitrust law is not a barrier to any airline consolidation that can demonstrate public benefits, be they efficiency gain, service expansion, or lower prices, and that does not create or enhance artificial market power. But the evidence in this and in every previous case has been either nonexistent or fraudulent. The DOT refused to conduct the legally required Clayton Act market power test in any previous case. The DOT has not only willfully ignored the evidence of growing anticompetitive pricing that I have documented in my testimony, but they failed to collect any evidence on pricing or entry barriers whatsoever. The DOT simply made the false assertion the North Atlantic is a fully contestable market, even though there hadn't been new entry in 23 years. Every DOT ATI decision is based on completely fraudulent public benefits evidence, directly violating the horizontal merger guidelines requirements for verifiable, case-specific evidence that is neither vague nor speculative. The public benefits in each case rely on the completely false DOT claim that eliminating competition actually reduces prices in certain markets and does so automatically regardless of market or competitive conditions. And the DOT has used this ``prices fall whenever we reduce a competition'' rule to nullify the legal requirement for verifiable, case-specific evidence of public benefits in all future cases. The Committee and Congress must address this core problem that is DOT nullification of evidence-based antitrust enforcement means that airline competition is no longer being determined by consumers and investors in the marketplace in accordance with the Airline Deregulation Act, it is being determined by government bureaucrats working at the behest of politically powerful incumbent companies. The Committee cannot allow this merger review to proceed without full assurance there will be rigorous, independent scrutiny of the core synergy and market power claims, and, more importantly, the review cannot proceed until the DOT's nullification of evidence-based antitrust enforcement has been clearly rejected, and the irreconcilable split that exists today between the DOT and DOJ approaches to antitrust has been resolved. Mr. Horan. And my last point, the Committee must intervene in the current U.S.-Japan ATI case, where the DOT has clearly signaled they have no intention of enforcing the law, plans to rubber-stamp a massive reduction in trans-Pacific competition that is going to weaken U.S. competitiveness and basically use multibillion-dollar consumer price increases in order to protect inefficient foreign carriers such as Japan Airlines. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Horan. The Chair will now recognize Mr. McGee. Mr. McGee. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee. Good afternoon. My name is William J. McGee, and I appear before you today as a consultant on travel and aviation issues for Consumers Union, the nonprofit publisher of Consumer Reports. I thank you for the opportunity to express our deep concerns about the proposed merger between United Airlines and Continental Airlines. Just as we have seen with banking and other businesses, we are now seeing the airline industry evolving into an oligopoly, and some carriers are rapidly approaching the too-big-to-fail threshold. In this environment, those who previously decried any form of assistance to financially struggling carriers would reverse that argument, claiming a mega-carrier, such as United- Continental, will be too big to fail. And they would be right; a shutdown would have immediate and adverse effects throughout the country. When the U.S. Airline industry received a $5 billion bailout in 2001, it was argued that airlines were essential to America's economy, infrastructure, security, and defense. Consumers Union agrees. Yet what we have been witnessing is an incredibly shrinking airline industry. With this merger, in less than 20 years we will have seen the demise of seven major brands in the United States: Pan Am, Midway, Eastern, TWA, America West, Northwest, and now Continental. While others can speak to the adverse effects on labor, the travel and tourism industries, and a host of suppliers, I will focus my comments on the potentially adverse effects upon passengers. In February 2001, the General Accounting Office reported on airline consolidation and identified several potential threats to consumers. We can't predict with absolute certainty how the United-Continental merger ultimately would affect consumers, but we can examine the recent historical record to see how passengers were affected by American's acquisition of TWA's assets in 2001, US Airways' reverse merger with America West in 2005, and Delta's acquisition of Northwest in 2008. Unfortunately, the record for consumers is not good. In addition to the too-big-to-fail argument, we have identified other key problems that emerged. More details are available in my written testimony. One, less choice and fewer flights: Historically, we have not seen a merger among major carriers that has not led to reductions in service. United-Continental states it will maintain 10 hubs, eight of them in the continental United States. What we do know is that other mergers between major airlines eventually led to hub closures and flight reductions, despite promises to the contrary. Consider that TWA's former hub in St. Louis saw a reduction in total passenger traffic from 23 million in 2002 to 12 million in 2009. America West's former hub in Las Vegas has shrunk as well. And although the full effects of Delta- Northwest have yet to be seen, Delta's hub in Cincinnati is already experiencing cutbacks. Meanwhile, consumers on many routes are losing the opportunity that some airline executives suggest to ``vote with their feet,'' where there is no effective competition. Two, loss of service: It seems apparent the United- Continental merger would mean some cities, particularly smaller cities, would lose nonstop air service, if not all air service. The more mega mergers that are approved, the higher the probability that additional cities will lose service. Three, higher fares: A July 2008 report from the GAO concluded that mergers and acquisitions can be used to generate greater revenues through fare increases. Some analysts argue low-cost carriers will fill the void, but, one, there is no guarantee they will do so, and, two, even when a low-cost carrier enters a former hub, prices fall only on selected routes, not on all routes. Four, reductions in service: Airline mergers tend to be contentious, and this case involves two mature companies. United was founded in 1926, Continental in 1934. So, therefore, a clash of corporate cultures is virtually guaranteed, particularly after layoffs. These sterile corporate terms--downsizing, right-sizing, outsourcing, off-shoring, furloughing--really mean two workforces will experience more trauma and jockeying for position on blended seniority lists. Inevitably, this will lead to employee morale issues and slowdowns due to melding of policies, procedures, and technologies. Five, fewer start-ups: Greater concentration of market share has a negative effect, according to a 2001 DOT report. It noted instances in which incumbent airlines drove new entrants out by cutting fares and flooding the market with capacity, only to later increase fares and reduce service. Six, less resistance: Since deregulation in 1978, we have repeatedly seen how one major carrier will initiate a fare increase and then watch if rivals will match. If enough key players resist, then the fare hike will be withdrawn. This same principle has applied to introducing airline fees and even to service initiatives. In a smaller industry, the likelihood of a rival carrier resisting a new fee or airfare increase will dissipate. Seven, widespread disruptions: With greater concentration, the United States faces a much greater threat of travel disruptions. Imagine the nationwide effects of a labor action or FAA grounding at a combined United-Continental, which analysts estimate would control nearly a fifth of all domestic airline seats. Even a 24-hour loss of service would have severe consequences. Eight, raising the stakes: Since the approval of the Delta- Northwest merger, some proponents of the United-Continental merger argue that ``fair is fair.'' That is why executives from American Airlines may soon appear before this very Committee seeking a merger with U.S. Airways, which, of course, just merged with America West in 2007. Ironically, this sudden leapfrogging in the airline ranks has not been due to genuine growth, expanding service, and creating jobs, but to reductions in service. It seems only fair to ask what the end game is here. At what point will this merger mania subside? Today we are told the domestic airline industry can only support only three large network airlines. How long before we are told that number has been reduced to two or one? Before further consolidation is approved, Consumers Union feels there should be more discussion about the airline industry's ultimate goals and how those goals affect U.S. consumers. Thank you. And I look forward to your questions. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. McGee. Mr. Strine? Mr. Strine. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee. Like you, investors in the capital markets have heard different arguments about why or why not mergers should take place in the U.S. airline industry. The balance of these arguments and the resulting policy impact how the market prices risk and sets the cost of capital for the airline industry. To help you with your analysis, I will provide you with a perspective from the financial markets. So long as the airlines source their funding from the debt and equity capital markets, the boards of directors and management teams have fiduciary duties to their shareholders and creditors. In keeping with that duty, it is incumbent upon them to manage risk and work to enhance returns on invested capital. While managing costs and delivering products that customers value are important, making strategic structural decisions that permit their companies to adapt to changing market conditions are also critical. The airline industry is in dire need of lowering its financial risk and its cost of capital, and consolidation is one part of the solution. By several objective measures, the performance of the industry, including Continental and United, has been abysmal. The regularity of loss and failure goes unrivaled in corporate America. For example, looking at the performance over the past decade, we can see that the industry has reported an aggregate loss of about $68 billion, there have been 58 bankruptcies, about 130,000 jobs lost, and defined benefit pension plans were offloaded to the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. In addition, the average age of the fleet increased to about 11 years. To cap it all off, the value of the XAL, which is the New York Stock Exchange airline index, has dropped by about 77 percent since 2000. Taken as a whole, the body of evidence supports the need for profound change. The leadership at United and Continental are trying to address this need. The poor financial performance of the industry through a full business cycle can be attributed to its high fixed-cost structure, overleveraged balance sheets, low barriers to entry, higher barriers to exit, fragmentation, and fierce competition from low-cost carriers and recently consolidated, well-funded international carriers in Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America. These factors contribute to the higher cost of capital, which limits growth. Over the past year, airline asset-backed debt has frequently garnered yields over 10 percent. In one debt transaction, United paid 17 percent. Further, in the autumn of 2009, every major network carrier except Delta issued equity at steep discounts in transactions that were highly dilutive to shareholders, which also raises the cost of capital. To this day, the weighted average cost of capital remains well into the double digits because of the significantly overleveraged balance sheets. Over the long term, value can only be created when the return on capital exceeds its cost. This is a fundamental financial goal the airline industry has never been able to achieve through a full cycle. Now, consolidation is certainly not a cure-all, but it is self-help. While the United-Continental merger is far to small to significantly change the competitive dynamics of the industry, given that the two carriers combined only produce about 18 percent of the available seat miles and they have de minimis route overlap, their focus on improving efficiency and creating synergy is a step in the right direction toward financial stability. Although labor costs are likely to rise, as they typically do in mergers and after reductions and bankruptcy, the scale of the combined entity should enhance purchasing power with suppliers and the global network should be more attractive to high-yielding corporate customers. In addition, although United-Continental may gain additional corporate customers, which should improve their yield mix, it would be wrong to conclude that the merger would stop the domestic yield deterioration, which has been going on for the last 30 years due to the continued growth of low-cost- carrier market share. Over the last 10 years, network-carrier market share has dropped by 33 percent. In conclusion, as you weigh policy objectives for the airlines, you may want to consider the benefits from having airlines in a better position to generate a return on invest capital in excess of their cost of capital through a full business cycle. The balance of positions which seek to socialize aspects of the airline industry without social funding versus those that promote growth in the free market will contribute to how the market prices airline capital risk and measures the required rate of return to justify growth. The ability to generate more consistent returns on equity and free cash flow is the path to repairing balance sheets and longer-term financial stability. Only then will there be a solid foundation for increased capital expenditures, rising wages, and increased service. Thank you. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Strine. I would like to thank the witnesses for their testimony. We will now move on to Members' questions. And I will begin with the distinguished gentleman from Minnesota, the Chairman of the Full Committee, Mr. Oberstar. Mr. Oberstar. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I want to join his compliments to the panel for their splendid testimony. Vice President Roach, your very personal witness to your own experience, I remember it so well, of TWA. You are right, it did hollow out. St. Louis, it did empty out--Kansas City. The result of the acquisition meant the sale of their nonstop service between St. Louis and London Heathrow, which Mr. Icahn sold to American Airlines for $400 million. It should never, never have acquired value in a marketplace. These are rights given in the public interest for the public convenience and necessity, not for the personal enrichment of the carrier. And American made that money back in about a year. But St. Louis lost its connection to the world beyond, and an awful lot of people lost their jobs in the process. And, ultimately, TWA, one of the great proud carriers of years and decades past, was absorbed by American and now has to beg O'Hare for service to the whole country. That is the encapsulated summary of mergers and bigness. Yeah, ``too big to fail.'' United-Continental, as one of our witnesses just said, would control a fifth of the domestic market share, 115 billion of available seat miles. That is enormous capacity control. I asked several years ago, and I think Mr. Foer may recall this: Why would anyone, would any carrier spend $150 million on a 747 when, for $50 million, you can buy a whole fleet? Do you remember what I had referenced to, Mr. Foer? Checchi and Wilson acquiring Northwest. For $50 million, they bought a whole fleet of 747s. And it took an airline that had $2 billion in equity and $1 billion in debt and turned it just the exact 180 degrees, $2 billion in debt and less than $1 billion in equity, and put it on a path towards the brink of bankruptcy. Now, this bigness and this merger mania, they spent 6 months looking for other carriers to acquire until they realized they needed to manage an airline. And all of you who have been captains, flight attendants, the maintenance personnel, all have seen this happen in the industry. Bigness leads to neglect and to difficult labor relations and to lower- quality service. Now, Mr. Foer, your testimony said, I predicted, along with many others, that a merger for Delta-Northwest would lead to a merger between United and Continental. I put it just the opposite of your testimony, your exact words, but that is what you meant. And that is what has happened. Now, isn't it likely that the next shoe will drop if this one is approved--that is, American, US Airways, BA, Iberia, and Czech Airways, and JAL--and then have you three global mega carriers, right? Mr. Foer. Right. Basically, right now, on the international scene, we have three airlines operating under a variety of brand names. And I have been told by somebody in a position to know that, in those alliances, once there is antitrust exemption, the multiple companies can operate as if they are a single company. And so, why not face the reality? The reality is we are down to three international, global companies, supposedly competing against each other, but, you know, to the extent possible, they avoid head-to-head competition, just as domestically. Mr. Oberstar. They are just carving up the international pie, really, is what they are doing. Mr. Foer. Right. Mr. Oberstar. And with antitrust immunity, which they are all desperately seeking, which I opposed for United, and which they will want now with--and you have cited the U.S.-Japan case. ANA wants antitrust immunity for their alliance with United. Well, there is no competition in an antitrust-immuned alliance. And you will see fares goes up, service go down, more traffic concentrated on the most profitable routes, and the medium- to small-size hubs, the non-hubs in the United States get further downsized. That is really what happens. You said, hold retrospective hearings on Delta-Northwest. I will tell you what it has led to: baggage fees, $3.8 billion in baggage fees by the carriers, half of which are attributable to the Delta operation. You know, the next step is they are going to figure out how to charge us for printing out our boarding passes at home, how to charge us for our own paper that we use. They are very good at this. They have little people who work day and night, they are little gnomes, in their economics and finance departments. And they work night and day, figuring out how to squeeze more money out of this turnip they have in their hand. And I am determined that won't happen. Stable, profitable does not mean ever bigger and fewer. Who was it that said that airlines are looking for stability and profitability? That doesn't mean that there should be fewer of them. They are always talking about rationalizing capacity. Mr. Horan, was that you who used that term? Rationalizing capacity, consolidating, too much capacity in the market. That wasn't the purpose of deregulation. We didn't say that they were going to take the government out of deciding market entry and pricing so that the airlines could consolidate and have more power. We wanted more competition in that marketplace, right? Mr. Roach, didn't your members, and, Ms. Friend, didn't your members have more options, more choices in the previous era? Have the machinists union and the AFA ever had to face each other in a consolidation in an election? Mr. Roach. Not yet. Mr. Oberstar. Not yet. Well, if I have my way, you are never going to do it. I am doing my darnedest to make sure that that outcome doesn't happen. In a hearing in this room in 1990--and I was Chair of that Aviation Subcommittee, and Mr. Petri, Bill Clinger was the ranking Republican on the Committee at the time. And I asked Secretary Sam Skinner, the Secretary of Transportation--this hearing was on airline finances and mergers and acquisitions. And I said, how many carriers really constitute competition in the marketplace? And the Secretary said, ``Well, I think two.'' Really? Then he stopped, ``Well, maybe three,'' he said. That is where we are headed, and that is not good. What I hear from the Uniteds and the Continentals and American and the rest of them is, ``There is plenty of competition. Just look at what Southwest does to the marketplace. They drive the prices down. And legion are my constituents lining up to use Southwest Airlines frequent flyer miles to fly to London and Paris.'' They don't fly there. They are not in the world competition. You are all right. Thank you. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The Chair will now recognize Mr. Petri. Mr. Petri. Well, thank you. Thank you all for your testimony. It is very helpful. I guess I have a couple of questions. One for Mr. Strine: You talked about--and I have heard about low barriers to entry in the aviation industry because you can just lease a plane and have access to an airport and get in business. But what are the high barriers to exit that you refer to? Mr. Strine. That references basically to the bankruptcy laws. Through the Chapter 11 process, we see companies who have pursued a path which was basically a failing business model survive. And, you know, I think today you have heard a lot about destructive competition. That law, in itself, is something that keeps a company alive and keeps capacity in a market that was failing capacity. So that is the high barrier to exit. Mr. Petri. And, second, you analyze the industry and its competitiveness and so on for a living. When you stand back and look at it, here is a very, very, very profitable industry for a lot of--not for the airlines, but for the auto rental companies, for the fixed-base operated airports, for the hotel business, for all kinds of people who have figured out how to make money from people traveling. But the airlines don't. And probably the people leasing the planes to them are making a lot of money. But, for some reason, this center of loss seems to be among the--if the $68 billion figure is at all accurate, it is on the ones who are generating profit for everyone else on a systemic basis. What is different about that segment of the overall aviation transportation business that causes it to lose when everyone else is doing pretty well, or at least seems to be doing a lot better? Mr. Strine. Well, there are several factors that contribute to the poor financial performance. One is that the industry has a very high fixed-cost structure. So, as we inevitably move through economic cycles, they cannot cover their costs with the revenue they can generate, given the amount of supply and demand in the market. It is as simple as that. You know, if you look at the capital expenditures that are required and the debt that is baked into these companies, they have overleveraged themselves. And the interest expense that they pay on the assets, the aircraft or the aircraft rental fees that they pay, contribute to the high fixed-cost structure. So, to finance a business which is highly asset-intensive is expensive. And when you have a structure that doesn't generate enough revenue to cover the cost, the cost of capital, meaning the interest expense, goes up, which is the irony of all this. I think everybody wants to see a stronger industry; it is how you get there. One of the drivers will be the cost of capital. The more financially stable the industry is, the lower the cost of capital will be, which will then provide a lower hurdle for growth. Mr. Petri. Now, one last thing. You would assume, if there had been a huge consolidation in industry and just a few big global players, that they would have more pricing power, and ticket prices would go up and they would make money. But what seems to be happening is that prices have been steady or even declining, and it is an increasingly better buy for the traveling public. So what is wrong, from the point of view of these people trying to create monopolies? Or will there be a pot of gold at the end, from their point of view? Will they eventually extract monopoly profits? Mr. Strine. To apply that specifically to this merger, I think that the aim, if you listen to what the companies are arguing, is that they think they will get a better share of the corporate traveler, which is a higher-yielding customer, which will improve their mix and improve their yield. But I think when you look at the competitive structure, it is really, from a financial standpoint, it is important to look at it holistically and globally. I mean, certainly domestically, there is low-cost competition, there are companies that come and go. Internationally, we have seen consolidation in Europe. There has been a lot of consolidation, now Air France-KLM. British Airways and Iberia are merging. Deutsche Lufthansa has purchased both Swiss and Austrian over the past 2 years. In Latin America, there is only one airline, outside of Brazil, that basically controls the whole region; that is LAN in Chile. And in Asia--in China, there are only three major carriers in China. You have Air China in Beijing, China Southern in Guangzhou, and China Eastern in Shanghai. And they have been consolidating. So part of the analysis has to be, the companies here are going to be competing for international travelers against those foreign entities. And I think that is something that we shouldn't ignore. Mr. Petri. Thank you. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Mr. Petri. The Chair will now recognize himself. During the testimony of Mr. Tilton and Mr. Smisek, I had raised the issue of what is going to happen with the employees. And judging by the prior experience with airline mergers and what has happened to employees--and Mr. Roach raised the experience that he has been through--I understand that there is a lot of uncertainty about the future of a merged airline, what is going to happen to the employees. And I had also raised the point that I think that, if there were, as this moves forward, this consideration of the merger moves forward, if there are agreements that can be worked out with the unions, it certainly would make this a much smoother path to the merger being approved. So I wanted to know, thus far--I wanted to ask Captain Morse, Captain Pierce, Ms. Friend, and Mr. Roach, have you been at the table thus far, as the merger has been discussed? What have you learned, if you have? If you have or if you hadn't, what are the answers that you are waiting for? So I just wanted to throw that general question out there, and we will start with Captain Morse and go down the line. I just want to know what has happened so far and what do you want to see happen. Ms. Morse. I would begin by saying we have started the process. We have negotiated an expense reimbursement provision that isn't quite enough but it is a step in the right direction. We don't think the employees should have to pay for the expenses of the merger. It is the CEOs that decided they wanted to merge, not the pilots, not the employees. So that was a step in the right direction, but just a very small step. We see indications that the managements are interested in doing the right things, but until we actually see what they propose at the negotiating table, we are working on a transition agreement. That transition agreement would be more of a standstill type of agreement. As we process down that path, our next step would be a joint collective bargaining agreement. And whether we will get to that quickly or not will be really the indication of how well this merger will go. If we do not get to it quickly and, to quote Captain Pierce, if management doesn't learn the word ``yes'' and learn it relatively quickly, then the merger will be unsuccessful. So, as we proceed down the path, we see great opportunity here to lead, but we can't lead by ourselves. We must lead with the managements of the company to make it a successful merger. We see the right steps, but time will tell whether those steps are really taken. Mr. Pierce. And I would agree with Captain Morse that the steps---- Mr. Lipinski. Would you pull the microphone closer? Mr. Pierce. Yes, sir. I would agree with Captain Morse that, so far, since May 3rd, when the announcement was made, we have seen steps by management that would lead to cautious optimism, in terms of information sharing, in terms of working toward a transition agreement. I will say that the two pilot groups, United MEC and the Continental MEC, are working very well together. We have, I would say, outstepped our management counterparts, in terms of doing our due diligence and creating an environment for success. It has to be a sequential order. There has to be a certain order of things to occur that we have agreed upon. We are going to negotiate this transition agreement, and once that is complete, we will move to the joint collective bargaining agreement. And once that is complete, we will move to finalization of the seniority list integration. Each of those steps will be tests for our management groups to ensure that they are participating, good-natured, in good faith. And if they don't participate in good faith, then things won't progress. And as things don't progress, then they don't hit their synergies, they don't meet their obligations, they don't meet their commitments. It is very much in the hands of labor and our management counterparts, working together, if this is going to succeed. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you. Ms. Friend? Ms. Friend. Well, I am afraid we have no optimism at all. We have been at the bargaining table with this management team on an open and amendable agreement that was reached in bankruptcy for well over a year now. We have made no progress. The company has not moved on their opening concessionary proposals. Since they have announced the merger, they have been unwilling to discuss with us the expense reimbursement for what it will cost the employees to participate in putting this merger together. They have been unwilling to talk to us about what we refer to as a ``fence agreement,'' which allows for separate operations while we work through these issues. In fact, they have been unwilling to talk to us at all about the merger, other than to provide us with information that is publicly available that we could simply read in the newspaper. So, a very difficult labor-management relationship has not improved, nor have the executives of United Airlines given us any indication that they would like to improve it. So, any synergies that they hope to get from a combined flight attendant workforce are very, very far on the horizon and will not happen unless there is a change in attitude. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you, Ms. Friend. And, Mr. Roach, I know you were shaking your head immediately when I started asking questions. So I am afraid you are going to have a similar response here to Ms. Friend. Mr. Roach. Yeah, we have the unique--the machinists union has the unique--we have bargaining relationships on both carriers. And we have met separately and with both management teams. We have asked a lot of questions, and they don't have any answers. They have been willing to meet, and they continue to say they will give us the answers. Our concerns are obviously about pensions. We worked very hard during the bankruptcy to maintain pensions, during the bankruptcy, and getting the IAM National Pension Plan. We worked very hard on Continental to maintain a single-employer plan. And there is a lot of work. We have met with the PBGC, and they have expressed that there is a lot of work in trying to go through that process. And they haven't started, and they said they have thought about it but they don't have any answers. We are concerned about the regional partner, ExpressJet, we represent. They operate on United and Continental. What happens to them? What happens to the subsidiary of Air Micronesia? We are concerned about the overall business plan, that this is not too big to succeed and that we create this monster airline with two different, separate cultures that cannot be put together. Again, Northwest-Delta are not together. There are big problems over there. And their morale is down, and the employees are not happy. And there has been no integration. Although it is portrayed in the public as it is, that is not the case. And so we want to see the business plan. We want to see that this carrier can survive. We have asked for the information. They said it is forthcoming, and we look forward to it. But beyond the collective bargaining agreement, we want to make sure the carrier can survive and be successful. Having a good contract and no job means nothing. And so, if they build this carrier and the carrier fails because they are unable to pull it together, I guess there is an old cliche, ``When the camel dies, we all walk.'' And we don't intend to walk. We want to see the thing survive. So, we need information. Mr. Lipinski. Thank you. And I can't emphasize enough how important it is that these issues are worked out. With that, I will yield back, and I will now recognize the gentleman from Ohio, Mr. Boccieri. Mr. Boccieri. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I just have a quick question for the two gentlemen who seem to be on opposing sides with respect to their testimony. Mr. Strine and Mr. Horan, just if you could balance this out with your comments. Mr. Strine, in your conclusion, you said that, ``The ability to generate more consistent returns on equity and increase free cash flow is a path to repairing balance sheets and longer-term financial stability.'' However, Mr. Horan, from his testimony, has a very different picture or world view, suggesting that any merger between network airlines will produce modest connecting revenue gains, but without major growth of their hubs, significant sustainable revenue synergies are impossible.'' Can you guys balance those two comments out, please? Mr. Strine? Mr. Strine. Well, I think when you look at returns of a company, you have to start with revenue, and you need to think about what drives revenue. And what drives revenue is supply and demand and price. And what is clear to us all is that the revenue has not been sufficient to cover the costs, the operating costs of the business and the interest expense of the business. So there have been losses, and the retained earnings have been negative. So the companies, to keep going, have borrowed more and more money over the years. And, as those balance sheets become more laden with debt and overleveraged, the cost of borrowing and the cost of equity rises. And that constrains growth. So the hurdle rate for growth becomes higher, so growth becomes more difficult. Mr. Boccieri. Sir, I don't want to get into a theoretical debate, but please explain to me how reducing the number of competitors actually increases competition. Mr. Strine. I am not arguing that, that it does. Mr. Boccieri. OK. Mr. Horan? Mr. Horan. I think you have summarized my argument quite well. The core claim that these companies are making is that this is good for the public, this is good for consumers, this is good for the long-term health of the industry, because it will create measurable economic benefits in terms of network synergies or cost reductions. I believe both of those claims are fundamentally false. I believe, if you look at historical record, there is no evidence of anyone else having found this. I believe, if you look at the historical record of how networks work, you can create network synergies in a case where you build up a large hub--when TWA and Ozark merged in 1983, there were huge network synergies. You can create network synergies in an environment where the merged carrier suddenly creates a new ability to expand, grow into new markets, things like that. I used to run these networks; I know where to look. And what I am saying is, there is no evidence in this case or from any public statement that they are going to do any of those things that would enhance what are legitimate network synergies. And the cost side, the cost of putting these companies of this size and these levels of complexity together runs into the billions. We have already heard plenty of testimony on the collective bargaining issues that need to be resolved. Those are expensive. And, equally important, the integration of the maintenance systems, core to all the safety concerns raised by many people today; the integration of the reservation and other financial infrastructure. All of those costs are 100 percent certain. They occur right away. Do you save because you don't need two general counsels? Yes, but that is pretty trivial, and it is down the line. Mr. Boccieri. Do you think---- Mr. Horan. So I am just saying, if do you a simple cash flow--you know, United claimed, after 3 weeks of negotiation, their PR staff said, ``We will get cost reductions equal to 0.6 percent of our combined operating costs.'' And I am just saying that any person with common sense would look at that and say, that is what the PR guys are saying before the collective bargaining process has started and before you have done the hard, messy work of integrating maintenance systems and reservation systems. Chances are the cost synergies will be a big negative number. Mr. Boccieri. Do you think that previous mergers with the unintended consequences of these unforeseen costs that have been added have led to, sort of, farming out of some of these routes and some of the domestic routes to the low-cost carriers? Mr. Horan. Well, people were discussing American-TWA, which was justified on the exact same kinds of synergies we are talking about today. There were no new hubs created. There was no expansion that was going to happen. It was just that somehow one plus one was going to equal three. And no one in the government scrutinized that. And, again, that is my message for the Committee. You pointed out the, sort of, difference in the arguments in what I am saying versus what the CEO is saying. The issue for the Committee is, you have to have absolute confidence that the DOJ is going to run through those very critical synergy efficiency claims. And, by golly, if they are proven to be true and Mr. Tilton and Mr. Smisek have found opportunities that every past airline manager failed to find, and that Continental management, who had been saying, you know, ``We don't want to do a merger because it is too risky for our shareholders, and that is not really where the benefits are, and it would be a bad thing,'' he has found things that his previous management couldn't find--God bless him, if the synergies are honestly there, they are verifiable, they ought to be able to proceed. Because then what Mr. Strine is saying is those are legitimate things, that would improve efficiency, that is self-help. But if those efficiencies aren't there, it begs the basic question, well, what about all these anticompetitive problems? Isn't that what you are really going after, and isn't all the synergy stuff just a smokescreen? Mr. Strine. Can we take a simple example to maybe elaborate on this? Let's say you were running an airline and you were going to purchase 50 aircraft from Boeing. And then you were a much larger airline, and you were then going to purchase 100 aircraft from Boeing. Do you think you would get a lower price if you were purchasing 100? Do you think you would get a better deal on your service, your maintenance, et cetera? The scale, in terms of their purchasing power with suppliers, should have some benefits. Mr. Boccieri. Too big to fail, right. Mr. Horan. Could I just quickly reply to that, sir? The idea that an airline the size of United Airlines isn't big enough to compete and it needs to be bigger to be efficient is one the more ludicrous claims that anyone has made in this industry in the last half-century. And the example I keep going to is that Mr. Tilton and Mr. Smisek ought to fly to Moscow and sit down with the Russians, and tell them what a terrible mistake they made when they broke up Aeroflot. It had such scale economies, it not only did all the commercial aviation, it did the military and the crop dusting. But they broke it up with this silly notion that, while you wouldn't have the scale economies on ordering pencils and legal pads, benefits from competition and spurring innovation would greatly offset the reduced scale with many smaller companies. And, again, it comes back to a factual point. If the scale economies, which is the synergy claim that Mr. Smisek and Mr. Tilton are making, are really there, which no one else has found, great. If they are not--but this is a factual question that objective people can sort through fairly easily. Mr. Strine. The fact is, United already did go bankrupt, and they are still here. Mr. Horan. Yeah. Right. Look at the financial performance of U.S. airlines in the last 15, 20 years. There is almost a perfect negative correlation: Smaller airlines have earned the kind of return for their shareholders that Mr. Strine is taking about, and the big, entrenched ones do not. Mr. Boccieri. Well, I appreciate that. And I know that did receive some government taxpayer dollars right after September 11th. Captain Pierce, I just want to comment. I know you talked about that your training would have prevented--or would have prepared you to recover from a full stall. And I concur that the legacy carriers have done a great job with training and the expertise that they have added. I want to see that same level of commitment now with the regional airlines. Not all, you know, have been deficient like Colgan have. But we certainly want to see that higher standard be maintained. And we are going to require the FAA, but we want to make sure that the companies do so, as well, because they are ultimately in charge of the training requirements. Mr. Costello. [Presiding.] The Chair thanks the gentleman and now recognizes the gentleman from California, Mr. Garamendi. Mr. Garamendi. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Oberstar has gone on and on about efficiencies at Northwest and Delta. I have my own story, Chairman. Due to the lateness of our session and the cancellation of the United flight out of National, I had to jump on a Northwest-Delta flight via Minneapolis on a through-flight presumably to Sacramento. It was about $990, as I recall, for that one-way ticket. When I got to your part of the world, Mr. Chairman Oberstar, I got off the plane and found out that it stopped, I wasn't going to go any further, and I was dumped in Minneapolis-St. Paul for the night. All well and good, they handed me a ticket for the next flight out the next morning. I went to pick up my ticket, I went to get on the flight, and I wasn't booked, much to my surprise and angst. Eventually, I was able to get on the very last seat, which I suspect may have been a pilot seat that somehow would cause a delay somewhere else. Anyway, the way in which the system worked was a telephone call--the computers didn't work at all, which should have been obvious since I didn't have a seat. But the only way they did it was by telephone to somebody that they found in, I guess, Atlanta. So much for the efficiency issue of mergers. But that is just a personal problem. My real concern is one of safety all the way around. I was astounded by the information given by the two CEOs about who is going to make sure that the maintenance in China, Singapore, and the Philippines was of quality, as though they had no responsibility themselves for that; it was, in fact, an FAA responsibility. No, that is not the case. Similarly, with regard to the quality of the pilots and other personnel on those regional airlines that contract, in this case, with United or with Continental, it is the responsibility of the management of both United and Continental today, to say nothing going forward, it is their responsibility to provide assurances that the highest quality maintenance, wherever it may be, San Francisco or Shanghai or wherever, is done. Those are my comments. And I will do everything I can to hold the management responsible for the quality of the pilots as well as the quality of the maintenance facilities. Finally, with regard to the issue going forward of the financials on the merger and whether, in fact, the Justice Department is looking at it, Mr. Chairman, I might recommend, based upon what we just heard, the testimony, that we invite the Justice Department to come and testify as to what they have found with regard to the issue of synergies of all kinds. And if they are not even looking at them, we might want to beat them over the head and ask them to look at those, and, in fact, are there real synergies or is it just one way to put smoke up in the air. I don't have any further questions. If any of the participants would like to jump in with my remaining 1 minute and 35 seconds, do so. Ms. Morse. I think we both would. With regard to the outsourcing of flying that you both spoke so eloquently about earlier, we have a very good mentoring program that has worked for certainly more than the 25 years, probably since our inception in 1926. And that mentoring program is where a senior captain mentored the more junior first officer. Today, we have a different scenario, where we have 1,437 people on the street, highly experienced pilots that are not working, when instead we have less experienced pilots. You can't train for that. We have a mentoring program, and we should have a flow down and a flow up. As the CEOs indicated, we don't have those airplanes to put on those routes. Well, last I checked, they have yokes and ailerons and rudders. And there is no reason why we can't fly those airplanes. We are very capable of flying those airplanes. And to say that that is the solution to the problem, is ``we don't have that size aircraft,'' is ludicrous. The people that mentored us were the people whose very pensions were taken away. And we are going to have to solve for both the outsourcing problem and the disparity in the pensions as we move forward. Mr. Pierce. And I would add on top of Captain Morse that, you know, the FARs, the Federal Aviation Regulations, for training standards and for flight time and duty regulations basically set a baseline of acceptability. For years and years and years, ALPA contracts have increased those levels of safety, those levels of training. And what we saw through the concessionary period that began post-9/11 is that those were areas that got degraded in our contracts. Now, as we rebuild those contracts, we are going to have to pay more attention to reparations, the training standards and through flight time and duty time. And I hope we have your support, as well, in pushing through the training standards language that ALPA supports as well as the flight time and duty time regulations that have been stalled for so long and, you know, were born by Captain Babbitt over a year ago and do not seem to be making much progress. Mr. Garamendi. Mr. Chairman, just a very brief comment. We had two CEOs here. I have been sitting on a dais like this for some 35 years, and I can really recognize BS and being shined on. And I know that I was shined on, if not inundated with BS. There is a very, very serious problem here, in my view, about safety. And when they tell me that it is the FAA's responsibility, and when they claim, and then backed away from it, that it is not their responsibility to the quality of the people they contract with--that is, the airlines and the people that are then hired by those regional carriers--I know that something is seriously wrong. And I, for one, have been too long at this game, not in this particular chair but in chairs in California, to listen to that kind of thing and find it acceptable. And they have said they are going to respond to me. They had better. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman. And let me mention to the gentleman that we invited the Justice Department to send representatives over to testify today. It is their standard practice when they are reviewing a case that they decline to testify. They have sent a letter to us just explaining the procedure that they will follow in reviewing the proposed merger. And I will tell the gentleman that we will take your comments from the record and write a letter to the Justice Department, telling them that we specifically want them to concentrate on the synergies that are claimed by the CEOs on this proposed merger. Mr. Garamendi. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Costello. The Chair would ask Members if they have any other questions, comments. And, if not, the Chair would recognize the Chairman of the Full Committee, Chairman Oberstar, for closing comments. Mr. Oberstar. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. This has been a most enlightening and valuable hearing, especially this panel, with some very specific issues involved raised by mergers. And, of course, rather standard testimony we expected, I almost could have written it, with the two CEOs. But before I make a closing observation, Mr. Foer and Mr. Horan--Mr. Foer, you said, ``Standard antitrust analysis focuses on horizontal overlaps. It is necessary but should not be considered sufficient.'' Mr. Horan, you observed, ``The Committee needs to address the root cause of these problems: DOT's nullification of longstanding antitrust law and evidentiary requirements.'' Both comments go to the heart of the issue that we are dealing with here and in the Delta-Northwest merger, acquisition, however you want to phrase it. What are your suggestions for--just want your verbal response and then put something in writing as you think about it. How can we restructure the DOT role in the antitrust proceedings to give it more weight, give it more force in the calculations done on these antitrust proceedings? Because the antitrust law is limited, as you say, horizontal overlaps. I had to ask the Justice Department in the Delta-Northwest situation whether they would consider the domino effect, the downstream effect of a Delta-Northwest merger on other possible mergers, and it was like pulling teeth, but eventually they said, yes, we would give that consideration. They didn't say it would be a factor, didn't say it would be a decisive factor. But the antitrust role is very--it is like a straightjacket. It is very limited. The DOT has wider latitude in these matters, but they, nonetheless, have gone on to approve antitrust immunity, along with Justice, for international alliances. So what are your thoughts about how we can rephrase that authority? What provisions could we include in future legislation? Mr. Foer. Mr. Chairman, I don't think the answer is with giving DOT a larger role. DOT had the role all by itself after deregulation, and it blew it. And Congress said, OK, let's let the antitrust division handle these matters. DOT provides information that is very important. It is not that the law, the antitrust law, is necessarily that narrow. It has been interpreted in a very narrow way for 30 years. The Justice Department and the FTC have put forward for public comment revised horizontal merger guidelines. And in that, they recognize the role of incipiency, for instance. Section 7 of the Clayton Act is an incipiency statute. It is supposed to stop mergers before they become dangerously anticompetitive. And that is a trend, it is a prediction. I don't think that that has been the way either of the agencies have been interpreting the law sufficiently in the past, but the law is there. And pressure from Congress to utilize the law to its fullest is what is needed. And I think that the agencies are capable of looking at not only the merger before it, but recognizing salami tactics and recognizing that companies interact on a strategic basis, and when one goes forward and changes the structure of the industry, the others have to respond. I think that that can be taken into account by antitrust, but it hasn't been. Mr. Oberstar. And it should be. Mr. Horan, do you think there is not much more we could do with DOT? Mr. Horan. I agree that the law as written is not the problem. There are no obstacles in the law to considering the actual economics of the applicant's proposed a merger, but they refuse to do that. The problem is that deregulation of the airline industry, Mr. Chairman, you understand this as well as anyone, was designed specifically on the concept that all other laws that apply to all other deregulated industries designed to create a level playing field and protect consumer interests--such as antitrust laws, consumer protection laws, and labor laws--were always intended to apply to the deregulated airline industry. The problem is that the Department of Transportation has been gutting the antitrust laws in response to the lobbying efforts of companies like United, Delta, and Continental. Those companies would like to distort competition to hurt the US Airways, hurt the Northwests, hurt the Southwests, hurt the JetBlues. And the Department of Transportation is a willing participant. And I am saying, consumers are already paying $5 billion a year in higher fares solely attributable to artificial pricing power, and the Department of Transportation's major objective right now is to make sure those same kind of anticompetitive pricing impacts hurl into the Pacific. They are doing everything possible to stop scrutiny of those cases. They do not want evidence presented. I have had applications to examine the core claim of these Japan cases--the network synergies. I used to run a hub, the biggest hub in Tokyo, at Northwest. I was the person who developed antitrust immunity networks. I can evaluate this claim. If I am not the best-qualified person on the planet to look at it, I am in the top five. The Department of Transportation said, ``No, absolutely not. We cannot have anyone evaluate trans-Pacific network synergies. We are creating a new rule that says only lawyers can do it. Mr. Horan, you may not evaluate this claim.'' So I am saying they are going to any length to say, ``No, we don't want any scrutiny of these clients.'' And so, just go back and allow verifiable scrutiny in accordance with the Horizontal Merger Guidelines, and I think you have solved two-thirds of the problem right there. Unfortunately for DOT, you would also bring the airline consolidation movement to a grinding, screeching halt. Because without the suspension of those antitrust laws, none of this would have happened. Mr. Oberstar. Well, you are quite right. From down there somewhere in the podium where I sat in 1978 and rubbed my worry beads about this deregulation, now, what is going to be the outcome here, we anticipated that the Carter Justice Department would ride herd on any mergers that might result. We didn't count on Carter losing the election, Reagan winning, and the Reagan Justice Department never meeting a merger it didn't like. But the argument made today and 2 years ago by Delta- Northwest was, ``We need to be big, we need to really be big in the marketplace.'' And I think you have said, the notion that United is not big enough to compete in the domestic and international market is, I will concur, ludicrous. But the language of the applicable provision of the antitrust code is, ``Any activity affecting commerce in any section of the country, the effect of such acquisition may be substantially to lessen competition or tend to create a monopoly.'' There is a large, how shall I say, judgmental opportunity in those words that has not been used in so many years by the Justice Department as to be flaccid. And it needs to be--the people who are administering this law need to be strengthened and need a backbone and need to be encouraged. And that is why I am looking for something that we can--our Committee doesn't have jurisdiction over the judiciary, but we do have over DOT. And I am looking for some way that we can strengthen the hand of DOT in this process. Look, what it has led to, the bigness, bigness has led to $2.7 billion in baggage fee collections for 2009. That is 10 carriers. Of those 10 carriers, Delta and Northwest combine for one-third of the total, $766 million in baggage fee collections. That is what big business has given you: more market power in the domestic marketplace, more suppression of passengers and travelers and communities. It hasn't given you more choices. Maybe it will give you a few more choices on United or Delta, but not more choices for all travelers and consumers. It has led to job loss, it has led to a shift of employment from one city to another and downsizing and--well, I am now being repetitive. So I just want to say this is a terrible, awful, no-good thing, and the Justice Department ought to turn it down. And I will continue to do everything in my power to make that happen, because I think this is the very antithesis of deregulation and will lead to--the moment this thing is approved, I will draft and introduce legislation to reestablish market regulation by the government of airlines. Mr. Costello. The Chair thanks the gentleman. And I was going to---- Mr. Oberstar. Maybe you shouldn't. It is just going to give you more headaches. Mr. Costello. I was going to mention that maybe what deregulation has led to because of the Justice Department is possibly reregulation. And we have discussed that on more than one occasion. And it may be something that we will have to move forward on, depending on what the Justice Department does. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you. We appreciate you offering your testimony today. I think Chairman Oberstar and others have summarized the issues. You heard in my opening statement, you heard from many of the Members deep concerns concerning safety, concerning the workforce, a number of other issues. And we will urge the Justice Department to specifically look at those issues in reviewing this proposed merger. Again, we appreciate your testimony. And the Subcommittee stands adjourned. Thank you. [Whereupon, at 1:38 p.m., the Subcommittee was adjourned.] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]