[House Hearing, 111 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] RISE OF THE DRONES: UNMANNED SYSTEMS AND THE FUTURE OF WAR ======================================================================= HEARING before the SUBCOMMITTEE ON NATIONAL SECURITY AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS of the COMMITTEE ON OVERSIGHT AND GOVERNMENT REFORM HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION __________ MARCH 23, 2010 __________ Serial No. 111-118 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.fdsys.gov http://www.house.gov/reform ______ U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 64-921 PDF WASHINGTON : 2011 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; DC area (202) 512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402-0001 COMMITTEE ON OVERSIGHT AND GOVERNMENT REFORM EDOLPHUS TOWNS, New York, Chairman PAUL E. KANJORSKI, Pennsylvania DARRELL E. ISSA, California CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York DAN BURTON, Indiana ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland JOHN L. MICA, Florida DENNIS J. KUCINICH, Ohio MARK E. SOUDER, Indiana JOHN F. TIERNEY, Massachusetts JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee WM. LACY CLAY, Missouri MICHAEL R. TURNER, Ohio DIANE E. WATSON, California LYNN A. WESTMORELAND, Georgia STEPHEN F. LYNCH, Massachusetts PATRICK T. McHENRY, North Carolina JIM COOPER, Tennessee BRIAN P. BILBRAY, California GERALD E. CONNOLLY, Virginia JIM JORDAN, Ohio MIKE QUIGLEY, Illinois JEFF FLAKE, Arizona MARCY KAPTUR, Ohio JEFF FORTENBERRY, Nebraska ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, District of JASON CHAFFETZ, Utah Columbia AARON SCHOCK, Illinois PATRICK J. KENNEDY, Rhode Island BLAINE LUETKEMEYER, Missouri DANNY K. DAVIS, Illinois ANH ``JOSEPH'' CAO, Louisiana CHRIS VAN HOLLEN, Maryland HENRY CUELLAR, Texas PAUL W. HODES, New Hampshire CHRISTOPHER S. MURPHY, Connecticut PETER WELCH, Vermont BILL FOSTER, Illinois JACKIE SPEIER, California STEVE DRIEHAUS, Ohio JUDY CHU, California Ron Stroman, Staff Director Michael McCarthy, Deputy Staff Director Carla Hultberg, Chief Clerk Larry Brady, Minority Staff Director Subcommittee on National Security and Foreign Affairs JOHN F. TIERNEY, Massachusetts, Chairman CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York JEFF FLAKE, Arizona PATRICK J. KENNEDY, Rhode Island DAN BURTON, Indiana CHRIS VAN HOLLEN, Maryland JOHN L. MICA, Florida PAUL W. HODES, New Hampshire JOHN J. DUNCAN, Jr., Tennessee CHRISTOPHER S. MURPHY, Connecticut MICHAEL R. TURNER, Ohio PETER WELCH, Vermont LYNN A. WESTMORELAND, Georgia BILL FOSTER, Illinois PATRICK T. McHENRY, North Carolina STEVE DRIEHAUS, Ohio JIM JORDAN, Ohio STEPHEN F. LYNCH, Massachusetts JEFF FORTENBERRY, Nebraska MIKE QUIGELY, Illinois BLAINE LUETKEMEYER, Missouri JUDY CHU, California Andrew Wright, Staff Director C O N T E N T S ---------- Page Hearing held on March 23, 2010................................... 1 Statement of: Singer, Peter W., director, 21st Century Defense Initiative, the Brookings Institution; Ed Barrett, director of research, Stockdale Center for Ethical Leadership, U.S. Naval Academy; Kenneth Anderson, professor, Washington College of Law, American University; John Jackson, professor of Unmanned Systems, U.S. Naval War College; and Michael Fagan, chair, Unmanned Aerial Systems Advocacy Committee, Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International.............................................. 6 Anderson, Kenneth........................................ 19 Barrett, Ed.............................................. 13 Fagan, Michael........................................... 53 Jackson, John............................................ 34 Singer, Peter W.......................................... 6 Sullivan, Michael J., Director, Acquisition and Sourcing Management, U.S. Government Accountability Office; Dyke Weatherington, Deputy, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Planning Taskforce, Office of the Under Secretary for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, U.S. Department of Defense; and Kevin Wolf, Assistant Secretary for Export Administration, Bureau of Industry and Security, U.S. Department of Commerce................................................... 77 Sullivan, Michael J...................................... 77 Weatherington, Dyke...................................... 99 Wolf, Kevin.............................................. 113 Letters, statements, etc., submitted for the record by: Anderson, Kenneth, professor, Washington College of Law, American University, prepared statement of................. 21 Barrett, Ed, director of research, Stockdale Center for Ethical Leadership, U.S. Naval Academy, prepared statement of......................................................... 16 Fagan, Michael, chair, Unmanned Aerial Systems Advocacy Committee, Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International, prepared statement of....................... 55 Jackson, John, professor of Unmanned Systems, U.S. Naval War College, prepared statement of............................. 37 Singer, Peter W., director, 21st Century Defense Initiative, the Brookings Institution, prepared statement of........... 9 Sullivan, Michael J., Director, Acquisition and Sourcing Management, U.S. Government Accountability Office, prepared statement of............................................... 79 Weatherington, Dyke, Deputy, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Planning Taskforce, Office of the Under Secretary for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, U.S. Department of Defense, prepared statement of...................................... 101 Wolf, Kevin, Assistant Secretary for Export Administration, Bureau of Industry and Security, U.S. Department of Commerce, prepared statement of............................ 115 RISE OF THE DRONES: UNMANNED SYSTEMS AND THE FUTURE OF WAR ---------- TUESDAY, MARCH 23, 2010 House of Representatives, Subcommittee on National Security and Foreign Affairs, Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, Washington, DC. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 2 p.m. in room 2154, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. John F. Tierney (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Present: Representatives Tierney, Flake, Foster, Luetkemeyer, and Quigley. Staff present: Andy Wright, staff director; Bronwen De Sena, intern; Talia Dubovi, counsel; Elliot Gillerman, clerk; Linda Good, deputy clerk; Carla Hultberg, chief clerk; LaToya King, fellow; Adam Fromm, minority chief clerk and Member liaison; Tom Alexander, minority senior counsel; Christopher Bright, minority senior professional staff member; and Renee Hayes, minority Defense fellow. Mr. Tierney. A quorum being present, the Subcommittee on National Security and Foreign Affairs' hearing entitled, ``Rise of the Drones: Unmanned Systems and the Future of War,'' will come to order. I ask unanimous consent that only the chairman and ranking member of the subcommittee be allowed to make opening statements. Without objection, so ordered. I ask unanimous consent that the hearing record be kept open for 5 business days so that all members of the subcommittee be allowed to submit a written statement for the record. Without objection, so ordered. Good afternoon. It is nice to see all of you here. I apologize that I was a bit late, and Mr. Flake and I didn't have much time to spend with you before you came, but we think we will get fully acquainted through your testimony and your comments on that in the question and answer period. We certainly hope that is the case. Our hearing today introduces a new topic to the subcommittee, the rise of unmanned systems and their implications for U.S. national security. Over the last decade, the number of unmanned systems and their applications has grown rapidly. So, too, has the number of operational, political and legal questions associated with the technology. To illustrate the wide variety of unmanned systems and some of their applications, we wanted to share some short video clips or unmanned systems ranging from the harmless to the lethal. The first system is clearly on the harmless side of the spectrum. [Video shown.] Mr. Tierney. I know from first-hand experience that was made in my district, the I-Robot, of course, not the cat, the robot is over there. [Laughter.] Video two shows that other systems provide support to our warfighters. This particular slide is the Ripsaw MS-1, a remote gun tank that can travel at speeds of up to 60 miles per hour and can carry a payload of up to 2,000 pounds. As you will see, it can also be used to pull vehicles and other items that are potential security risks. [Video shown.] Mr. Tierney. Video three is known as the Big Dog, a four- legged robot that can walk through sand, snow and ice while carrying up to 340 pounds on its back and serving as a robotic pack mule. As you will see, it can retain its balance on uneven surfaces and can handle rough terrain. [Video shown.] Mr. Tierney. Looks like a dance class gone bad. [Laughter.] And video four is the Raven UAV, used primarily for surveillance. And as you will see, it is hand-launched and remote-controlled from the field. The editor of a magazine recently built a homemade version of the Raven for around $1,000. [Video shown.] Mr. Tierney. That is, of course, what you are seeing from the Raven's equipment. That isn't the Raven making that buzzing noise, either. [Laughter.] It basically means that we are going to have votes in a short while and what we will do is we will probably finish our opening remarks and break, hopefully briefly, for a couple of votes and come back. We apologize. We can probably expect that to happen a little bit throughout the afternoon. The last and final clip shows the most lethal side of unmanned systems. Some of you may be familiar with footage similar to this. This is unclassified footage from an Army unmanned aerial vehicle engaging combatants in Iraq. [Video shown.] Mr. Tierney. Growing demand for and the reliance on unmanned systems has serious implications both on and off the battlefield. As the United States is engaged in two wars abroad, unmanned systems, particularly unmanned aerial vehicles, have become a centerpiece of that war effort. In recent years, the Department of Defense's UAV inventory has rapidly grown in size, from 167 in 2002 to over 7,000 today. Last year for the first time, the U.S. Air Force trained more unmanned pilots than traditional fighter pilots. Some express no doubt that unmanned systems have been a boost to U.S. war efforts in the Middle East and South Asia. CIA Director Leon Panetta said last May, ``Drone strikes are the only game in town in terms of confronting or trying to disrupt the Al Qaeda leadership.'' Media reports over the last year indicating that the top two leaders of the Pakistani Taliban were killed by drone strikes also are used to support that argument. But some critics argue that drone strikes are unethical at best and counterproductive at worst. They point to the reportedly high rate of civilian casualties, which has been calculated by the New America Foundation to be around 32 percent, and argue that the strikes do more to stoke anti- Americanism than they do to weaken our enemies. A quick skim of any Pakistani newspaper provides some evidence to support this theory. This is particularly relevant in the era of counterinsurgency doctrine, the central tenet of which is first do no harm. It also may be the case that we are fighting wars with modern technology under an antiquated set of laws. For example, if the United States uses unmanned weapons systems, does that require an official declaration of war or an authorization for the use of force? Do the Geneva Conventions, written in 1949, govern the prosecution of an unmanned war? Who is considered in lawful combat in unmanned war, the Air Force pilot flying a Predator from thousands of miles away in Nevada? Or the civilian contractor servicing it on the airstrip in Afghanistan? If unmanned systems are changing the way that we train our military personnel, so too should they change the way that we respond to the stress of combat. We already know that unmanned pilots are showing signs of equal or greater stress from combat compared to traditional pilots. The stress of fighting a war thousands of miles away then minutes later joining your family at the dinner table presents mental health challenges that must be addressed. On the domestic front, manufacturers have already developed a number of unmanned commercial products and are likely to find more applications for this technology in the future. From vacuum cleaners to crop dusters, traditional items that require manual operation are rapidly being rendered obsolete by unmanned technology. UAVs are now being used for environmental monitoring, particularly in hard to reach places like the North Pole. Last fall, the University of North Dakota chartered a 4- year degree program in UAV piloting. These trends are already forcing us to ask new questions about domestic air and space regulation. Who is allowed to own unmanned systems? And where are they allowed to operate? Additionally, as more law enforcement and border security services come to use unmanned systems, important questions continue to emerge about the protection of privacy. As this technology develops and becomes more commercially available, we must implement adequate measures to prevent it from falling into the wrong hands. At least 40 other countries are currently developing unmanned systems technology, including Iran, Russia and China. We already know that during the Israeli-Lebanon war in 2006, Hezbollah deployed three surveillance UAVs that it acquired from Iran. A recent Air Force study concluded that a UAV is an ideal platform for a chemical or biological terrorist attack. As Peter Singer, one of our witnesses today, wrote recently in Newsweek, ``For less than $50,000, a few amateurs could shut down Manhattan.'' We have to ensure that the appropriate government agencies are coordinating their efforts to prevent this technology from proliferating and falling into the wrong hands, and also to ensure that we have adequate homeland security measures to respond to those threats. And finally, as the new technology continues to develop, we must ensure that there are adequate measures to prevent waste, fraud and abuse in the acquisition process. A 2009 study by the U.S. Government Accountability Office, the author of which we will hear from today, reported significant cost growth, schedule delays and performance shortfalls in DOD's UAV acquisition process. This analysis raises serious concerns and I look forward to learning more on this from both the Government Accountability Office and the Department of Defense witnesses appearing before us. These are some of the questions that we will begin to answer at this hearing. Surely, we are not going to have a conclusion to all of those questions during this afternoon's single day of conversation. But I hope that this hearing serves as a thorough introduction to the topic for the purpose of educating and informing our Members, as well as the American public. With that, I would like to defer to Mr. Flake for his opening remarks. Mr. Flake. I thank the chairman. I wish we had a couple of drones that could go and vote for us so we wouldn't have to go and then come back, but I am afraid we have to do it ourselves. To many, the increased number of suspected terrorists killed between 2008 and 2009 indicates that the Obama administration has used UAV technology with great success. At the same time, while DOD is carrying out UAV missions, others in the administration are disputing the legality of their own tactics and avoiding taking personal responsibility for them. Such discord within the administration could open the door to a number of legal questions and perhaps put an entire arm of our military strategy in Afghanistan and Pakistan at risk. I am hopeful that today's hearing will shed some light on this, and we can see a way forward. And I thank the chairman for holding the hearing. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. With that, we will recess for probably about a half hour, if the witnesses want to get a cold drink or something while we are doing that, and we should be back about quarter to or maybe just a little bit after that. Thank you. [Recess.] Mr. Tierney. Well, thank you for your patience and your forbearance. The subcommittee will now receive testimony from the first panel before us today. I would like to introduce them across the board before we get started, and then we will go to the 5-minutes for each. Dr. Peter W. Singer is a senior fellow and director of the 21st Century Defense Initiative at the Brookings Institution. His work there focuses on the future of war, current U.S. defense needs, and the future of the U.S. defense system. Dr. Singer has published several books and articles, including most recently, Wired for War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century. And I know it is not exactly getting a recommendation from Oprah, but I have read it, in the process of reading it, and it is a good read and well worth doing. He was recently named by Foreign Policy Magazine as 1 of the top 100 global thinkers of 2009. Dr. Singer received a B.A. from the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University and a Ph.D. from Harvard University. Dr. Edward Barrett is the director of research at the U.S. Naval Academy's Stockdale Center for Ethical Leadership, and a professor in the Department of Leadership, Ethics and Law. He joined the Naval Academy in 2006 after returning from active duty in Iraq and Afghanistan. He currently serves in the U.S. Air Force Reserve. Dr. Barrett holds a B.S. from the University of Notre Dame and a Ph.D. from the University of Chicago. Mr. Kenneth Anderson is a professor at the Washington College of Law at American University and a research fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution. He is an authority on international human rights, war, armed conflict and terrorism. Mr. Anderson has previously served on the board of directors of America's Watch, the precursor to Human Rights Watch, and is the Founder and former Director of the Human Rights Watch Arms Division. He holds a B.A. from UCLA and a J.D. from Harvard University. Mr. John Jackson is a professor of Unmanned Systems at the U.S. Naval War College where he is currently teaching a self- designed course entitled, ``Case Studies in Technology and Warfare: Unmanned Systems.'' Mr. Jackson served for 27 years in the U.S. Navy as a supply and logistics specialists before retiring with the rank of Captain. An award-winning author, he has extensively studied history and operational uses of modern aircraft. He holds degrees from Providence College and Salve Regina University, where he is currently a Ph.D. candidate. And Mr. Michael Fagan is the chair of the Unmanned Systems Advocacy Committee for the Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International. He served for 26 years in the U.S. Marine Corps, including time as a Requirements Officer for Unmanned Aircraft, before retiring as a Colonel and Chief of Staff of the Defense Airborne Reconnaissance Office. He currently serves as the chief operating officer of Logos Technologies. He holds a B.S. from Indiana University and an M.S. from the University of Southern California. Again, I want to thank all of the witnesses for making themselves available today and sharing with us their expertise. It is the policy of this subcommittee to swear in the witnesses before they testify. I ask all of you to please stand and raise your right hands. Thank you. [Witnesses sworn.] Mr. Tierney. The record will please acknowledge that all of the witnesses answered in the affirmative. As I think you already know, all of your written testimony will be entered in the record by unanimous consent. We like to allocate 5 minutes, if we can, for people to generalize their testimony so we can get to the question and answer period. The green light will be on. When there is 1 minute remaining, the amber light will go on. And when the 5-minutes is up, the red light will go on, at which point we would like you to try to wind down if you are not already at that point so we can move to the other witnesses and then questions. Dr. Singer, we will start with you, please. STATEMENTS OF PETER W. SINGER, DIRECTOR, 21ST CENTURY DEFENSE INITIATIVE, THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION; ED BARRETT, DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH, STOCKDALE CENTER FOR ETHICAL LEADERSHIP, U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY; KENNETH ANDERSON, PROFESSOR, WASHINGTON COLLEGE OF LAW, AMERICAN UNIVERSITY; JOHN JACKSON, PROFESSOR OF UNMANNED SYSTEMS, U.S. NAVAL WAR COLLEGE; AND MICHAEL FAGAN, CHAIR, UNMANNED AERIAL SYSTEMS ADVOCACY COMMITTEE, ASSOCIATION FOR UNMANNED VEHICLE SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL STATEMENT OF PETER W. SINGER Dr. Singer. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman and members of the committee, for the opportunity to testify today. It is an honor to be part of this important discussion on an issue that is not only crucial to national security, but often crucially misunderstood. As background, I work at the Brookings Institution where I lead our research and analysis on 21st century defense issues. Several years ago, I began to be quite interested in the issues of the greater use of robotics in our human wars. And so I set out on a journey to interview the variety of actors in this world, everything from the scientists who were building these machines to the science fiction authors who advised the military, to those in the military, everything from the 19 year old operators who were controlling machines 7,000 miles away, all the way up to the four star Generals that command them. I was also interested in the politics of this, so interviews with, for example, White House advisers and civilian service secretaries. Finally, the opposite side of the coin, what do insurgents think about this? What do news editors around the Middle East think about all of this? And then finally the right and wrong and the legal and ethical questions of this, so interviews with military lawyers, but also people at groups like Human Rights Watch. And the book, Wired for War, gathers these stories together, but I think it also illustrates some of the dilemmas and questions that are emerging from this field. And so what I would like to do today is briefly walk through what I see some of the key issues here. The first is to pull back in this important domain. When U.S. forces invaded Iraq in 2003, we had a handful of unmanned systems in the air. We now have over 7,000. On the ground, the invasion force had zero. We now have over 12,000 in the U.S. military inventory. But we need to remember that while these technologies often look like science fiction, they are only the first generation. They are the equivalent of the Model T Ford or the Wright Brothers Flyer. And the historic parallels that people make to where we are right now I think are quite instructive. Some scientists parallel where we are with unmanned systems to where we were with horseless carriages back in 1909 or 1910. Many in the military, particularly the Air Force, make the comparison to the airplane back in 1918. Others in commerce, for example, Bill Gates of Microsoft, has said we are around where we were with computers back in 1980. Still others make the comparison to the atomic bomb in the late 1940's. The point here is that these are issues. These are all technologies that had ripple effects on our world, in everything from our politics to our laws to our commerce to our ethics. And these were all technologies that created deep questions for us in the area of the creation of law and oversight. And that is why I think it is very important for this committee, that they are dealing with it. So what do I see as some of the key questions moving forward? The first is the question of where the unmanned military is headed. We have gone from barely using robotics to using thousands of them in a bureaucratic blink of an eye. But as one U.S. Air Force Captain put it to me out in CENTCOM, the problem is, ``It is not `let's think this better.' It is `only give me more'.'' So the sort of issues that we are wrestling with within this bucket are questions like: What are the proper doctrines that we should choose? What are the structures and organizations that we should build around these systems? How do we maintain competition and experimentation in an emerging sector in the defense industrial base? How do we ensure digital systems security so that insurgents in Iraq can't access our information using $30 software that they bought off the Internet? How do we better support the men and women who are operating them, who may not be in the physical war zone, but are experiencing an entirely new type of combat stress? And finally, what is the division of warrior and civilian in this space? That is, if this area is the future of the force, what does it mean that, for example, 75 percent of the maintenance of our Predator fleet has been outsourced to private companies, while Army systems operating in Iraq have been described as, government-owned, contractor- operated? The second issue area that we have to wrestle with is, are we engaged in three wars? Our unmanned systems have carried out 119 known air strikes into Pakistan, which is about triple the number we did with manned bombers in the opening round of the Kosovo War. But Congress has not had a debate about whether to authorize or disapprove of it. And so the question is, why do we not view it as a war? Is it because the strikes are being carried out by the CIA and not by the military, and thus not following the same lines of authority and authorization? Or is it because the impact on the public is viewed as costless? And then related to this is the issue of what is the impact on the broader war of ideas, not just how it is being interpreted here in the United States, but how is it being interpreted abroad. The next issue bucket is the question of law. Can our 20th century laws of war keep up with our 21st century technologies? Robotics don't remove the human from decisionmaking, but they do move that human role geographically and chronologically. That is, decisions that determine a machine's action in the here and now may be made by an operator several thousand miles away or by a designer years ago, but the prevailing laws of war are from the 1940's. This also extends to the domestic side. It is not just an issue of accountability, but the question of regulation. It is not just the military that is using these systems, but for example, the Department of Homeland Security. In turn, we have seen civilian border patrols or vigilante groups operating their own unmanned systems in the air. Criminals have started to use them to scout out targets. So as the FAA debates the opening up of the air space, we also have broad issues of who can utilize these systems, which is a legal issue. But it also raises long-term questions that I remember discussing with a Federal District Court Judge. They believed it will reach the Supreme Court in terms of issues of probable cause and privacy. And the final question area that I would raise is: How can we keep America from going the way of Commodore Computers? If this is a growing industry along the lines of computers or automobiles, why does the United States not have a national robotics strategy? What does it mean for us moving forward that 43 other nations are also building, buying and utilizing military robotics? How do we stay ahead in this game? And then we may even need to think more broadly about this. And what direction does the state of the American manufacturing economy, as well as the state of science and mathematics education in our schools have us headed? Or another way of putting this is: What does it mean to deploy more and more soldiers, so to speak, whose hardware increasingly says ``made in China'' on the back of it, and whose software is increasingly written by someone sitting in a place like India. And I would end on this. These questions move us into lots of different directions, but I think within them we find the policy answers. That is, we may debate the specifics of the answers, but almost all of them extend from a gap of some sort in our policy as the technology races ahead of our institutions. And so, for that I thank you for the opportunity to be part of this discussion today. [The prepared statement of Dr. Singer follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. Thank you. That gives us a lot to think about. Dr. Barrett. STATEMENT OF ED BARRETT Dr. Barrett. Mr. Chairman and subcommittee members, thank you for inviting me to speak today. Speaking as a civilian academic, I will first offer some reflections on these systems' ethical advantages and challenges, and then briefly discuss related educational initiatives at the Naval Academy. The goals animating the development and use of unmanned platforms are ethically commendable. While sometimes excoriated as merely prudential, effectiveness and efficiency are fundamentally moral imperatives. Constituted and supported by its citizen taxpayers, the liberal democratic state is morally obligated to effectively defend their human rights with their limited resources. Additionally, I would argue that unmanned systems are consistent with a society's duty to avoid unnecessary risks to its combatants, a duty that sparked a recent controversy over up-armored vehicles. But these rights and corresponding duties must be weighed against other ethical considerations. The venerable just war criteria that now undergird international law specify both pre- war and in-war imperatives. To be permissible, war must be the last resort available to a state intending to pursue a just cause, and circumstances must indicate a reasonable chance of succeeding in a proportionate manner. Once in war, harms must be necessary and proportionate vis- a-vis uninvolved civilians who maintain their right not to be harmed. Soldiers incur additional risks to avoid foreseeable harm to innocents and assign greater weight to this harm. In this normative context, I will highlight four challenges generated by unmanned systems. First, they could encourage unjust wars. War cost reductions, of course, allow states to more readily pursue just causes. But favorable alterations to pre-war proportionality calculations could also reduce the rigor with which nonviolent alternatives are pursued and thus encourage unnecessary and therefore unjust-wars. Additionally, an echoing concern about private security firms and cyber-attack capabilities, these less visible weapons could facilitate the circumvention of legitimate authority and pursuit of unjust causes. While these moral hazards do not require us to maximize war costs and minimize unmanned systems, they do require efforts to better inform and monitor national security decisionmakers. Second, once in war, remote controlled systems are said to induce unnecessary and disproportionate harm, especially to civilians. The argument assumes that soldiers engaged in such virtual warfare are less situationally aware and also less restrained because of emotional detachment. However, accumulating data points in the opposite direction, sensor improvements, lack of fear-induced haste, reduced anger levels and force protection anxieties, and crystal clarity about strike damage all combine to actually enhance awareness and restraint. If true, this data suggests that it would be unethical not to use remote-controlled systems unless mitigating factors pertained. This qualification brings us to a third ethical consideration. Reasonable chance of success in counterinsurgency and stability operations mentioned earlier, where indigenous perceptions are crucial, requires the judicious use of unmanned systems. Perceptions that these weapons are less discriminate or are indicative of flawed characters or tepid commitments can undermine our efforts unless accompanied by adjustments to footprints and perceptions themselves. Also, ground robots are incapable of developing necessary personal relationships with local citizens. Again, these arguments suggest the need for prudent, not unreflective, limitations. But the use of autonomous strike systems, my fourth and final ethical consideration, requires more caution. Again, effectiveness and efficiency would be important benefits. Truly robotic air, sea and ground capabilities would sense, decide and act more quickly than human beings. In an anti-access environment, a long range system capable of independently navigating to identifying and striking mobile targets would bolster conventional extended deterrence. And the need to merely monitor, not control, these systems would reduce personnel costs. But exactly what would these autonomous systems sense, decide and do? Would they adequately distinguish combatants from illegitimate targets such as bystanding civilians and surrendering or injured soldiers, a task complicated by countermeasure requirements? Would they adequately, at least as well as humans, comply with necessity and proportionality imperatives? Discouraging these possible in bello errors would require the elusive ability to credibly attribute bad results to a culprit, designers, producers, acquisition personnel, commanders, users, and perhaps even robots themselves. And if the notion of robots' responsibility ever becomes meaningful, would a self-conscious and wilful machine choose its own ends and even be considered a person with rights? While robotic personhood is a titillating idea, near-term possibilities suggest a focus on the first few concerns. Computer scientist Ron Arkin is working assiduously to develop adequately discriminating and ethical robots with responsibility attribution capabilities, and I would not bet against him. But even then, I would advise an incremental approach similar to that used with remote controlled systems: intelligence missions first, strike missions later. Given the complexity involved, I would also restrict initial strike missions to non-lethal weapons and combatant-only areas. Permission-seeking and override features should also be included. One possible exception to this non-lethal recommendation would involve autonomous systems that target submarines, systems which only would have to identify friendly combatants, enemy combatants, and perhaps whales. In closing, I want to assure the subcommittee that military educators are preparing military operators and staffers to think ethically about these and other emerging technologies. At the Naval Academy, the core ethics course taken by every second year midshipman covers these issues and their theoretical foundations. Last year, Dr. Singer delivered an endowed lecture to the entire second year class. The Department of Leadership, Ethics and Law offers an elective dedicated to emerging military technologies, including robotics. History and engineering courses that address these issues include history of technology, advanced topics in robotics, emerging technologies, and systems engineering. In April, 300 students in this last class will witness a debate between Ron Arkin and his less sanguine critic, Peter Asaro. And also in April, the Stockdale Center, for whom I work, the Academy's ethics and military policy think tank, will host a 2-day conference on the ethical ramifications of emerging military technologies attended by instructors from all U.S. service academies, staff colleges and war colleges, and perhaps by a few congressional staffers who were invited. Mr. Chairman and subcommittee members, thank you for the opportunity to address these issues and I look forward to your questions. [The prepared statement of Mr. Barrett follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. Thank you. At first, I thought you were going to have a great debate between yourself on the one hand and on the other hand, but you rounded it out pretty well at the end, and I appreciate that. Now, we have two professors that can audition for talking to the entire sophomore class at the Academy someday. Professor Anderson. STATEMENT OF KENNETH ANDERSON Mr. Anderson. Thank you. Mr. Chairman and subcommittee members, thank you very much for having me here with these other very, very distinguished panelists. I want to actually speak perhaps more politically and more practically than would be appropriate. And let me say that my background in this is legal and ethical. And here is my problem. We currently have a situation in which the President, the Vice President, the Director of the CIA, many, many senior officials from the President on down have stood up and said quite correctly, in my view, this is a really great thing we have with drones here. We are managing to take the fight to the enemy. This is how we attack Al Qaeda. This is how we actually engage in counter-terrorism directly against the leaders of Al Qaeda. And we think this is great. I think that the Vice President is a little bit like a sort of father looking over his block of Predator chicks. I think that we are in a situation in which our political leaders and our policymakers have embraced a strategy, but if you were to line up their lawyers alongside them and ask their lawyers about this, I think the answer you would get is, ``Well, we think it is legal, but we have actually not come to a clear conclusion, at least not one that we were able to share with the public.'' Now, if I were the Vice President or the President under those circumstances, I do not think I would find myself to have been well served by my lawyers. Lawyers can't be yes men. Lawyers cannot be in the position of simply saying what their client wants to hear. And these are incredibly difficult issues. We are over a year into the new administration, which has embraced this policy, and we have yet to find any clear statement by their lawyers that this program is legal or at least to tell us on what basis they think that it is legal. Now, I believe that it is, but there is an increasing chorus of people in the international legal community and in other places that believe that it is not. And I think at some point there is going to be a collision that arises here, and that question has to be addressed. So if there is one point on which I would join with the ACLU, which is now suing the U.S. Government for information on the legal basis for these programs, it is that I believe at this point the U.S. Government has to step up and say the basis on which it thinks it is lawful to do these things. And that brings me into my second point, which is that most of the discussion here on this panel and on the subsequent panel is really directed to the military, and to a large extent the battlefield use of these weapons systems. That is not actually what the President and the Vice President are most thoroughly embracing. When Director Panetta stands up and says, ``This is how we take the fight to the enemy; this is terrific,'' they are actually not really most of the time talking about the tactical use of these things in an Afghanistan battlefield. They are talking about the ability to target someone in Pakistan who is well away from any kind of hot battlefield at that moment. Or we are talking about the ability to take the fight to people in Yemen or Somalia or potentially other places. At that point, 1 millimeter below the surface of this discussion about technology and drones is actually a discussion about the proper lawful and ethical role of the CIA and the covert, or at least clandestine, use of force. I believe that the Congress needs to be involved in that question. I believe the answer is that it is lawful under domestic law, certainly, and I believe it is lawful under international law. But I believe that question is certainly coming to the fore. This leads me then to my third point, which is that I believe that Congress has a role here to play in getting the administration to do what is in the President's best interest and getting their lawyers to stand up and articulate the full extent of the legal defense and the legal rationale that accounts for the actual use that the President, the Vice President, the CIA Director and the senior members of government have embraced. They have embraced a strategy of using drones that goes well beyond the battlefield in any sort of active hostile tactical sense. And if that is the case, then the legal rationales that the lawyers state had better be adequate to that task, or else they had better say that it can't be done and we had better rethink strategy. I believe that we have not been willing to confront that. I think the administration, for very understandable political reasons of many kinds, would prefer not to have that discussion directly. I also believe that it is one which is going to happen, whether one likes it or not, and that it would be better if Congress helped to move that ball forward and move it in directions that I think would be favorable. So let me sum up by saying that I think that at the end of the day, this is actually as much as anything in the area in which it is truly controversial, and not simply a question about do we have a better remote standoff platform that isn't that much different from the jet that has a pilot in it 25 miles away. When we are talking about this as a genuinely innovative use at the strategic level, we are no longer so much at this moment talking about the U.S. military. We are, as much as anything or more, talking about the CIA and covert action, and I think that is where the discussion should be. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Members. [The prepared statement of Mr. Anderson follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. Thank you. Professor Jackson. STATEMENT OF JOHN JACKSON Mr. Jackson. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for this opportunity to speak on two subjects about which I am passionate: the education of our dedicated warriors; and the role that unmanned systems can and should play in future military operations. I am privileged to currently serve as a professor at the U.S. Naval War College in Newport, RI. In the fall of 1884, just over 125 years ago, the College was formed as a place of original research on all questions relating to war or the prevention of war. At the time of the College's founding, the flagship of the U.S. Navy's North Atlantic squadron was USS Tennessee, a wooden-hulled steamship that also carried 22,000 square feet of sail as backup propulsion system. The young military officers who comprised the College's first class spent many long hours considering the ways in which evolving technologies like wireless communications, electrical equipment and long range naval guns would change the nature of warfare at the close of the 19th century. Now, a century and a quarter later, our students are still engaged in serious contemplation of the ways in which technology will alter the battlefield, this time in the form of a robotics revolution. To be clear, the Naval War College is not a technical school and issues of systems design and software architecture are better suited to the more junior officers attending the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, CA, where innovative research is being conducted at their Center for Autonomous Vehicle Research. Rather, the mission of the Naval War College is to improve the ability of its students to make sound decisions in highly complex and stressful maritime and joint environments. If trends in computer science and robotics engineering continue, it is conceivable that autonomous systems could soon be developed that are capable of making life and death decisions without direct human intervention. The purpose of the new elective course, Unmanned Systems and Conflict in the 21st Century, is to provide a forum for the consideration of the scientific, ethical and operational issues inherent in the employment of these systems. The course provides the opportunity for students to study contemporary cases, trends and issues in the development and use of unmanned systems. The students study and evaluate these systems from the tactical, operational and strategic dimensions of war. In order to provide a more detailed overview of the course, a copy of the current syllabus has been provided with my written statement. But in brief, the course looks at the hardware issues and the land, air and maritime environments, and provides hands on exposure to state-of-the-art systems. It then considers the issues of command and control, personnel management and the legal and ethical issues of employing these systems in national security situations. Students ultimately demonstrate their mastery of the subject through research requiring both written and verbal presentations. I would like to note that significant support for the course has been provided by Dr. Peter Singer, the Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International, a number of manufacturers of unmanned systems, educational institutions including the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, U.S. Army War College, the Department of Defense, and Navy leaders and engineers from various program management offices, and the Navy Undersea Warfare Center. I have made a number of observations based on my direct contact with the students who have taken this course and with other military officers and practitioners I have met at meetings, symposia and conferences. These observations: I have found that military officers are generally well informed about the exponential growth in the use of unmanned systems throughout the Department of Defense. And they are highly motivated to probe beyond the headlines and promotional hype to ascertain the true capabilities and limitations of current technology. They have a keen interest in understanding the full range of research and development activities now underway, particularly with regard to those systems that could be fielded in the near term that could impact on their critical warfighting abilities. They have an intense desire for knowledge about unmanned systems, and this is evident across all branches of the Armed Service, with many government agencies, and it extends to our international partners and allies. Students are acutely aware of the ethical and legal issues associated with the employment of robotic systems in combat. Of particular concern is the possibility that unmanned robotic systems could be programmed to make lethal decisions in combat situations without active human participation in the kill chain. And they are keenly aware that unmanned and robotic systems could represent a true revolution in military affairs that has the potential to alter career fields, training pipelines and combat tactics. They don't fear the future, but they are mindful of the need to skillfully manage the impact of this disruptive technology. My final observations pertain to the professionalism and vision of the many people I have encountered while developing and teaching this course. At Navy headquarters, the Chief of Naval Operations, Admiral Gary Roughead, has been a strong and vocal advocate for unmanned systems, about which he has said, ``This is the right way. This is the way we have to go, and it will make us much, much more effective.'' I believe the message is getting through at all levels of the Navy, and whenever I have sought information or requested senior leaders to travel to the College to speak with students or when I have participated at conferences and symposia, I received immediate and unqualified support. Additionally, I have been particularly impressed with the people I have met from academia, the scientific engineering communities, and industry, all of whom are working tirelessly to bring the potential of unmanned systems to fruition. Finally, I salute our elected officials as represented by members of this subcommittee who seek to ensure that neither organizational inertia, nor the tendency to protect the status quo will keep America from using the drive and genius of her people to devise and utilize technology as necessary to protect our citizens, our economy and our Nation. I am prepared to entertain any questions, and since there are so many educators on the panel, I will pass out the quiz. [Laughter.] [The prepared statement of Mr. Jackson follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. Thank you very much. Before we go to Mr. Fagan, just let me tell the folks that are in the audience here, they are here as the guests of Congress to participate and listen as citizens to this hearing. We don't really countenance any disruption, whether that is speaking out loud in the middle of the hearing or raising signs or any other kinds of disturbances. So we ask your cooperation in that regard. If we do that, we will be able to get through the hearing and hopefully we will all learn something and it will help us set policy. Mr. Fagan, your 5 minutes, please. STATEMENT OF MICHAEL FAGAN Mr. Fagan. Mr. Chairman and members of the subcommittee, thank you for this opportunity to address the subcommittee. My name is Michael Fagan. I chair the Unmanned Aircraft Systems Advocacy Committee for the Association for Unmanned Vehicle Systems International. It is an honor to represent the world's largest nonprofit organization devoted exclusively to advancing the unmanned systems community. While national defense still is the primary use of unmanned aerial systems, there is much more that these systems can do and are doing to protect our Nation and its citizens. There are many technological reasons for the rise in applications of unmanned systems. I will briefly mention two. One reason is that detection, surveillance, measurement, and targeting are more effective when done as close to the observable as possible. This axiom applies to military systems as much as it does to everyday life. Small and medium size UAS put military payloads close to hostile forces for very long periods of time, while significantly reducing risk to friendly forces. Another reason is that size, weight and power [SWAP], requirements for equivalent data processing and storage capabilities are decreasing. Last month, for example, the Office of Naval Research completed the first test flights of key elements of a 50-pound persistent surveillance imagery payload for Shadow class UAS. The Shadow's model is the one closest to me on the table. A similar operational payload is 1,000 pounds and needs a commuter size aircraft with a crew to put it in its necessarily predictable orbit overhead a hostile target. As reduced SWAP allows more data processing to move on board the UAS, available datalink bandwidth can transmit to the ground more products that are more relevant to more analysts over larger areas compared with the raw data that we send to the ground today. Additionally, processing on board the unmanned aircraft automates intelligence analysis tasks and increasingly permits the same number of analysts to be effective over a greater area. UAS technology will continue to increase in the current U.S. regulatory environment, but it will more efficiently and effectively provide benefits to warfighters if UAS manufacturers can more easily and frequently get access to the air space that permits the research, development, tests and evaluation flights. AUVSI is in favor of FAA rulemaking that will enable increased air space access for UAS manufacturers. UAS manufacturers also depend significantly on engineers and scientists with relevant educations. It is therefore equally important to national security that science and engineering educational institutions have routine access to national air space. AUVSI is in favor of FAA rulemaking that permits educational institutions the air space access that they need to effectively educate the next generation in autonomous system technologies. The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have certainly driven demand for these systems, but many Americans are unaware that a ScanEagle UAS, which is represented by the second model in on the table, also aided in the successful recovery of Captain Phillips of the Maersk Alabama off the coast of Somalia last year. There are many other useful applications of UAS technology, some of which we saw on the screen earlier, air, ground and maritime systems that can protect our Nation. Border patrol, emergency response, wildfire monitoring, civil unrest, search and rescue, law enforcement, port security, submarine detection and underwater mine clearance, bulldozers for clearing land mines and IEDs, and ground robots used for explosive ordnance disposal are some examples of actual and potential robotic system missions for air, ground and maritime systems. Unmanned systems have been and will continue to be proven in war, and it is time to prove their heretofore under- recognized capabilities for increasing the effectiveness of civil law enforcement and public safety. Technologies originally developed for warfare also will be transitioned to commercial operations. There is a growing demand from the civil sector for use of UAS for precision farming, tracking shoals of fish, aerial photography and more. This demand has the potential to drive a rapid advance of the technology. The United States has an opportunity to be at the forefront of the research and development of these advanced systems if it can address regulatory obstacles. Our industry growth is adversely affected by International Traffic in Arms regulations for export of certain UAS technologies, and by a lengthy license approval process by Political Military Defense Trade Controls. AUVSI is an advocate for simplified export control regulations and expedited license approvals for unmanned system technologies. Our hope is that today's hearing illuminates some of the ways that unmanned system technologies are changing and could change modern warfare, increase the safety of our men and women in the military, law enforcement and public safety, and strengthen national security at all levels. AUVSI's over 6,000 members from industry, government and academia are committed to fostering and promoting unmanned systems and related technologies. Thank you for the opportunity to testify. I am happy to answer any question from you or other members of the subcommittee. [The prepared statement of Mr. Fagan follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. Thank you, Mr. Fagan. I thank all of you. I am glad we decided this wasn't going to be our one and only hearing because there is certainly a lot of food for thought here. It runs the whole range on that. And I want to thank Dr. Singer before we start. He spent some time with us actually a while back, helping us think through some of the questions that we wanted to present and have the witnesses discuss with us. Let me start with Professor Anderson if I could. What is your legal rationale that you say leads you to the conclusion that the use of the UAVs is legal in context of sending them over a country like Sudan or Yemen or Pakistan, as opposed to a combat area like Afghanistan? Mr. Anderson. Well, I think that the legal rationale for their use in regular combat where it is clear that it is part of traditional hostilities is exactly that as any other weapon. And so the question really becomes what happens when you move outside of that zone. And I believe that the answer that has been given by the Obama administration, the Clinton administration, the Bush administration, going really back through the 1990's, has been that if you were in some kind of conflict with the terrorists that are transnational, you can chase them anywhere, and anywhere the combatant is located, you can attack them. I am sympathetic to that, but don't think it is actually literally right under the laws of war. That is, there are treaty thresholds that are actually established for when you have an armed conflict. And my own view is that is not unlimited in geographic scope. That said, the basis for the use of force is not limited strictly to armed conflicts in the narrow legal sense. We have always traditionally used force in ways that we describe as self defense on a broader basis. And self defense is, I believe, what we meant in the 1980's when Abe Sofer, the then- legal adviser to State, delivered an address stating that the policy of the United States was not to allow safe havens; that if a country was unwilling or unable to keep transnational terrorists out of its territories, we would feel free to attack them if we thought that was the prudent thing to do, attack the terrorists. That is an exercise of self defense, rather than war in the full scale overt sense, and I think that it is an important capability that we have always had because I think that under many circumstances, it turns out that a smaller and sometimes covert action is a way of not escalating into a full overt war that could be very, very costly in every respect. So I think the answer to that is that it is a broader doctrine of self defense. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. If we accept that, Dr. Singer, for argument's sake on that basis, then you get to the issue that you raise in your testimony: who is responsible for making decisions about whether or not we go there? And second, should we go there, who is responsible for making the decisions actually controlling the UAVs or other robotic instruments that are there? And if we are contracting them out, how appropriate or inappropriate is it? And at what stage is it a governmental function that ought not to be contracted out? And how does all that play in? Could you talk to us a little bit about that? Dr. Singer. I think there are three important issues that are raised by that. The first is this technology is one that has certainly military applications, but it has also allowed a wider range of actors to utilize it. And there is a question of appropriateness there. So for example, my concern with the CIA strikes may be a little bit shared with Professor Anderson, but a little bit different in that, first, you have, for example, CIA lawyers deciding issues of air strikes. The scale of this effort is an air war. It is on the scale of the Kosovo air war, the opening rounds of it, but it is not military lawyers who have spent their years training on those situations. It doesn't mean they are making bad decisions, but that it is not the background a JAG office would have, and that is on the authorization side. Same in terms of the planning side. You have political appointees and people with an intelligence specialty deciding aspects of an air war campaign. So that is a question of appropriateness. And there is a quote in my book that connects to the seductive effect of it, and they describe how what we have playing out is like taking LBJ down to the foxhole. That is, civilians can make tactical level decisions now, utilizing this technology. It doesn't mean that they should. The second aspect of this is that Congress has not weighed in whether to support it or to go against it. And I think that is a question of legislative-executive branch issues that we need to look at. And again, it is not a partisan issue. It is played out before this administration and now during it. And the third is to the issue of effectiveness. There is a concern that while we may be taking out terrorist leaders, we may be sucking ourselves into a game of whack-a-mole, where we have been very successful at killing terrorist leaders, but are we also inadvertently aiding their recruiting? And I think the connection to the contractor issue here goes back to that question of appropriateness, the ``should'' of who should be involved. And it is not just an issue of legality. I think it is a long-term question of the future of the force. I remember meeting with an Air Force officer who pointed out an NCO who worked on maintenance. And they said, they have served 12 years. How do we get to having a future NCO that has worked 12 years on these systems that brings that experience to bear? Or we have to turn that over to them right now and wait 12 years. And that is not going to happen if we continue to outsource it. So if this is the future, we are setting ourselves up for a hollow capability. Mr. Tierney. That would match some of our other capabilities that we have referenced that would outsource that work, and that would be problematical, I think. Mr. Flake. Mr. Flake. Thank you. Dr. Barrett, you mentioned, I think, that the evidence shows enhanced awareness and restraint. Is that view shared among the community? I would like to see from others. Dr. Singer, do you share that view that unmanned pilots have enhanced awareness and restraint? Dr. Barrett. Well, it is contested, I will just put it that way. But there is this debate going on, and there is empirical data coming in from various sources. I can get you those sources, that says exactly this, that especially because of these sensor improvements and all the other variables I mentioned, that there actually is more awareness and restraint. So I think in Dr. Singer's book, you were a little bit more pessimistic about this issue. It is a debate. I will just leave it at that. Mr. Flake. OK. I am glad to hear that. I was just wondering if that view was shared. Dr. Singer. Dr. Singer. I think we need to divide it into two parts. We do know about the military use of these systems, and I think they have shown exceptional respect for the laws of war. When you discuss this with people who are engaged in these operations, there are a series of checks and balances and consultation with military lawyers that they have to go through for authorizing and conducting a strike. The challenge is the use on the intelligence side. Again, we don't even acknowledge that we have carried out these strikes, so I can't answer about the mechanisms that they follow for that. I will say one of the other issues is the wide array of perceptions about, for example, the civilian casualty concern. You have estimates that range from 2,000 civilian casualties on the high end, to I believe the smallest I have seen reported is 20. When you backtrack the sources, it is interesting the high end ones often track back to regional media. One, for example, was a Pakistani newspaper that was quoting someone from the ISI. The low end are quoting our own intelligence officials. My guess is the truth lies somewhere in between. But there is a broader concern here in terms of a war of ideas. It is not just the reality that matters. These perceptions have a power unto themselves. And so a challenge for us is, how do we deal with that perception and show the painstaking way that we are going through, and deal with the fact that it is coming out being viewed on the other side through a lens of anger? Mr. Flake. Thank you. Professor Anderson, how is this being played out, this rise in these numbers are stark. We have 12,000 in inventory right now. I think Dr. Singer had mentioned that. How is this being viewed in terms of the drones, pilotless planes being flown between the agencies and the military? I would like the same question answered by Dr. Jackson. Mr. Anderson. I think that the question at this point is partly the question of the perception in the region, as Dr. Singer has suggested. It is also a question of how it is seen in what we amorphously call the international community, international actors such as academics and U.N. officials and tribunals and all sorts of folks out there. And I think that there is a sense sometimes within the U.S. Government across many administrations that none of this stuff really matters because it is just these soft law folks like me, who can't really impact policy. But I think that if you look at the track of many different issues, starting with the land mines campaign, for which I was primarily responsible in the early 1990's, on through various parts of the War on Terror debates, perceptions in the international community powerfully shape U.S. Government responses in ways the U.S. Government finds very hard to get in front of. And I think that here, the divide comes probably initially between the military use of these things on overt battlefields where they look pretty much like any other standoff weapon with particular technological characteristics attached, and then the questions that are raised by the CIA use, where it is not acknowledged. There is less data. And those will actually be sort of the fault lines that we will initially see in terms of the perception. Mr. Flake. Let me just followup on that. I am sorry, Dr. Jackson, I will get back to you later. But in your Weekly Standard piece, you talk about unqualified success that we have had in terms of the President's and the Vice President's policy here. Is that view shared by each branch of government? Does the intel community see it differently than the military, for example? Mr. Anderson. I am not an insider to government, but I guess I would say that my perception from the outside is that there is concern within the Department of State. There is concern within some of the departments of government among the lawyers that they have not settled on what their rationales are. And I believe that at some point, that ill serves an administration that is embracing this. Now, maybe the answer is this is all really terrible and illegal, and anybody that does it should go off to The Hague. But if that is the case, then we should not be having the President say this is the greatest since whatever. That seems like a bad idea. Mr. Flake. Thank you. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. Mr. Foster, you are recognized for 5 minutes. Mr. Foster. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for having this hearing on a very important subject. First to whoever wants and feels competent to field it, what is the approximate ratio of how much we spend on manned versus unmanned aircraft across our country, roughly? Does anyone want to respond? All right. Mr. Tierney. Our next panel will be able to do that, I am sure. Mr. Foster. OK. And are there understood and generally agreed upon advantages of having a man aboard a combat aircraft at this point for either the ground support or air superiority purposes? I mean, is there any consensus on any list of advantages? Dr. Barrett. Well, a couple that come to mind. First, there are no bandwidth limitations or vulnerabilities. So with the unmanned remote controlled systems, you are working with a satellite and there is potential limitations on the amount of bandwidth available and then also the vulnerability issue. So, a mix of, say, air systems that are manned and unmanned, for that reason would be called for. Also, there is some data that says that doing combat aerial support CAS missions. If you are getting on station, the manned platform can get oriented more quickly. So for those types of missions, you might want a manned platform in the area if you need a very quick response and orientation. Mr. Foster. And then for just general air superiority, is there any reason why drones won't essentially take over the business? Dr. Barrett. I would say that would just be a technical question. I don't think we are there yet, but it could happen at some point. Mr. Foster. OK. We are about to spend apparently a lot of money on a tanker system. Is that relevant for a future where drones are really the dominant force in air superiority? Mr. Jackson. I think among the designs for the Navy UCAS, which is the delta wing airplane there, is a tanker version of it. If you are talking about carrier operations in particular, you have to provide for the refueling capability. There is no reason why that refueler could not also be an unmanned vehicle. So in the design work that is being done now, we are looking at that aircraft for combat and strike missions, but also as an air tanker version to refuel those unmanned systems. Mr. Foster. OK. So the conclusion is, it is not clear that the tanker we are talking about building really will fit in very nicely into a predominantly drone system. Is that a reasonable conclusion or not? Dr. Singer. The designs of it, it is really not so much the tanker as opposed to the systems on the other side, the users of it. You want to make sure that they are interoperable with it. I think the overall strategic question that you are getting to is that we want to ensure that we are not making decisions right now that will paint us into a corner in the future. So for example, the acquisitions part that you asked at the start, it is not so much the amount of money that we are spending on unmanned systems right now, but that we are purchasing more of them physically than we are manned platforms. And so one of the mistakes that first movers have made in history, why they have fallen behind, is that they commit too early to one type, one model, and then 20 years out, when we learn what is the best one, we are in a bad way. The British with the aircraft carrier would be an example here. So the issue I think for us is to ensure that we are continuing to experiment a great deal, and then also making sure that we are not locking ourselves into a one designer future, which to me means we need to focus on our acquisitions system and make sure that we don't have oligopolies emerge, or monopolies. Mr. Foster. Is there just a working number for the cost ratio between a manned and an unmanned aircraft with comparable capabilities? Is it order of a factor of 10 or a factor of 100? Dr. Barrett. Close to 10, I think. Mr. Foster. What I am worried about is we are going to at some point be asked to defend Taiwan with a set of aircraft carriers, and we are going to, and then all of a sudden Chinese-manufactured mass-produced drones will be coming at us and it will be game over. Do those sort of things routinely get gamed out, sort of equal dollar value drone versus manned aircraft fleets? So that tradeoff is routinely looked at at this point? Dr. Singer. There are starting to be, at least within the media reports of war gaming to that effect. The real issue is one of quantity versus quality moving forward, and I think this is an issue for our overall acquisitions system. That is, do we want the capability for a large number? Or will the high cost of systems lock us into only being able to buy a very few gold- plated versions? And a concern I have when I look at the models moving forward is that we are starting to make decisions right now that will lead to some of the similar things we have seen play out with the Joint Strike Fighter or DD(X) or FCS, where we don't exactly know the future, but we know that the system that is too big to fail and is so costly that we can only buy a couple of them, paints ourselves into a corner in a scenario with, for example, a China or the like, where the amount that we can buy should not decide the tactics and the strategy that we take in war. But that is the future that we are headed with, including in unmanned systems. Mr. Foster. Thank you. Dr. Barrett. Could I add one comment? Another reason why you would want manned is because it keeps the homeland less involved. If you are fighting a war with only unmanned systems, there is no one for the enemy to shoot at. There is no option for even guerilla war. Therefore, you are inviting, I think, terrorism in the homeland. So I think for that third reason, you would want a mix. You don't want to go to just unmanned. Otherwise, they are coming here. Mr. Jackson. And Mr. Foster, I might add that the Naval War College has done a lot of work in terms of the potential future for integrating unmanned systems into the maritime environment. The Chief Naval Operations task in 2008, its Strategic Studies Group, took a look at how you would use these systems. So there was a year spent in study of how you would integrate these systems, where you would used manned, where you would use unmanned systems, and some very fine work was done and brought out some notions that there has to be a balance between the two, but the unmanned provides you some unique capabilities in terms of endurance, in terms of ability to deploy from the continental United States, and use these systems and what not. So there has been a fair amount of work done in that. Not a lot of games per se, but a lot of discussion and thinking about how they would be employed. Mr. Tierney. Mr. Fagan---- Ma'am, please, please be quiet and please sit down. I told you before at the beginning of this hearing, we are having---- [Interruption from audience.] Mr. Tierney. You are going to have an opportunity to sit down now or be asked to leave. It is your choice, ma'am. Would you care to sit down and listen like the rest of us trying to learn something here? Or would you like to be asked to leave? Asked to leave. Thank you. We are going give our guest--officer, we will give our guest one more chance, but if she speaks out again, we will have to ask for her to be removed. Mr. Fagan, what I was going to ask you, obviously there are so many other uses that are non-military of this kind of technology. I can think of some in my own district, which is heavily reliant on the fishing industry, and some of the underwater technology that could really identify for purposes of determining catch shares or what fish are over-fished, which ones aren't, to other land uses, things of that nature. And when you start talking about that, the real question becomes: How do we keep the innovation going, internationally, not just in our country? At the same time, obviously the ideal is to deprive other countries that might wish us harm from getting the technology that could do so. Can you possibly do that? Mr. Fagan. Mr. Chairman, I believe it is possible that the commercial market is going to drive requirements for technology. If there is a commercial demand for fishing and surveillance related to fishing, I think that sensor systems and technologies will be developed to support that. Currently, there need to be some regulations that would support the operation of aircraft in support of that industry, and I am pretty confident that technology, I am not well versed in exactly how shoals of fish are spotted, but let's assume that it is done optically with optical sensors. There exist quite high quality optical sensors that I would imagine could be adopted for that, but we will need, as I said, two things, a requirement and permission to actually fly the systems in support of those. So the technology is cross-cutting. As the market increases, the demand for these higher quality sensors will increase and costs will go down and the technology will improve. I hope that answered your question. Mr. Tierney. Well, it does a little bit. I may not have asked it as clearly as I could have, but there comes a point in time when some people are going to say, look, we can't allow some of this technology to be exported. We can't allow even some of this equipment to be exported because we are afraid others will put it to a devious use. Is it even possible to draw that kind of a line? Or it is going to happen anyway? Mr. Fagan. That is a difficult line, and I am not an expert on export control regulations. I know that our manufacturers have voiced their concern that sometimes they are too complicated and difficult to comply with. But yes, I think it is possible that if export controls aren't administered properly, it could end up providing bad people with highly technical systems that could be used against the United States. So we are not, AUVSI and me personally, I am not opposed to export regulations. It is just that we would like to see them easy to use and administered in an expedited way. Mr. Tierney. Let me just ask, to survey the rest of the panel, just quickly. Does anybody think that there is a possibility of controlling the export of this technology in such a way that it would not be something that we would have to be concerned about other countries using against our interest? Or is that just something that can't be done? Dr. Singer. Dr. Singer. No, it would be like trying to control computers or trying to control automobiles. We already see 43 other countries building, buying and using these systems and a range of non-state actors for both positive and nefarious purposes. I think the bigger question is: How do we maintain our competitiveness in this? How do we ensure that businesses can continue to thrive so that we can innovate? And I think a long- term issue here is ensuring that they have a pipeline of young scientists, young engineers who can succeed. And that speaks to the challenges of having a national robotics strategy that connects to broader science and technology, engineering and mathematics issues. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. Professor Jackson, do you agree? Mr. Jackson. Just as a point of interest, sir, the ScanEagle, which was used to support the rescue of Captain Phillips in the Maersk Alabama situation was originally developed for the tuna industry. And it was launched from tuna ships to go out to find where the fish were located and then they would recover it from the air. And so that was civilian technology that has been adapted. We now have over 200,000 hours of time used in military applications for surveillance purposes. So it is certainly a two way street. Mr. Tierney. I see the others nodding, so I won't bother to question on that, in agreement. But so what the prospects does anybody want to offer here for an international treaty that addresses the use of these, to restrict the military or other uses of that in any particular circumstances? Is anybody aware of any negotiations or discussions that have been started anywhere about this topic? Professor Anderson. Mr. Anderson. Probably the closest to this would be the development by different bodies such as the International Committee of the Red Cross or several of the scholarly bodies that put up model codes for the laws of war. There has been recently released a model air war manual that would address part of these things, and it specifically has measures talking about unmanned vehicles, both in a surveillance capacity as well as a weapons-firing capacity. The United States has participated through the Department of Defense in numbers of those discussions. And I would say that in the case of the air war manual, I would describe without attributing it, without speaking for the Department of Defense, I would describe it that the U.S. DOD has participated very actively in the formulation of the specific black letter rules that have been developed, but I think was actually quite stunned by the commentary manual that was developed by several of the experts that would go along with that and would attempt to provide sort of authoritative guidance. The United States, I do not think, will wind up regarding that as authoritative. Second is also a technical issue in some sense. It is the International Committee of the Red Cross development of what it calls interpretive guidance on direct participation in hostilities, which goes to the question of civilians who may be taking part in ways that Dr. Singer referenced, or CIA personnel or terrorists themselves that may not be regarded, strictly speaking, as combatants, but nonetheless lawful targets. Again, the United States had a number of experts who participated in that process and the ICRC has put that out as guidance. However, that has been extremely controversial in parts of its formulations, essentially in saying you can have part-time participants in hostilities who may not be targeted between activities that they are carrying out. And the United States I do not think will come close to signing onto those. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. Mr. Flake. Mr. Flake. Dr. Singer, you mentioned that there are some criminal uses, and it has been mentioned for nefarious purposes, as you put it. Can you give some examples of non- state actors or others that are using it in this way? Dr. Singer. The examples range from one that was mentioned of Hezbollah during its war with Israel operating these systems, to some of the border militia groups utilizing them too. There were a group of thieves in Taiwan a couple of weeks ago who used robotic helicopters to scout out targets and ensure that they were ready to steal from. What we are seeing here, again, this technology is what you could describe as the parallel to open source software. It is not like an aircraft carrier. It is not like an atomic bomb where you need a huge industrial structure not only to build it, but to utilize it. And so that means that we have a flattening effect playing out in terms of who can utilize this technology. And the positive side is, again, the range of uses that can be made, everything from fishery to environmental monitoring. We used the Global Hawks for response to the humanitarian disaster in Haiti. But the opposite is that it lowers the bar for nefarious actors. The best illustration I can give of that, of the potential, is during World War II, Hitler's Luftwaffe, Hitler's air force could not strike the United States. It didn't have that reach. A couple years ago, a 77 year old blind man designed his own unmanned system that flew across the Atlantic. And so what we have to in a sense do is, in my mind, the 9/11 Commission described as part of the cause of the tragedy on that day was a failure of our own imagination. We need to apply this to this emerging technology here as well, use imagination in how we can utilize it for positive ends, but also being aware that the threat scenarios are widening as well. Mr. Flake. Thank you. Mr. Anderson, a U.N. official raised the prospect that drone attacks are a form of extrajudicial execution, I think is the way it was put. Have any organs of the United Nations, and you spoke of it a little in your last colloquy, but are we likely to see these challenges from international organizations or states themselves? Where do you think the challenges are likely to come from, whether it is the Red Cross just looking for guidelines or is it likely the U.N. through its agencies that are going to demand some kind of guidelines here? Mr. Anderson. Well, I think that this is gradually a developing campaign in which there are various international actors who are very unhappy with the development of this, both the technology and, at this moment, by its use in particular by civilian agencies. And I think that their difficulties with the technology range all the way back to military use on the active battlefield. But the easy place to sort of move in a campaign to peel that off is with the CIA. And in that regard, then the charge has been leveled that this is a violation of international human rights standards. It constitutes extra-judicial execution without having any charges, without having attempted to arrest the person. We respond by saying the person is a terrorist combatant and can be targeted at any point. We are not obligated to try and detain them or to capture them. But there are many, many authorities out there who disagree vehemently with that. And one of the questions that will arise is, the United States has never, across many, many decades, agreed to sign onto the extraterritorial application of the treaties that would make it possible to characterize these acts as being extra-judicial execution. It has never agreed to that. And one of the questions will be whether the administration, without really sort of thinking about its impacts on these kinds of areas that are close to its heart, winds up weakening those restraints or winds up weakening the U.S. opposition to that, without really taking into account the effect that it would have on precisely these kinds of things. The long-term effect of that, given that there are not necessarily statutes of limitations on these kinds of acts, could be the problem of CIA officers, or for that matter military officers or their lawyers being called up in front of international tribunals or courts of Spain or someplace and said, you've engaged in extrajudicial execution or simple murder and we are going to investigate and indict. Mr. Flake. Thank you. Mr. Tierney. Mr. Foster. Mr. Foster. Yes. Dr. Singer, you have mentioned a couple times a national robotics strategy wherein education is crucial to keeping our lead in this area, if such a lead exists. And there are a number of things like the U.S.'s FIRST Robotics Competition. There is the Fab Lab where they have rapid prototype equipment that are distributed. Do you have any favorites here or ideas of what the best strategy is going to be going forward, besides just dumping a bunch of money into it? Dr. Singer. I am not going to pick favorites in terms of competitions, but it is interesting that a number of the other states that are succeeding and thriving in this realm, like for example South Korea, do have these sorts of strategies and it would be interesting for us to learn from them. I think you mentioned some of the aspects of what a strategy might look like. Some of the elements of it include, for example, not just the sort of isolated islands of excellence in terms of robotics labs or robotics competitions. How could we expand upon those so that you are engaging youth in a greater way, but also that you are allowing the best design to win? Can we support greater graduate scholarships in this realm? Is there the possibility of creating public-private partnerships along the lines of special geographic zones the way that we have seen with Research Triangle in North Carolina or Silicon Valley. Is there the potential for something like that in robotics? But again, part of this should also be having it go hand in hand with discussions about the impact of what they are doing in the lab on the world beyond, the kind of ethics discussions that the professors here are leading. And I think that element has been missing, as well, to a prior question that was asked of debates about regulation. We have to start within the robotics field of robotocists, what kind of research should they engage in and what should they not; should there be arms control, sort of the early nodes of the land mines treaty when it comes to the issue of autonomy moving forward. But for example, if you were a young robotocist, you don't have a code of ethics right now to turn to the way if you were a young medical scientist. And I think that part of this strategy has to be not only what do we do to maintain national competitiveness, but also how do we wrestle with the issue beyond. Mr. Foster. OK. Professor Anderson, or anyone who wants to field it, is there a moral, legal or political distinction between a decapitation strike and just a strike against the normal military hierarchy that you see, and when you are deliberately going after the political leadership of an organization compared to just the chain of command? Mr. Anderson. If one is talking about a non-state actor group which has been characterized with legal reasons as being a terrorist group, then there is not really going to be a distinction--I mean, they are targets in that sense. There are other kinds of legal issues that arise if one goes after a purely decapitation strategy with regards to a regime. Again, it is lawful, in my view, but the legal rationales are different because it is a state versus a non-state. And so the legal questions that arise here about going after leadership targets in terrorist organizations, in part there the kinds of strategic and prudential arguments that Dr. Singer has raised about sort of whack-a-mole questions and those things. But I don't think that there is legal questions about the question of the lawfulness of targeting the people that are involved. Mr. Foster. Another thing that I am sure occurs to everyone is whether we are in danger of gradually lowering the threshold for a declared war. During the cold war, there were all these games of chicken played over the Arctic continuously. And if we had drones, we just perhaps would have escalated that into actually destroying hardware. And when the hardware becomes nuclear-capable hardware, you are talking about a really scary line that is in danger of being crossed. And I was just wondering what the thinking is in terms of, is it possible to implement a hard line that says, this is an act of war and this is not an act of war, when there are unmanned vehicles only in the battle. Dr. Singer. The way I visualize this is that the barriers to war are dropping both socially, and politically, but also now technologically. But at the same time, our definition of war is changing. And we can see this in terms set-aside from robotics. This body hasn't declared war since 1941. We don't have a draft or conscription anymore. We don't pay war bonds or higher taxes for war. And now we have a technology that allows us to carry out what we would have previously termed act of war, without having to have a political debate about it. I mean, literally it is not a theoretic issue. We have carried out at least 119 air strikes, and this body hasn't had a debate about it, either to support or to go against. And so the way I see it, again, was that the barriers to war were already lowering. The technology perhaps allows these barriers to hit the ground. And what was interesting is that when I went around interviewing people, that was the concern that was shared. For example, I remember an interview with someone at Human Rights Watch who raised that, but also an interview with a special operations officer within the U.S. military as one of their big concerns here. Mr. Anderson. If I could just add to that. If the administration's lawyers were here in front of you today, they would say that this is all covered by the AUMF in so far as we are targeting people who are in some way connected either with Al Qaeda or with the authors of 9/11 and that is true whether or not one is talking about the strikes in Pakistan or even the strikes in Yemen or any other place. I believe that where this question that you raise becomes most important is that not all the enemies that the United States will face in the decades into the future are going to turn out to be Al Qaeda, nor will they be connected to 9/11. And the question that this body, the Congress, has to address is, as the thresholds that Dr. Singer described get lowered, then the question of the controls on the use of force will depend on, first of all, whether you assign those functions directly to the military and to no other force, or allow the CIA and covert operations to partake of that, which I believe is hugely important for avoiding overt wars. There is a reason why the CIA has been tasked in Pakistan to do what it does, rather than having the undeniable presence of the U.S. military there. I think that is the right decision. But as this moves into the future, the lines drawn with respect to the CIA have to be drawn and I believe that, as the threshold for what constitutes the use of force is lowered, the responsibility of this body will not lie in issuing things like more AUMFs unless there is another 9/11 or something similar, but will lie in the way in which this body exercises its oversight functions and strengthens its oversight functions to require much greater reporting, much more detailed reporting. But at the same time, the concomitant part of that is this body is going to have to learn to be a whole lot more effective at keeping the secrets that are involved. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. I just want to let you know that you have our gratitude for that and we may at some time want to call you back either for a formal hearing or just for a discussion to educate us more on the issue. We are going to go for about a half hour and then we will come back, probably less than a half hour, for 20 minutes or so, and come back with our second panel. I again thank all of you on this panel. We will take a recess now. [Recess.] Mr. Tierney. We appreciate your staying with us and testifying. If we were more thoughtful on this, we probably would have scheduled this for another day instead of running you here this late. But I get the feeling that you may be back again at some point convenient to everybody. This looks like an area we will want to explore in some more depth at some point. Let me just introduce the panel first for the record, if I could. Mr. Michael J. Sullivan serves as the Director of Acquisition and Sourcing Management at the U.S. Government Accountability Office. His team is responsible for examining the effectiveness of agency acquisition and procurement practices, and meeting the mission performance objectives and requirements. He also manages a body of work designed to help the Department of Defense apply best commercial practices to better develop advanced weapons systems. Mr. Sullivan holds both a B.A. and an MPA from Indiana University. Mr. Dyke Weatherington is the Deputy Director for Unmanned Warfare and Portfolio Systems Acquisition in the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, Logistics in the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisitions. You must have quite the business card. A retired Lieutenant Colonel in the U.S. Air Force, he is responsible for acquisition oversight for unmanned aircraft systems and associated subsystems. He is also the functional lead for the Deputy Secretary of Defense-directed UAS Task Force. He holds a B.S. from the U.S. Air Force Academy and an M.A. from California State University. And the Honorable Kevin Wolf serves as the Assistant Secretary for Export Administration at the U.S. Department of Commerce. Prior to his, he was a partner at Bryan Cave, LLP, where he worked on export administration regulations, international traffic in arms regulations and sanctions administered by the Office of Foreign Assets Control. He holds a B.A. from the University of Missouri and an M.A. and J.D. from the University of Minnesota. Thank you again, all of you, for being here and sharing your substantial expertise with us. It is our policy to swear in the witnesses, so if you would please rise and raise your hands. [Witnesses sworn.] Mr. Tierney. Thank you. The record will please reflect that all of the witnesses have answered in the affirmative. I remind you of what I think you already know, that all of your written testimony will be placed on the record in its entirety. We would just ask you if you could summarize that in about 5 minutes each, and we will do some question and answer after that. And thank you. We will start with you, Mr. Sullivan. STATEMENTS OF MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN, DIRECTOR, ACQUISITION AND SOURCING MANAGEMENT, U.S. GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY OFFICE; DYKE WEATHERINGTON, DEPUTY, UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLE PLANNING TASKFORCE, OFFICE OF THE UNDER SECRETARY FOR ACQUISITION, TECHNOLOGY AND LOGISTICS, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE; AND KEVIN WOLF, ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR EXPORT ADMINISTRATION, BUREAU OF INDUSTRY AND SECURITY, U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE STATEMENT OF MICHAEL J. SULLIVAN Mr. Sullivan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and Congressman Flake. Thanks for this opportunity to discuss GAO's report on the Department's unmanned aircraft systems acquisition efforts from July of last year. My statement today focuses on acquisition outcomes, the extent of collaboration among the services on those acquisitions, and recent investment decisions related to unmanned aircraft acquisitions. As has been stated earlier in the hearing, from 2002 to 2008, the number of unmanned aircraft in DOD's inventory has grown from about 167 to more than 7,000 as a result of growing demand from the field. Once fielded, these aircraft have proven to be quite valuable to our warfighters. However, there have been growing pains along the way. We assessed the 10 largest unmanned aircraft programs, eight air systems and two payload systems, for the report that we did last July, and found that their development costs had grown by $3 billion or 37 percent on average. Procurement funding has increased for most of those programs, but this was mostly due to increases in the number of aircraft being procured, which is a good thing. Nonetheless, procurement unit costs have grown by 12 percent on average. Our assessment found varying degrees of collaboration among the services. For example, the Marine Corps was able to avoid the cost of initial system development and a lot of duplication of capabilities and was also able to deliver needed capability to its Marines very quickly by simply choosing to procure existing Shadow aircraft from the existing Army program. In another case, the Navy is expecting to save time and money on its broad area maritime surveillance system by using the existing Air Force Global Hawk air frame. However, it is developing a lot of its own unique subsystems, rather than joining the Air Force in some of those procurements. In contrast to those examples, the Army and the Air Force did not effectively collaborate on their Predator and Sky Warrior Programs despite strong direction from the Department to do so. We don't really have any estimates of the costs that might have occurred because of the duplicative efforts there, but we do know that the Army had to stand up a program office and had a development effort of over a half billion dollars. So that probably is some costs that they didn't need. Much greater commonality could have been achieved as each of those weapons systems are being developed by the same contractor. One is a variant of the other. Service-centric requirements and an unwillingness to collaborate were key factors in limiting commonality across these programs. Despite the Department's efforts to emphasize jointness and encourage commonality, the services continued to establish unique requirements, some of which have raised concerns about unnecessary duplication, such as the Sky Warrior and the Predator. Since our report was issued, the Department has made an investment decision to increase development of unmanned aircraft and procure larger numbers, which we think is a good thing. It also recognizes that this important investment must be leveraged effectively. One of the major goals of the UAS road map is to foster the development and practice of policies, standards and procedures for operating unmanned aircraft and to promote the enforcement of government, international and commercial standards for the design, manufacture, testing and operation of unmanned systems. The road map has recognized the potential for unprecedented levels of collaboration to gain capabilities at reduced acquisition costs. And we have reported in the past that one key to increased collaboration and commonality is the use of open systems across product lines, across air frames, subsystems and even down to the component level. Unmanned systems are critical to the Department's mission and will continue to grow in numbers and in effectiveness. In order to acquire them most efficiently in today's environment of constrained resources, the Department should follow through on its stated goals and continue to force joint standardized weapons systems wherever it makes sense. Mr. Chairman, that completes my statement. [The prepared statement of Mr. Sullivan follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. Thank you very much. We appreciate your statement. Mr. Weatherington. STATEMENT OF DYKE WEATHERINGTON Mr. Weatherington. Mr. Chairman, Congressman Flake, thank you for the opportunity to appear today before you to discuss the Department of Defense's unmanned aircraft systems acquisition programs, specifically Department initiatives to achieve greater commonality and efficiencies. My testimony will address the full spectrum of DOD UAS systems. This distinction is important because we have pursued opportunities for commonality and efficiency successfully across the full range of DOD unmanned aircraft systems, including small unmanned aircraft systems. Table one in the provided testimony is included to identify the broad diversity of unmanned aircraft systems supporting a broad range of warfighter needs, and you have examples of each of the groups of those systems on the table in front of you. The GAO report, Defense Acquisitions: Opportunities Exist to Achieve Greater Commonality and Efficiency Among Aircraft Systems, was released last July and reviewed the DOD UAS program groups three through five. GAO had five recommendations. The Department partially concurred with the recommendation to conduct rigorous, comprehensive analysis of requirements for current UAS and to develop a strategy for making systems and subsystems among these programs more common. At the time of the review, the UAS Task Force, with support from the Joint Requirements Oversight Council, had already completed a comprehensive analysis of the potential for commonality between the current Air Force Predator Program and the Army's Extended Range Multi-Purpose Program. Since the report was released, the UAS Task Force, in coordination with Joint Staff, has conducted a rigorous review of the Navy's BAMS Program and the Air Force Global Hawk Program to evaluate opportunities for achieving greater commonality and joint efficiencies. We have completed that analysis, along with one addressing signals intelligence or SIGINT payload commonality. The Department concurred with the remaining four GAO recommendations in that report. Since the GAO has released its report, the Department has completed its 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review and the President has submitted his fiscal year 2011 budget. The QDR highlights the continuing warfighter need for increased intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, and force protection capabilities provided by unmanned aircraft systems and the budget reflects the Department's increased investment needs in these areas. This investment is consistent with the acquisition reform goal and DOD's high priority performance goals presented in the analytical perspective volumes of the President's fiscal year 2011 budget. The Department's investment and operation in UAS continues to increase as demand for a wide range of UAS capabilities expands, as was discussed in the first panel. DOD's annual budget for development and procurement of UAS has increased from about $1.7 billion in fiscal year 2006 to over $4.2 billion in fiscal year 2010. During that same period, DOD UAS operations have grown from about 165,000 hours to over 550,000 hours annually, and there is a graphic in the testimony. Unmanned aircraft system inventory has increased from less than 3,000 to over 6,500 aircraft, as has been mentioned previously. The Department is making significant investments in unmanned aircraft systems and that is projected to grow significantly over the next 5 years. Achieving commonality, interoperability and joint efficiencies in development, production, and operation and support is critical to controlling costs and delivering interoperable, reliable systems to the warfighter with capabilities they need to win. We will continue to improve the defense acquisition system and have formed the UAS Task Force jointly to address critical UAS technology and acquisition issues to enhance operation, enable interdependencies, commonalities and other efficiencies. Just a quick update on our current DOD UAS programs. This year, the Department made the commitment to grow Air Force Predator and Reaper combat air patrols [CAPs], to 50 by 2011, and the Air Force is on track to achieve this goal and will continue to expand the force structure to support up to 65 CAPs by fiscal year 2013. The Army is also expanding many classes of UAS, including accelerated production of the Predator Class ER/MP and also upgrading Shadow. In addition to the quick reaction capability of eight ER/MP aircraft already fielded in Iraq, the Army will field a second quick reaction capability to Afghanistan this year. The Army also plans to field 13 ER/MP systems of 12 aircraft each to each of the combat aviation brigades starting in fiscal year 2011. Navy is in engineering and manufacturing development phase for its BAMS UAS Program and is introducing sea-based unmanned aircraft systems with its vertical takeoff, unmanned aerial vehicle, and its small tactical unmanned aircraft system. Navy plans to award the STUAS contract later this year. Finally, all the military departments and Special Operations Command are operating the hand-launched Raven with over 4,700 aircraft delivered to the warfighter. In closing, Mr. Chairman, the Department's investment in UAS is projected to continue to grow. We recognize achieving commonality, interoperability and joint efficiencies in development, production, operations and support is critical to controlling costs and delivering interoperable, reliable systems to the warfighters. Thank you for this opportunity to testify. [The prepared statement of Mr. Weatherington follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. Thank you for your testimony. Mr. Wolf, you are recognized for 5 minutes. STATEMENT OF KEVIN WOLF Mr. Wolf. Thank you, Chairman Tierney, Congressman Flake, members of the committee, professional staff. Thank you for the opportunity to testify before your committee on the Department of Commerce's role in export controls of unmanned aerial vehicles, related components and technology. The Bureau of Industry and Security [BIS], within the Department of Commerce administers the controls on the export, re-export, and in-country transit of a range of dual use items, commodities, software, technology, that have both civilian and military uses. In doing so, BIS works closely with a number of departments and agencies, including the Departments of Defense, State, and Energy, the Central Intelligence Agency, Department of Homeland Security, and its Bureau of Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and the Department of Justice. The dual use export control system is an important tool to protect the national security of the United States against diverse threats that our Nation faces. State and non-state actors seek to acquire weapons of mass destruction and the means to deliver them, as well as conventional arms and other items that could be used for terrorist purposes. BIS implements the dual use control system through the export administration regulations. Under the EAR, BIS regulates the export of certain UAVs and related items based on multilateral control lists and other items that could be used in or for UAVs through unilateral controls on end uses and end users. What I mean by that is that the dual use regulations administered by the Bureau of Industry and Security are one part of a greater scheme. You have multilateral controls, principally the missile technology control regime, sometimes called the MTCR, and the Wassenaar Arrangement, which are arrangements between, depending upon the regime, 34 to 40-plus member countries which have agreed to establish lists of items and technologies that should be controlled for export and re-export outside of the member countries. And these lists that are agreed to and worked on and revised regularly by various committees in which the Commerce Department and other U.S. departments participate, are updated to take into account current threats and current issues. These lists that the MTCR creates and the other multilateral regimes' work are the basis for the list of items that the U.S. Government controls for export and re-export or in-country transit. The Commerce Department regulations, the dual use regulations, again even within the domestic regime, are only one part of that. The other part is what are called the International Traffic in Arms regulations which are the regulations administered and implemented by the State Department's Directorate of Defense Trade Controls. And principally, what those regulations govern in terms of the export and re-export are defense articles such as UAVs that are specifically designed or modified for military application or parts or components for those UAVs that are specifically designed or modified for military UAVs, rather, and all technical data and services that are directly related to the UAVs and to those parts and components. And for those items and for services related to those items, it is a worldwide licensing requirement except for Canada in some limited circumstances. A subset of that are the dual use controls. So anything that is military is not controlled by us. It is those UAVs and related parts, components, accessories and technology or software for their production or development that are controlled for worldwide export. That is, if you were in the United States and you had one of these items or an accessory that was specially designed for a dual use UAV, a license would be required from the U.S. Government before it is exported. Similarly, if it is an item that is of U.S. origin or otherwise subject to these regulations, a license would be required to re-export it from one destination to another destination. And then behind these rules is a vigorous set of enforcement authorities, both civil and criminal penalties that are available to the U.S. Government for those individuals and companies that violate these regulations, export something from the United States or re-export it if it is otherwise controlled without a license. There is a series, as our testimony, my written testimony has, of enforcement actions against companies, both civil and criminal, for people trying to export and re-export things directly or indirectly related to UAV manufacture, production or use outside the United States in violation of these rules. So with that general summary of U.S. export control law and UAVs, I would be happy to answer any specific questions you might have. [The prepared statement of Mr. Wolf follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Tierney. So Mr. Wolf, not the first time you have given that rap, right? Mr. Wolf. Excuse me? Mr. Tierney. Not the first time you have given that rap. Mr. Wolf. No, indeed. [Laughter.] Mr. Tierney. We understand that. But look, we just finished a panel. I think you were here for at least part of it, if not all of it, where the witnesses on that panel told us there is no way you can get this back in the box. We have Hezbollah out there with UAVs. We have Russia, China, other people on that. So how successful is our export regime? Mr. Wolf. Well, it is very successful. There is an active, robust enforcement action. And with respect to the comment that he was making, one thing that I failed to mention but should have, is even with respect to parts and components that aren't specifically listed in either set of regulations or that are not specially designed for use in a UAV, both the MTCR countries and certainly the United States have controls on exports of just about anything to certain end users. So for example, if a coffee cup or something that is going to be used in developing a UAV were destined for, or from the United States, rather, or a U.S.-origin item re-exported from a third country, if it were destined to a prohibited end user, things that are called either denied entities, which are the list of companies that have participated, many of them, in UAV or other proliferation-related activities that we don't like, or what the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control maintains are called specially designated nationals. If somebody were exporting something to one of those entities or individuals, that would be prohibited without U.S. Government authorization, which of course would be denied. Similarly, even if not to an entity or an end-user that has been listed by the U.S. Government, our regulations, the Commerce regulations have what are called general prohibitions on exporting just about anything that is subject to the EAR, to anyone and a certain group of countries if it is with respect to certain types of UAVs, or to just about anyone in most countries if there is knowledge or reason to believe, it is a fairly broad standard, that it is destined for a UAV production-related or for a weapons of mass destruction-related end use. So what he was referring to is that there are some things that are so common that they just simply can't be controlled. I understand the point, but what it failed to take into account are the very broad controls, the catch-all controls over prohibited end uses and prohibited end users. Mr. Tierney. So I guess that leaves us then with a question of who are the member participants in the missile technology control regime and other similar protocols and who is not? Mr. Wolf. Well, it is funny you should ask, because I can leave this for you, if you like. It is, I think, about 34 members. Mr. Tierney. I would like it, if you have it there. We would certainly like to put that on the record. Mr. Wolf. I will enter it into the record, of who the members are. Mr. Tierney. Now you can tell us, is Iran in the group? Mr. Wolf. Well, no, no. With respect to Iran and four other countries---- Mr. Tierney. Russia, China. Mr. Wolf. No, China is not a member of the MTCR. Mr. Tierney. Pakistan? Mr. Wolf. Pakistan is not a member of the MTCR. But a couple of things. With respect to Iran and Sudan and Syria and Cuba and North Korea, there is an absolute embargo on all items that are of U.S. origin or which would capture and control anything, whether it is for a UAV or not. Mr. Tierney. But no cap on China selling them similar technology or Pakistan selling similar technology or whatever. So we have it coming out of this country back and forth, but no international agreement to which they are a member that might stop them from doing that. Mr. Wolf. I don't know the scope of China's efforts or not in an open session to sell UAV-related technology to Iran, Pakistan or any of the other countries. But I can, with respect to China in particular, to the extent that U.S.-origin items would be used in an activity, there is something called the China rule, informally, or a China catch-all, depending on who you speak to, but really it is a requirement that for even items that aren't specific to UAVs, like general purpose avionics, if the exporter or re-exporter knows or has reason to believe, again, a very open standard, that the item is destined to China and destined for a military end use, again even if something that otherwise wouldn't require a license for export to China, a license is required from the U.S. Government before exporting it. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. And very quickly, Mr. Weatherington, you say the problems that Mr. Sullivan pointed out in terms of compatibility are solved. He got the message. It is already done. Mr. Weatherington. Sir, we are working on those challenges. As Mr. Sullivan pointed out, there has been very rapid growth in this technology area. And to provide the warfighter the capabilities he needed in many cases, and some that were talked about in the first panel, DOD procured capabilities we currently had. Those, in some cases, did not achieve the full interoperability and commonality that the Department would like to have so we are working on those. My written testimony has many examples of areas where OSD, working with Joint Staff and the services, are working hard to improve our interoperability and commonality. But today, we do have systems that aren't fully integrated into the manner that we would like them to be. Mr. Tierney. OK. I will get back to Mr. Sullivan and ask him his opinion on that in a second. Mr. Flake. Mr. Flake. I just wanted to followup on that. Mr. Weatherington, it is just a little baffling that, if we are talking about old systems that have been around a long time, and after 9/11 obviously the effort we spent a lot of money at Department of Homeland Security for interoperability, whether it is firemen being able to communicate with whomever or whatever. But you would think with relatively new technology like this that ought to be the least of the problems; that if we are acquiring and procuring these, that ought to be assumed, I guess, that there would be interoperability. So it just surprises me that is still a problem. Do you want to elaborate on that? Mr. Weatherington. Sure, sir. For example, the Air Force began procuring Predator manned aircraft systems in 1994. At the time we were procuring those systems, the Department did not have a fully interoperable data link for that class of system. So what was procured was a commercial C-band datalink that met the specific requirements of Predator but was not fully integrated into the DOD force structure. Congress has weighed in on that and provided direction to the Department that all the services should migrate to a common standard, which we call a common datalink [CDL]. We are in the process of doing that. That datalink has many advantages. One of the advantages is it is a fully digitized link. It also provides full encryption for the data being pushed over that datalink. The limitation was at the time we were buying Predator, a datalink with that capability did not exist in a form factor that we could get on Predator. And so the decision was made the Department would take some risk in some areas, datalinks being one of them, to provide the warfighter with the immediate requirement we had. At the same time, the Department is working very hard to go back and upgrade those systems, define interoperability interfaces where they don't exist, require those interfaces where they do exist across the services. Mr. Flake. Mr. Sullivan, do you have anything to add to that? Mr. Sullivan. Yes. I would bring up between the Army's Sky Warrior and the Air Force's Predator Program is probably the most blatant experience that we had with the ability to look at requirements for the warfighter in two different services and come to some common agreement, and it just didn't happen. And that was, if you refer to my written statement there, we tracked the history of the ability of the Office of the Secretary of Defense and the Under Secretary for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, to try to force that. As I stated in my oral statement, at least a half billion dollars were spent to start an Army program office and a separate development program when the Army was looking for basically the same characteristics and the same capabilities that the Air Force had with the Predator. So that is one example. There is another example with the Fire Scout, where the Navy and the Army basically could have bought the same system, but the Army decided that they wanted a datalink that would be compatible with the future combat systems, which as we know now has been terminated. And in fact, the Army's version of Fire Scout has been terminated, too. That established two separate programs because they couldn't get together on the datalink. It is things like that. There is a high-performance kind of a parochial culture across the services that I think a lot of people understand, but in today's environment where every dollar counts, and in addition to that we have an opportunity with this new technology to be more standard and common, it is just our belief that the services should try harder to find these commonalities, especially when the Department itself is pointing it out to them and requesting that they work harder to do that. Mr. Flake. Thank you. That is helpful. Mr. Wolf, it would seem that in terms of export controls, as the chairman said, this is pretty much off the shelf stuff when it comes to the units themselves, whatever we are talking about. It is the communications side of it, the software, I guess it is. Is that where most of your focus really is? Or if not, why not? Because it would seem that the ability of others to get a hold of the software and I guess, some hardware to interfere with communications here would be the problem that we ought to worry about. Mr. Wolf. Going to the question of what the focus is, it depends on what you are talking about with respect to particular export-related transaction. If it is an off the shelf item, for example, that wasn't specially designed or modified for a UAV and isn't otherwise captured or listed on what is called the Commerce Control List, and wasn't somehow specifically designed or modified for a military application, then you are right, it wouldn't be a listed item. It would be an otherwise commercial off the shelf item with multiple applications. Mr. Flake. I guess, in some way, the datalink stuff, that is all proprietary within the military anyway. Is that correct? Mr. Wolf. I don't know the technology well enough to be able to comment, but if for some reason it was directly related to a military application or otherwise specifically modified for a military end item, then it would be controlled under the other set of regulations. Mr. Flake. Thank you. Mr. Tierney. Thanks. So Mr. Weatherington, let me get this right. I read your title as Deputy Director, Unmanned Warfare Portfolio Systems Acquisition in the Office of Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics in the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition. You are responsible for the acquisition oversight for Department of Defense unmanned aerial systems and associated subsystems, including sensors and communication links within all of that alphabet soup I just read on that. So you are the guy. So how is it, were you not there yet or was it under your watch that the Army and the Air Force ignored the directive to work cooperatively and have some commonality? Mr. Weatherington. Sir, I was there. And we had oversight over that acquisition that grew out of the requirements process. The Army ER/MP Program came through the JCIDS process. And that process first---- Mr. Tierney. Could you spell that out for the record, JCIDS? Mr. Weatherington. J-C-I-D-S. Mr. Tierney. You are not going to get off that easy. Mr. Weatherington. And it is Joint Service---- Mr. Tierney. The temptation is there, though, isn't it? [Laughter.] Mr. Weatherington. It is joint capability requirements process. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. Mr. Weatherington. When the Army requirement for ER/MP came in, the Department's position is that we always look to current solutions to meet those warfighter requirements. So the Army's requirement was looked at against the Air Force Predator Program and the JCIDS process, including up to the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, determined that Air Force solution did not meet the Army requirements. Now, the Army fully competed that program, which was core to the AT&L goals of maximum competition where we can get it. The competitor who won that program was the same competitor who built the Air Force Predator Program. And I would characterize that the Army took a good Air Force design and made it better. Mr. Sullivan has identified that there were unique requirements between the two systems that did not afford identical subsystem capabilities and the datalink happens to be one of those. The Army has a relay requirement that the Air Force does not have, and OSD and Joint staff spent a lot of time at the subsystem level doing analysis to determine what subsystems could be common. There is direction, both out of AT&L and out of Joint staff for the two services to buy a common video system, video ball, for those two programs, which is in my written testimony. We are undergoing a review to look at SIGINT capability on those two platforms that will come over in a congressional report very soon. But as to the Army simply buying the Air Force Predator system to meet their requirement, the Department's process looked at that and determined that was not sufficient to meet the Army requirement. Mr. Tierney. Was the Army requirement sufficient to meet the Air Force requirement? Mr. Weatherington. Well, sir, that is somewhat overcome by events because the Air Force has decided to terminate procurement of Predator in lieu of the larger Reaper system that they are procuring today. Mr. Tierney. So here is what I think, or what I see as a potential problem here or whatever, too many cooks in the kitchen. If we are talking about unmanned aerial vehicles and we have a number of different services, obviously, but we have one Department of Defense, and we continue to let each department, each service go off and do its own thing, as if they were all in the different military in their own right and working for some other government. I don't know, but my understanding of having the Department of Defense and having a Joint Chiefs of Staff's operation here was to get some uniformity across the way and have somebody make some decisions with some discipline at the top that would say, ``all right, you tell me what you want; you tell me what you want, but we are going to get one for the two or three or four of you or whatever that works best for everybody, and then maybe we could do little subsets off of it. We are not going to do eight or nine because yours isn't exactly like yours is.'' That gets tremendously expensive. We don't have unlimited amounts of money. We just don't have it. You know that from your own work. So why don't we see a better structure with more discipline and somebody stand up to the different services and say, this can't go on? That is what I think your role at DOD is. I am not putting this on you. I understand you are the Deputy Director and deputies only get to do so much, whatever, but isn't somebody there thinking along those lines and saying, ``look, this just doesn't make sense. We haven't got an unlimited pocketbook here?'' Mr. Weatherington. Mr. Chairman, that is a very fair question and I would articulate that the Department is doing a very good job of that. Again, in my written testimony, there are several examples of where, through OSD and Joint Staff encouragement, we have gotten all the services to procure identical or virtually identical systems. Mr. Sullivan commented on the Marine Corps decision to buy the Army Shadow system. They are buying that. Mr. Tierney. Well, it sounds like it sometimes works and sometimes doesn't. Mr. Sullivan, what do you say to my question? Mr. Sullivan. Well, I would agree with that. As we understand the position of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisitions, Technology and Logistics, that is the position that should be making these decisions, and we don't see that. Mr. Tierney. Instead, each of the services is making the decision. Mr. Sullivan. We don't see that happening. The services, and there is enough that you are getting into here that could be a whole different hearing on acquisitions. Mr. Tierney. Well, I suspect we might. I mean, somebody is going to set priorities here, and sometimes you have to say no. And so maybe this service's request isn't as important as somebody else's and one has to be delayed a little and the other has to be expedited. Mr. Sullivan. Yes. Mr. Tierney. That is, I would think, the referee's job here at the Department of Defense and that acquisition group on that. Mr. Sullivan. And certainly---- Mr. Tierney. Maybe that is important, I think, for another hearing some day. Mr. Sullivan. Certainly, Mr. Weatherington, like you stated, I mean, this isn't the only place that this happens. This is all over. Mr. Tierney. Yes, this is not a blame game thing. You guys are all working as hard as you can and we appreciate that, but I guess it is our job, sitting where we are sitting, to start helping people focus a little bit here and thinking of different ways to do it. Prioritization would be one thing on that. Putting some central management and discipline into it would be another way to go about it. And the other part that we haven't got into today but will probably be part of any future hearing that we do on this, we continue right across all acquisitions to see too few really qualified managers, too few qualified schedulers. So that even when we try to have oversight, we have just been hollowed out a little bit. We don't find that we have the resources. We have talked about this with the people in various aspects of that agency on that. And we are going to have to find out what the Department of Defense's plan is to get people in. I know it is competitive financially. Some people get a better job going off to the private sector and it is hard to entice people. So what is our plan to turn that around? What is our plan so that when we go to production with something we have good schedulers who keep us on line, good product managers to keep us on line, and somebody to say, no, we are not going to change this 15 times along the path here, which helps escalate the costs all the way up. So we probably will get into that at a little bit more. Mr. Flake, do you have any additional questions you want to ask on that? I do think that this is going to probably require us to talk a little bit about the subsystems and the commonality between those uniqueness needs and things of that nature. We want to talk with the idea of how do we not stifle innovation while we are doing that and all of those things at another point. Let me give each of you the opportunity to tell me what we should have asked you or should have explored here that we should bring up at the next meeting if we can. Mr. Sullivan. Mr. Sullivan. Well, I think I just would say that it is an exciting area to be in. And we were just kind of going through all the problems with the acquisition process, and certainly this isn't immune to it, but what I see with unmanned systems is an opportunity to really capitalize on standardization and plug and play kind of thing. And I would also say that the road map that Mr. Weatherington's office has published has goals in it that I think are goals and priorities that are pretty sound, but somebody has to listen to them. And a lot of them drive toward commonality standardization as a way to reduce duplication and save money in the acquisition process. Mr. Tierney. When would be an appropriate time, Mr. Sullivan, for us to ask GAO to take a look at the performance of the Department in meeting those goals, giving them time to get them up and running before we start trying to critique them? Mr. Sullivan. That might be something that--well, the latest road map was, when was that issued? Mr. Weatherington. Late last year. Mr. Tierney. Mr. Weatherington, what do you think is a fair time for us to ask Mr. Sullivan's group to take a look and see how close you are adhering to that? Mr. Weatherington. Sir, that is really on your timeline. Mr. Tierney. Well, it is, but I am asking for a recommendation from you. I could ask for it tomorrow and it would seem unfair to you because you just passed the darn things. Mr. Weatherington. Yes, sir. Mr. Sullivan. We can probably discuss that with your staff and figure out a way where---- Mr. Tierney. Well, let's keep Mr. Weatherington in the loop here so that he doesn't feel like he has an unfair assessment on that. I want it to be constructive. This isn't about, as I said earlier, playing tag with people or anything like that. We want to be able to look at it a little bit out and say it is working or it is not working, how are we doing on these things. Mr. Weatherington, anything else that we should add? Mr. Weatherington. No, sir. Mr. Tierney. OK. Mr. Wolf. Mr. Wolf. Just one followup on your China question about exports from China, for example. I forgot to mention that there are various statutes that give the U.S. Government the ability to impose sanctions against foreign companies that are engaged in proliferation-related activities, which would include the export of UAVs and other MTCR-controlled items to Iran and other sanctioned countries. Those statutes are largely administered by the State Department, but that is another avenue that the U.S. Government has in terms of trying to effect and prevent the flow of non- U.S. origin exports from third countries. Mr. Tierney. Thank you. Thank you. Let me just leave you with this. Why don't combatant commands' sense of warfighting requirements drive the procurement requirements since we do fight jointly, rather than as individual services? Mr. Sullivan. The combatant commands should have more say in what the requirements are for the weapons systems, I agree. Goldwater-Nichols was a major piece of legislation passed a long time ago that was trying to matrix all that. And if you look at it, I think we did it very well on the operations side, but on the acquisition side it didn't take too well. Mr. Tierney. Do your goals, Mr. Weatherington, sort of get us back in that direction at all, do you feel? Mr. Weatherington. Sir, actually one of the goals specifically talked to meeting specific urgent warfighter requirements. And I would articulate that it is difficult to find any other technology in the Department of Defense that in a single decade has made such a tremendous impact on the warfighting capability of the Department. That is not to say that we have done everything perfectly, because in many cases we had to react very, very quickly. But I believe the process we have today, with the formal acquisition process and the opportunity for warfighters to send in urgent warfighter requirements get equal weight in our acquisition process. Mr. Tierney. Yes, and as I say, these oversight hearings are about getting things perfect in the future more so than beating people up over the past. So the idea is how can we help you. How can our oversight process help you meet the goals, if they are reasonable goals, of getting there so that we do do it in that way. And what is what we will strive for. We are all set. Thank you all very, very much. Sorry that it went so late because of the votes and things of that nature, but you have been extremely helpful, and I suspect we may be getting you back to take advantage of your expertise sometime in the future as well. The meeting is adjourned. [Whereupon, at 5:26 p.m., the subcommittee was adjourned.] [Additional information submitted for the hearing record follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]