[Federal Register Volume 81, Number 65 (Tuesday, April 5, 2016)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 19519-19526]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2016-07670]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R04-OAR-2015-0518; FRL-9944-50-Region 4]
Air Plan Approval; North Carolina; Regional Haze
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
approve a revision to North Carolina's regional haze State
Implementation Plan (SIP), submitted by the North Carolina Department
of Environment and Natural Resources (NC DENR) on October 31, 2014,
that relies on an alternative to Best Available Retrofit Technology
(BART) to satisfy BART requirements for electric generating units
(EGUs) formerly subject to the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR). EPA
also proposes to find that final approval of this SIP revision would
correct the deficiencies that led to EPA's limited disapproval of the
State's regional haze SIP on June 7, 2012, and proposes to convert
EPA's June 27, 2012, limited approval to a full approval. This
submittal addresses the requirements of the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act)
and EPA's rules that require states to prevent any future, and remedy
any existing, manmade impairment of visibility in mandatory Class I
areas caused by emissions of air pollutants from numerous sources
located over a wide geographic area (also referred to as the regional
haze program). States are required to assure reasonable progress toward
the national goal of achieving natural visibility conditions in Class I
areas.
DATES: Written comments must be received on or before April 26, 2016.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R04-
OAR-2015-0518 at http://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online
instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot
be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. EPA may publish any comment
received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any
information you consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI)
or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a
written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment
and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. EPA will
generally not consider comments or comment contents located outside of
the primary submission (i.e. on the web, cloud, or other file sharing
system). For additional submission methods, the full EPA public comment
policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and general
guidance on making effective comments, please visit http://www2.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Michele Notarianni, Air Regulatory
Management Section, Air Planning and Implementation Branch, Air,
Pesticides and Toxics Management Division, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Region 4, 61 Forsyth Street SW., Atlanta, Georgia
30303-8960. Ms. Notarianni can be reached by telephone at (404) 562-
9031 or via electronic mail at [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Background for EPA's Proposed Action
A. Overview of the Regional Haze Rule
Regional haze is visibility impairment that is produced by a
multitude of sources and activities which are located across a broad
geographic area and emit fine particles (e.g., sulfates, nitrates,
organic carbon, elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors
(e.g., sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides
(NOX), and in some cases, ammonia and volatile organic
compounds). Fine particle precursors react in the atmosphere to form
fine particulate matter (PM2.5) which impairs visibility by
scattering and absorbing light. Visibility impairment reduces the
[[Page 19520]]
clarity, color, and visible distance that one can see.
In section 169A of the 1977 Amendments to the CAA, Congress created
a program for protecting visibility in the nation's national parks and
wilderness areas. This section of the CAA establishes as a national
goal the ``prevention of any future, and the remedying of any existing,
impairment of visibility in mandatory Class I Federal areas (Class I
areas) which impairment results from manmade air pollution.'' It also
directs states to evaluate the use of retrofit controls at certain
larger, often uncontrolled, older stationary sources in order to
address visibility impacts from these sources. Specifically, section
169A(b)(2)(A) of the CAA requires states to revise their SIPs to
contain such measures as may be necessary to make reasonable progress
towards the national visibility goal, including a requirement that
certain categories of existing major stationary sources built between
1962 and 1977 (known as ``BART-eligible'' sources) procure, install,
and operate BART. In the 1990 CAA Amendments, Congress amended the
visibility provisions in the CAA to focus attention on the problem of
regional haze.
In 1999, EPA promulgated the Regional Haze Rule, which requires
states to develop and implement SIPs to ensure reasonable progress
toward improving visibility in Class I areas by reducing emissions that
cause or contribute to regional haze. See 64 FR 35713 (July 1, 1999).
The Regional Haze Rule requires each state, the District of Columbia,
and the Virgin Islands to each submit a regional haze SIP no later than
December 17, 2007. Under 40 CFR 51.308(e), the SIP must contain
emission limitations representing BART and schedules for compliance
with BART for each BART-eligible source, unless the SIP demonstrates
that an emissions trading program or other alternative (BART
Alternative) will achieve greater reasonable progress toward natural
visibility conditions than would have resulted from the installation
and operation of BART at all sources subject to BART and covered by the
BART Alternative. An approvable BART Alternative must meet the criteria
in 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2) as described in section II.B, below.
CAA Section 169A and the Regional Haze Rule require states to
establish a long-term strategy for making reasonable progress toward
meeting the national goal of achieving natural visibility conditions in
Class I areas. The long-term strategy is the compilation of all
enforceable emission limitations, compliance schedules, and other
measures as necessary for a state to meet applicable reasonable
progress goals during an implementation period. For the first
implementation period, the long-term strategy includes BART as well as
any other controls necessary to ensure reasonable progress.
B. North Carolina's Regional Haze SIP
North Carolina submitted its regional haze SIP on December 17,
2007, the regional haze SIP submittal deadline. Fully consistent with
EPA's regulations at the time, the SIP relied on CAIR to satisfy
NOX and SO2 BART requirements for CAIR-subject
EGUs in the State and to partially satisfy the requirement for a long-
term strategy sufficient to achieve the state-adopted reasonable
progress goals.
CAIR, promulgated in 2005, required 27 states and the District of
Columbia to reduce emissions of NOX and SO2 that
significantly contribute to, or interfere with maintenance of, the 1997
national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) for fine particulates
and for ozone in any downwind state. CAIR imposed specified emissions
reduction requirements on each affected state and established an EPA-
administered cap and trade program for EGUs that states could join as a
means to meet these requirements.
EPA demonstrated that CAIR achieved greater reasonable progress
toward the national visibility goal than BART for NOX and
SO2 at BART-eligible EGUs in CAIR affected states, and the
Agency revised the Regional Haze Rule to provide that states
participating in CAIR's cap-and-trade program need not require affected
BART-eligible EGUs to install, operate, and maintain BART for emissions
of SO2 and NOx. See 70 FR 39104 (July 6, 2005). As a result,
a number of states in the CAIR region designed their regional haze SIPs
to rely on CAIR as an alternative to NOx and SO2 BART for
CAIR-subject EGUs. These states also relied on CAIR as an element of a
long-term strategy for achieving their reasonable progress goals.
The United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia
Circuit (D.C. Circuit) initially vacated CAIR in 2008,\1\ but
ultimately remanded the rule to EPA without vacatur to preserve the
environmental benefits provided by CAIR.\2\ On August 8, 2011, acting
on the D.C. Circuit's remand, EPA promulgated the Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR) to replace CAIR and thus to address the
interstate transport of emissions contributing to nonattainment and
interfering with maintenance of the two air quality standards covered
by CAIR as well as the 2006 PM2.5 NAAQS.\3\ See 76 FR 48208.
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\1\ North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
\2\ North Carolina v. EPA, 550 F.3d 1176 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
\3\ Although a number of parties challenged the legality of
CSAPR and the D.C. Circuit initially vacated and remanded CSAPR to
EPA in EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v. EPA, 696 F.3d 7, 38 (D.C.
Cir. 2012), the United States Supreme Court reversed the D.C.
Circuit's decision on April 29, 2014, and remanded the case to the
D.C. Circuit to resolve remaining issues in accordance with the high
court's ruling. EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P., 134 S. Ct.
1584 (2014). On remand, the D.C. Circuit affirmed CSAPR in most
respects and CSAPR is now in effect. EME Homer City Generation, L.P.
v. EPA, 795 F.3d 118 (D.C. Cir. 2015).
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Due to CAIR's status as a temporary measure following the D.C.
Circuit's 2008 ruling, EPA could not fully approve regional haze SIP
revisions to the extent that they relied on CAIR to satisfy the BART
requirement and the requirement for a long-term strategy sufficient to
achieve the state-adopted reasonable progress goals. On these grounds,
EPA finalized a limited disapproval of North Carolina's regional haze
SIP on June 7, 2012, triggering the requirement for EPA to promulgate a
FIP unless North Carolina submitted and EPA approved a SIP revision
that corrected the deficiency. See 77 FR 33642. EPA finalized a limited
approval of North Carolina's regional haze SIP on June 27, 2012, as
meeting the remaining applicable regional haze requirements set forth
in the CAA and the Regional Haze Rule. See 77 FR 38185.
II. Analysis of North Carolina's Regional Haze SIP Submittal
On October 31, 2014, NC DENR submitted a revision to North
Carolina's regional haze SIP to correct the deficiencies identified in
the June 7, 2012, limited disapproval by replacing reliance on CAIR
with reliance on a BART Alternative to satisfy NOx and SO2
BART requirements for EGUs formerly subject to CAIR. EPA is proposing
to approve this SIP revision because EPA is proposing to determine that
the BART Alternative contained therein meets the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(e)(2) and that final approval of this SIP revision would correct
the deficiencies that led to EPA's limited disapproval of the State's
regional haze SIP.
A. North Carolina's BART Alternative
North Carolina's October 31, 2014, SIP revision relies on the
State's Clean Smokestacks Act (CSA) as a BART Alternative for
NOX and SO2 at the BART-eligible EGUs formerly
covered by CAIR. North Carolina enacted the
[[Page 19521]]
CSA in 2002 to improve air quality by imposing firm caps on the total
annual emissions of NOx and SO2 from 42 coal-fired EGUs at
the 14 power plants identified in Table 1, below, operated by Duke
Energy Progress, LLC (Progress Energy) and Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC
(Duke Energy).\4\ The CSA requires Duke Energy EGUs and Progress Energy
EGUs to reduce SO2 emissions to 150,000 tons and 100,000
tons, respectively, by the end of 2009 and to further reduce
SO2 emissions to 80,000 tons and 50,000 tons, respectively,
by the end of 2013. The CSA limits NOx emissions from Duke Energy EGUs
and Progress Energy EGUs to 35,000 tons and 25,000 tons, respectively,
beginning on January 1, 2007, and tightens the emissions cap on Duke
Energy EGUs to 31,000 tons as of January 1, 2009. Collectively, the
caps require these utilities to: (1) Reduce actual emissions of
NOX from 245,000 tons in 1998 to 56,000 tons by 2009 (a 77
percent reduction), and (2) reduce actual SO2 emissions from
489,000 tons in 1998 to 250,000 tons by 2009 (a 49 percent reduction)
and to 130,000 tons by 2013 (a 73 percent reduction).
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\4\ More information on the CSA regulation can be found at
http://daq.state.nc.us/news/leg/cleanstacks.shtml. At the time that
the CSA was enacted, the Progress Energy units were owned by
Progress Energy Carolinas, Inc. and the Duke Energy units were owned
by Duke Power.
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Duke Energy and Progress Energy must meet the CSA emission caps
through actual reductions. The CSA does not allow these units to buy or
trade emissions credits (also referred to as ``allowances'') under
CSAPR to meet these caps even though each utility may decide how to
allocate emission reductions across its affected units.\5\ Furthermore,
any CSAPR allowances in excess of the CSA emissions caps must be
surrendered to the North Carolina State Treasurer thereby preventing
the transfer of these allowances to EGUs located in other states within
the CSAPR trading program.\6\ EPA approved the CSA emissions caps into
North Carolina's SIP on September 26, 2011. See 76 FR 59250.
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\5\ The CSA also prohibited the purchase and trade of CAIR
credits to meet the CSA caps when CAIR was in effect. Allowances
cannot be traded between the units owned by Progress Energy and
those owned by Duke Energy.
\6\ In 2013, Duke Energy reported an excess of 58,961 CAIR
SO2 allowances and 1,987 CAIR NOx allowances above CSA
emissions limits and Progress Energy reported 78,050 excess CAIR
SO2 allowances. All of these excess allowances have been
verified and transferred to the State.
\7\ This category includes EGUs that were converted from coal to
natural gas.
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Progress Energy and Duke Energy have shut down 22 of the coal-fired
EGUs subject to the CSA and have installed scrubbers to control
SO2 emissions and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) or
Selective Non-catalytic Reduction (SNCR) to control NOX
emissions on all of the currently operating coal-fired EGUs subject to
the CSA in order to meet the emissions caps. Table 1, below, identifies
the retired units and the NOX and SO2 emissions
controls on the operating units.
Table 1--EGUs Subject to the CSA
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Status Facility Parent company * Unit ID BART-eligible NOX Control SO2 Control
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Operating \7\................... Allen.............. Duke............... 1-5 ................... SNCR............... FGD
Asheville.......... Progress........... 1-2 Y.................. SCR................ FGD
Buck............... Duke............... 5-9 ................... SNCR............... **
Belews Creek....... Duke............... 1-2 Y.................. SCR................ FGD
Cliffside.......... Duke............... 5 Y.................. SCR................ FGD
6 ................... SCR................ FGD
Marshall........... Duke............... 1-2, 4 Y.................. SNCR............... FGD
3 SCR................ FGD
Mayo............... Progress........... 1 ................... SCR................ FGD
Roxboro............ Progress........... 1-3 Y.................. SCR................ FGD
4 SCR................ FGD
Retired......................... Cape Fear.......... Progress........... 5-6
Cliffside.......... Duke............... 4
Dan River.......... Duke............... 1-3
Lee................ Progress........... 1-3
Riverbend.......... Duke............... 7-10
Sutton............. Progress........... 3 Y..................
Weatherspoon....... Progress........... 1-3
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* Duke Energy and Progress Energy merged on July 2, 2012.
** Units converted from coal to natural gas.
B. EPA's Evaluation of North Carolina's BART Alternative
The Regional Haze Rule requires that a SIP revision establishing a
BART Alternative include the three elements listed below, and EPA has
evaluated North Carolina's BART Alternative with respect to each of
these elements.
A demonstration that the emissions trading program or
other alternative measure will achieve greater reasonable progress than
would have resulted from the installation and operation of BART at all
sources subject to BART in the state and covered by the alternative
program. See 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i).
A requirement that all necessary emissions reductions take
place during the period of the first long-term strategy for regional
haze. See 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(iii).
A demonstration that the emissions reductions resulting
from the alternative measure will be surplus to those reductions
resulting from measures adopted to meet requirements of the CAA as of
the baseline date of the SIP. See 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(iv).
EPA seeks comments on its proposed findings under each of these
elements, which are described in detail below.
1. Demonstration That the BART Alternative Will Achieve Greater
Reasonable Progress Than BART
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i), the state must demonstrate that
the BART Alternative will achieve greater reasonable progress than
would have resulted from the installation and operation of BART at all
sources subject to BART in the state and covered by the alternative
program. This demonstration
[[Page 19522]]
must be based on the five criteria addressed below.
a. List of All BART-Eligible Sources Within the State
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(A), the SIP submission must
include a list of all BART-eligible sources within the state. In its
December 31, 2007, regional haze SIP submittal, North Carolina
identified all 17 BART-eligible sources located in the State. See 77 FR
11858, 11873-11874 (February 28, 2012). Of these 17 sources, six were
subject to CAIR and 11 were non-EGUs. North Carolina determined that
one non-EGU source was subject to BART, nine were exempt from BART, and
one was shut down. See 77 FR 11873, 11874 (February 28, 2012). The
State relied on CAIR to satisfy the NOX and SO2
BART requirements for the 13 BART-eligible EGUs at the six CAIR-subject
sources. EPA approved the State's identification of BART-eligible and
BART-subject sources and the BART determination for the one BART-
subject source not subject to CAIR (Blue Ridge Paper). See 77 FR 38185
(June 27, 2012). EPA issued a limited disapproval of the State's SIP
submittal based on its reliance on CAIR to satisfy NOX and
SO2 BART requirements for certain sources and to satisfy the
long-term strategy requirements of its EGUs. See 77 FR 33642 (June 7,
2012). In its October 31, 2014, SIP revision, the State lists the 13
BART-eligible EGUs impacted by EPA's limited disapproval. Because the
State identified all BART-eligible units in its regional haze SIP and
identified all outstanding BART-eligible units in its BART Alternative
SIP revision, EPA proposes to find that the State has met the
requirement of 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(A).
b. List of All BART-Eligible Sources and All Bart Source Categories
Covered by the Alternative Program
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(B), the SIP submission must
include a list of all BART-eligible sources and all BART source
categories covered by the BART Alternative, and each BART-eligible
source in the state must be subject to the requirements of the
alternative program or have a federally enforceable emission limitation
determined by the state and approved by EPA as meeting BART. As
previously mentioned, EPA approved the BART determinations for all
BART-eligible units in North Carolina with the exception of
NOX and SO2 BART for the 13 BART-eligible EGUs
formerly covered by CAIR, and these 13 units are subject to the BART
Alternative. Therefore, EPA proposes to find that the SIP revision
satisfies 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(B).
c. Analysis of BART and Associated Emissions Reductions
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(C), the SIP submission must
include an analysis of the best system of continuous emissions control
technology available and associated emission reductions achievable for
each source subject to BART and covered by the alternative program.
This analysis must be conducted by making a BART determination for each
source subject to BART and covered by the alternative program unless
the alternative has been designed to meet a requirement other than
BART. In this latter case, the State may determine the best system of
continuous emissions control technology and associated emission
reductions for similar types of sources within a source category based
on both source-specific and category-wide information, as appropriate.
North Carolina opted to use the simplified approach because North
Carolina created the CSA to meet requirements other than BART.
In using the simplified approach for EGUs, states may estimate the
emissions reductions associated with BART based on an analysis of what
BART is likely to be for similar types of sources within the source
category using the presumptions for EGUs in the Guidelines for BART
Determinations under the Regional Haze Rule located at 40 CFR part 51,
Appendix Y (BART Guidelines). The BART Guidelines contain presumptive
NOX and SO2 emissions limits for EGUs greater
than 200 megawatt (MW) capacity at plants with a total generating
capacity in excess of 750 MW. When a state is estimating the emissions
reductions achievable through BART at the BART-eligible EGUs covered by
the BART Alternative, it should assume that these EGUs would control at
the presumptive level unless the state determines that such
presumptions are not appropriate.
i. SO2 Emissions Reductions
The BART Guidelines specify the presumptive SO2 BART
limit at 95 percent control or 0.15 pounds per million British Thermal
Units (lbs/MMBtu) for uncontrolled EGUs greater than 200 MW at 750 MW
power plants unless an alternative control level is justified. See 40
CFR part 51, App. Y, IV.E.4. North Carolina used this presumptive limit
to calculate SO2 BART emissions by multiplying the limit by
each BART-eligible EGU's 2002 heat input in MMBtu. When compared to
actual 2002 SO2 emissions, the State calculated that BART
would reduce SO2 emissions by 274,668 tons. See Table 3 in
North Carolina's October 31, 2014, submittal.
ii. NOX Emissions Reductions
All of the BART-eligible EGUs subject to the CSA burn bituminous
coal and have either wall-fired or tangential-fired boilers. See Table
1 of the State's October 31, 2014, submittal. The presumptive
NOX emission limits for these EGUs are 0.39 and 0.28 lb/
MMbtu for wall-fired and tangential-fired boilers, respectively, unless
an alternative control level is justified. See 40 CFR part 51, App. Y,
IV.E.5. North Carolina used these presumptive limits to calculate
NOX BART emissions by multiplying the corresponding limits
by each BART-eligible EGU's 2002 heat input in MMBtu. When compared to
actual 2002 NOX emissions, the State calculated that BART
would reduce NOX emissions by 19,364 tons. See Table 8 in
North Carolina's October 31, 2014, submittal.
d. Analysis of Emissions Reductions Associated With the BART
Alternative
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(D), the SIP submission must
include an analysis of the projected emissions reductions achievable
through the BART Alternative. North Carolina projected these reductions
using four different methods: (1) CSA emissions caps; (2) 2018
emissions projected by the Visibility Improvement--State and Tribal
Association of the Southeast (VISTAS) \8\ and presented in North
Carolina's December 17, 2007, regional haze SIP submission; (3) 2018
emissions projected by EPA's Integrated Planning Model (IPM); and (4)
2018 emissions projected by Duke Energy after the merger with Progress
Energy. North Carolina also evaluated actual emissions reductions from
the CSA units by comparing 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2013 emissions
to 2002 levels. Table 2 shows the emissions reductions associated with
the BART Alternative using the CSA caps and 2018
[[Page 19523]]
projections identified above, and Tables 3 and 4 show the reductions
using actual emissions from 2009-2015.
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\8\ VISTAS is a collaborative effort of state governments,
tribal governments, and various Federal agencies established to
initiate and coordinate activities associated with the management of
regional haze, visibility, and other air quality issues in the
southeastern United States. Member state and tribal governments
include: Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North
Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and
the Eastern Band of the Cherokee Indians.
Table 2--BART Alternative Emissions Reductions (Tons) From 2002 Baseline Using CSA Caps and 2018 Projections
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Pollutant 2002 Baseline CSA Cap 2018 VISTAS 2018 IPM 2018 Duke
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Emissions................................. SO2......................... 467,321 130,000 89,343 24,732 23,901
Reductions from Baseline.................. ............................ .............. 337,321 377,978 442,589 443,420
Emissions................................. NOX......................... 142,879 56,000 42,133 22,792 22,414
Reductions from Baseline.................. ............................ .............. 86,879 100,746 120,087 120,465
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Table 3--BART Alternative Emissions Reductions From 2002 Baseline Using Actual Emissions (Tons)--SO2
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2002 Baseline 2009 Actuals 2010 Actuals 2011 Actuals 2012 Actuals 2013 Actuals
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Emissions................................. 467,321..................... 110,818 116,529 73,457 53,458 42,080
Reductions from Baseline.................. ............................ 356,503 350,792 393,864 413,863 425,241
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Table 4--BART Alternative Emissions Reductions From 2002 Baseline Using Actual Emissions (Tons)--NOX
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2002 Baseline 2009 Actuals 2010 Actuals 2011 Actuals 2012 Actuals 2013 Actuals
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Emissions................................. 142,879..................... 37,829 47,373 39,361 42,147 40,410
Reductions from Baseline.................. ............................ 105,050 95,506 103,518 100,732 102,469
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i. CSA Caps
Under the CSA, Duke Energy EGUs and Progress Energy EGUs were
required to reduce SO2 emissions to 150,000 tons and 100,000
tons, respectively, by the end of 2009 and to further reduce
SO2 emissions to 80,000 tons and 50,000 tons, respectively,
by the end of 2013. Using the 2013 emissions caps, the BART Alternative
would reduce SO2 emissions by 337,321 tons from 2002 levels.
The CSA limited NOX emissions from Duke Energy EGUs and
Progress Energy EGUs to 35,000 tons and 25,000 tons, respectively,
beginning on January 1, 2007, and tightened the emissions cap on Duke
Energy EGUs to 31,000 tons as of January 1, 2009. Using the 2009
emissions caps, the BART Alternative would reduce NOX
emissions by 86,879 tons from 2002 levels.
ii. 2018 Projections
VISTAS developed 2018 emissions projections for the states in the
VISTAS region to use when preparing the states' regional haze SIP
submissions. VISTAS accounted for the CSA emissions caps and other
control programs, including CAIR, in its 2018 modeling and projected
total NOX and SO2 emissions from North Carolina's
EGUs at 42,133 tons and 89,343 tons, respectively. See 77 FR 11866
(February 28, 2012). North Carolina compared these 2018 VISTAS
emissions projections for the CSA units with 2002 actual emissions and
estimated that NOX and SO2 emissions from these
units would decrease by 100,746 tons and 377,978 tons, respectively.
The projected NOX and SO2 emissions reductions
from only the BART-eligible sources in the CSA would be 69,485 tons and
276,998 tons, respectively.
North Carolina also included EPA IPM modeling year 2018
NOX and SO2 emissions estimates for the CSA EGUs.
The IPM predicted that these units would emit approximately 22,792 tons
of NOXemissions in 2018, resulting in a projected reduction
of 120,087 tons when compared with 2002 actual emissions. The IPM also
predicted 24,732 tons of SO2 emissions from these units in
2018, resulting in a projected reduction of 442,589 tons compared to
2002 actual emissions. These predictions are well below VISTAS' 2018
projections and the CSA emissions caps.
Following the merger with Progress Energy, Duke Energy projected
2018 emissions for its EGUs in North Carolina due to the significant
shift from coal to natural gas and the retirement of several EGUs in
the State. These estimates were prepared by Duke Energy based on its
economic modeling, and they differ only slightly from the IPM forecast.
The primary difference between the Duke Energy and IPM estimates is
that EPA assumed in the IPM that the Allen facility's coal-fired EGUs
would be shut down by 2018.\9\ Duke Energy projected that the CSA units
would emit approximately 22,414 tons of NOX and 23,901 tons
of SO2 in 2018, a reduction of approximately 120,465 and
443,420 tons of NOX and SO2, respectively, from
2002 levels, respectively.
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\9\ Duke Energy must retire Allen Units 1 and 2 by December 31,
2024, pursuant to a consent decree entered by the United States
District Court for the Middle District of North Carolina on October
20, 2015. Consent Decree, United States, et al. v. Duke Energy
Corporation, Civil Case No. 1:00-cv-1262 (M.D.N.C. October 20,
2015).
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iii. Actual Emissions Reductions
North Carolina analyzed actual emissions reductions achieved with
the CSA for each year from 2009 to 2013 using emissions reported to
EPA's Clean Air Markets Division. North Carolina started with 2009
because this is the year when Duke Energy and Progress Energy were
required to comply with the CSA's first SO2 cap and the
final NOX cap. Emissions of SO2 steadily
decreased from 116,529 tons in 2010 to 42,080 tons in 2013. Actual
NOX emissions ranged from 47,373 tons in 2010 to 40,410 tons
in 2013. See Tables 6 and 11 in North Carolina's October 31, 2014,
submittal for actual emissions by CSA facility.
e. Determination That the BART Alternative Achieves Greater Reasonable
Progress Than BART
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(E), the state must provide a
determination that the alternative achieves greater reasonable progress
than BART under 40 CFR 51.308(e)(3) or otherwise based on the clear
weight of evidence. 40 CFR
[[Page 19524]]
51.308(e)(3) provides two different tests for determining whether the
alternative achieves greater reasonable progress than BART. Under the
first test, if the distribution of emissions is not substantially
different than under BART, and the alternative measure results in
greater emission reductions, then the alternative measure may be deemed
to achieve greater reasonable progress. If the distribution of
emissions is significantly different, however, then the state must use
the second test and conduct dispersion modeling to determine
differences in visibility between BART and the alternative program for
each impacted Class I area, for the worst and best 20 percent of days.
See 40 CFR 51.308(e)(3). The modeling would demonstrate ``greater
reasonable progress'' if: (1) Visibility does not decline in any Class
I area, and (2) there is an overall improvement in visibility,
determined by comparing the average differences between BART and the
alternative over all affected Class I areas. North Carolina did not
provide dispersion modeling because it believes that greater reasonable
progress can be shown through an emissions reduction analysis under the
first 40 CFR 51.308(e)(3) test and/or through a weight-of-evidence
analysis based on the types of controls installed on the BART-eligible
CSA units, the reductions in visibility impairing pollutants associated
with the CSA, and the uniform nature of these reductions across all
EGUs subject to the CSA.
EPA proposes to determine that the CSA achieves greater reasonable
progress than would be achieved through the installation and operation
of BART at the BART-eligible EGUs covered by the CSA based on the
following weight of evidence.
First, BART would result in controls for NOX and
SO2 only at the 13 BART-eligible EGUs, whereas the BART
Alternative applies to 42 EGUs. Of these 42 EGUs, 17 have retired, five
have converted from coal to natural gas, and the remaining 20 coal-
fired EGUs in operation are controlled for NOX and
SO2.
Second, the 20 operating coal-fired EGUs in the BART Alternative
have installed emissions controls to meet the CSA that are, with the
exception of NOX control at Allen Units 1-5 and Marshall
Units 1, 2, and 4, the most stringent controls available for
SO2 and NOX. All of the CSA EGUs use flue gas
desulphurization (i.e., scrubbers) to remove SO2.
SO2 controls are of particular importance because, as North
Carolina demonstrated in its regional haze SIP, sulfates are the major
contributor to PM2.5 mass and visibility impairment at Class
I areas in the VISTAS region and in states neighboring this region.\10\
See 77 FR 11867, 11877 (February 28, 2012). Thus, North Carolina
concluded that reducing SO2 emissions from EGU and non-EGU
point sources in the VISTAS states would have the greatest visibility
benefits for the North Carolina Class I areas and the Class I areas
that the State's sources impact. See 77 FR 11868 (February 28, 2012).
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\10\ The VISTAS region includes North Carolina and the two
states, Virginia and Tennessee, that North Carolina identified as
having a Class I area potentially impacted by its sources.
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Regarding NOX, all of the CSA-subject EGUs in operation
are using SCR for post-combustion NOX control, with the
exception of Allen Units 1-5 (not BART-eligible) and Marshall Units 1,
2, and 4 (BART-eligible) that use SNCR. Although SCR is the most
stringent NOX control technology available for EGU
retrofits, it is unlikely that a BART determination would result in the
installation of SCR at Marshall Units 1, 2, and 4 given the EGUs'
NOX emissions, the distance from Class I areas, the cost of
replacing SNCR with SCR, and the incremental visibility improvement
associated with the switch from SNCR to SCR. As discussed in North
Carolina's 2007 regional haze SIP submittal, nitrates are a relatively
small contributor to PM2.5 mass and visibility impairment on
the 20 percent worst days at the inland Class I areas in VISTAS, which
include all of the North Carolina Class I areas except for the
Swanquarter National Wilderness Area. Therefore, the visibility
benefits of reducing NOX emissions at these Class I areas
are small. See 77 FR 11868 (February 28, 2012).
Third, the emissions reductions under the BART Alternative are
greater than those that would result from the installation and
operation of BART at the BART-eligible EGUs covered by the CSA under a
variety of scenarios.\11\ As discussed in section II.B.1.c, above,
North Carolina compared CSA emissions to BART emissions using the CSA
caps, 2018 emissions projections prepared by VISTAS, IPM, and Duke
Energy, and actual NOX and SO2 emissions. Only
the emission reductions required by the CSA cap are federally
enforceable by virtue of being included in North Carolina's SIP. North
Carolina's calculations of emission reductions relative to the various
projections provide additional information and support for its
assertion that the BART Alternative achieves greater reasonable
progress than BART. Tables 5 through 7, below, identify the additional
emissions reductions achieved through the BART Alternative.
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\11\ As discussed above, North Carolina used EPA's presumptive
limits for NOX and SO2 as the BART benchmark.
Table 5--BART Alternative Emissions Reductions Beyond BART Using CSA Caps and 2018 Projections (Tons)
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Pollutant BART CSA cap 2018 VISTAS 2018 IPM 2018 Duke
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Reductions from 2002 Baseline............. SO2......................... 274,668 337,321 377,978 442,589 443,420
Reductions beyond BART.................... ............................ .............. 62,653 103,310 167,921 168,752
Reductions from 2002 Baseline............. NOX......................... 19,364 86,879 100,746 120,087 120,465
Reductions beyond BART.................... ............................ .............. 67,515 81,382 100,723 101,101
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Table 6--BART Alternative Emissions Reductions Beyond BART Using Actual Emissions (Tons)--SO2
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BART 2009 Actuals 2010 Actuals 2011 Actuals 2012 Actuals 2013 Actuals
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Reductions from 2002 Baseline........................... 274,668 356,503 350,791 393,864 413,862 425,241
Reductions beyond BART.................................. .............. 81,835 76,123 119,196 139,194 150,573
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[[Page 19525]]
Table 7--BART Alternative Emissions Reductions Beyond BART Using Actual Emissions (Tons)-- NOX
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BART 2009 Actuals 2010 Actuals 2011 Actuals 2012 Actuals 2013 Actuals
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Reductions from 2002 Baseline........................... 19,364 105,049 95,506 103,518 100,732 102,468
Reductions beyond BART.................................. .............. 85,685 76,142 84,154 81,368 83,104
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Compared with BART, North Carolina's current CSA caps achieve an
additional SO2 reduction of 62,653 tons and an additional
NOX reduction of 67,515 tons relative to the 2002 baseline.
Table 5 also shows that, depending on the origin of the 2018
projections, the BART Alternative results in an additional
SO2 reduction of 103,310 to 168,752 tons and an additional
NOX reduction of 81,382 to 101,101 tons beyond BART. The
comparison of actual emissions under the BART Alternative to estimated
BART emissions in Tables 6 and 7 shows that, between 2009 and 2013, the
CSA achieved 76,123 to 150,573 tons of additional SO2
reductions and 76,142 to 84,154 tons of additional NOX
reductions beyond BART. Regardless of the reduction scenario, the BART
Alternative results in significantly lower NOX and
SO2 emissions when compared to BART.
Fourth, the NOX and SO2 emissions controls
needed to comply with CSA requirements began operating before any
controls would begin operation under BART. BART must be installed and
operated as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years
after the date of EPA approval of the regional haze SIP. See CAA
section 169A(g)(4); 40 CFR 51.308(e)(1)(iv). The CSA, enacted in 2002,
required compliance with the initial emissions caps for SO2
in 2007 and NOX in 2009, and therefore resulted in emissions
reductions before EPA issued a limited approval of North Carolina's
regional haze SIP on June 27, 2012. See 77 FR 38185. Even if EPA had
approved source-specific BART determinations for the CAIR-subject units
in North Carolina at that time, the BART installation and operation
deadline would have been set after compliance with the CSA began.
Lastly, although the CSA does allow for limited emissions shifting,
there is no indication that implementation of the CSA would result in
any ``hot spots,'' as compared to BART. The shifting of emissions under
the CSA is limited by the prohibition on emissions credit trading
between the EGUs owned by Progress Energy and those owned by Duke
Energy before the 2012 merger, as mentioned above. Additionally, the
2009-2013 SO2 and NOX emissions data summarized
in Tables 6 and 11, respectively, of North Carolina's submittal
indicate that emissions have not shifted to any significant degree
between the EGUs subject to the CSA during this time period. Emissions
reductions were taking place at each EGU facility and not isolated to
any one facility or group of facilities. To the extent that any
shifting might occur in the future, all of the operating Progress
Energy units subject to the CSA operate with the most stringent
NOX and SO2 control equipment, and all of the
Duke Energy units subject to the CSA operate with the most stringent
NOX and SO2 controls with the exception of Allen,
Marshall, and Buck which operate SNCR. Of the SNCR units, only Marshall
is BART-eligible. Even assuming that a BART analysis would result in a
requirement to install SCR at Marshall, any shifting of emissions to
Marshall would be restricted by its available capacity. Furthermore,
any incremental decrease in NOX emissions if the State were
to require SCR at Marshall would not be expected to have a significant
impact on visibility at Class I areas due, in part, to the fact that
nitrates are a relatively small contributor to PM2.5 mass
and visibility impairment on the 20 percent worst days at the Class I
areas in closest proximity to Marshall.
Based on the evidence provided above, EPA proposes to find that the
BART Alternative achieves greater reasonable progress than BART and
thus satisfies the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(i)(E).
2. Requirement That Emissions Reductions Occur During the First
Implementation Period
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(iii), the state must ensure that
all necessary emission reductions take place during the period of the
first long-term strategy for regional haze (i.e., by December 31,
2018). The Regional Haze Rule further provides that, to meet this
requirement, the state must provide a detailed description of the
alternative measure, including schedules for implementation, the
emission reductions required by the program, all necessary
administrative and technical procedures for implementing the program,
rules for accounting and monitoring emissions, and procedures for
enforcement. Id. EPA proposes to find that the BART Alternative meets
this requirement because the State has fully described the CSA, the CSA
prescribes emissions reductions through the use of emissions caps, the
emissions caps are in effect and incorporated into North Carolina's
SIP, and all CSA-subject EGUs are required to meet the accounting and
monitoring requirements of CSAPR.\12\ Furthermore, all CSA-related
permitting and construction activities have been completed to meet the
CSA emissions caps. EPA therefore proposes to find that North Carolina
has satisfied the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(iii).
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\12\ See 76 FR 48208 (August 8, 2011).
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3. Demonstration That Emissions Reductions Are Surplus
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(iv), the SIP must demonstrate that
the emissions reductions resulting from the alternative measure will be
surplus to those reductions resulting from measures adopted to meet
requirements of the CAA as of the baseline date of the SIP. The
baseline date for regional haze SIPs is 2002, and the first
NOX and SO2 CSA emissions caps were not effective
until 2007 and 2009, respectively. See 64 FR 35742. Therefore, EPA
proposes to find that the reductions associated with the CSA are
surplus in accordance with 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2)(iv).
B. Reasonable Progress Evaluation
EPA finalized a limited disapproval of North Carolina's regional
haze SIP based on its reliance on CAIR to satisfy the BART requirement
and the requirement for a long-term strategy sufficient to achieve the
state-adopted reasonable progress goals. See 77 FR 33653. In that
action, EPA also finalized limited disapprovals of a number of other
states' regional haze SIPs that relied on CAIR to satisfy these
requirements and finalized Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs) that
substituted reliance on CSAPR for reliance on CAIR for several states.
Id. However, North Carolina's 2014 regional haze SIP submission relies
on the CSA, rather than CSAPR, to correct the deficiencies in its
regional haze SIP. EPA therefore must evaluate whether inclusion of the
CSA in lieu of CAIR in the state's long-term strategy is sufficient to
ensure reasonable progress.
As discussed in section II.B.1.e, sulfates are the major
contributor to visibility impairment at Class I areas in
[[Page 19526]]
the VISTAS region. Based on its conclusion that SO2
reductions would result in the greatest visibility improvements, North
Carolina's 2007 regional haze SIP submission focused its reasonable
progress control analysis on emission units that fall within the
SO2 area of influence of any Class I area, as modeled by
VISTAS, and have a one percent or greater contribution to the sulfate
visibility impairment in at least one Class I area. See 77 FR 11869.
Sixteen EGUs subject to the CSA and formerly subject to CAIR met North
Carolina's reasonable process screening criteria. The State
subsequently concluded in its regional haze SIP submission that no
additional controls beyond CAIR and the CSA were reasonable for these
units during the first implementation period. See 77 FR 11870, 11872.
North Carolina's long-term strategy relied, in part, on this
conclusion.
Ten of the 16 aforementioned units have shut down or converted to
natural gas. The remaining coal-fired units have each installed FGD to
comply with the CSA. Given North Carolina's focus on reducing
SO2 emissions to achieve reasonable progress and the fact
that coal-fired EGUs remaining in operation are already subject to the
most stringent SO2 controls available, EPA proposes to find
that no additional controls are necessary for these units to achieve
reasonable progress during the first implementation period. This
proposed finding and the proposed finding that North Carolina's BART
Alternative meets the requirements of the Regional Haze Rule form the
basis for EPA's proposal to convert EPA's limited disapproval of the
State's regional haze SIP to a full approval.
III. Proposed Action
EPA is proposing to find that North Carolina's regional haze SIP
revision meets the applicable requirements of the CAA and Regional Haze
Rule, including the requirement that the BART Alternative achieve
greater reasonable progress than would be achieved through the
installation and operation of BART. EPA also proposes to find that
final approval of this SIP revision would correct the deficiencies that
led to EPA's limited disapproval of the State's regional haze SIP on
June 7, 2012, and proposes to convert the EPA's June 27, 2012, limited
approval to a full approval. These proposed actions, if finalized,
would eliminate the need for EPA to issue a FIP to remedy the
deficiencies in North Carolina's December 17, 2007, SIP submission.
IV. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP
submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and applicable
Federal regulations. See 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in
reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve State choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, these
proposed actions merely approve State law as meeting Federal
requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond those
imposed by State law. For that reason, these proposed actions:
Are not a significant regulatory action subject to review
by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58
FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 2011);
do not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
are certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
do not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
do not have Federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
are not an economically significant regulatory action
based on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
are not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
are not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the Clean Air Act; and
do not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
The SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian reservation land or
in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian country, the rule does
not have tribal implications as specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000), nor will it impose substantial direct
costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal law.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Carbon mo
NOX ide, Incorporation by reference, Intergovernmental
relations, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate matter, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur oxides, Volatile organic compounds.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: March 25, 2016.
Heather McTeer Toney,
Regional Administrator, Region 4.
[FR Doc. 2016-07670 Filed 4-4-16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P