[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 188 (Thursday, September 27, 2018)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 48765-48777]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2018-21006]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R01-OAR-2017-0595; A-1-FRL-9984-00--Region 1]
Air Plan Approval; New Hampshire; Transport Element for the 2010
Sulfur Dioxide National Ambient Air Quality Standard
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
approve a State Implementation Plan (SIP) revision submitted by the
State of New Hampshire. This revision addresses the interstate
transport requirements of the Clean Air Act (CAA), referred to as the
good neighbor provision, with respect to the 2010 sulfur dioxide
(SO2) national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS). This
action proposes to approve New Hampshire's demonstration that the State
is meeting its obligations regarding the transport of SO2
emissions into other states.
DATES: Written comments must be received on or before October 29, 2018.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R01-
OAR-2017-0595 at https://www.regulations.gov, or via email to
[email protected]. For comments submitted at Regulations.gov, follow
the online instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted,
comments cannot be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. For either
manner of submission, EPA may publish any comment received to its
public docket. Do not submit electronically any information you
consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other
information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written
comment. The written comment is considered the official comment and
should include discussion of all points you wish to make. EPA will
generally not consider comments or comment contents located outside of
the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing
system). For additional submission methods, please contact the person
identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the full
EPA public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on making effective comments, please
visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets. Publicly
available docket materials are available at https://www.regulations.gov
or at the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, EPA Region 1 Regional
Office, Office of Ecosystem Protection, Air Permits, Toxics, and Indoor
Programs Unit, 5 Post Office Square--Suite 100, Boston, MA. EPA
requests that if at all possible, you contact the person listed in the
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section to schedule your inspection.
The Regional Office's official hours of business are Monday through
Friday, 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., excluding legal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Leiran Biton, Air Permits, Toxics and
Indoor Programs Unit, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, EPA Region
1, 5 Post Office Square--Suite 100, (Mail code OEP05-2), Boston, MA
02109-3912, tel. (617) 918-1267, email [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document whenever ``we,''
``us,'' or ``our'' is used, we mean EPA.
Table of Contents
I. Background and Purpose
II. State Submittal
III. Summary of the Basis for the Proposed Action
IV. Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)--Interstate Transport
A. General Requirements and Historical Approaches for Criteria
Pollutants
B. Approach for Addressing the Interstate Transport Requirements
for the 2010 Primary SO2 NAAQS in New Hampshire
C. Prong 1 Analysis--Significant Contribution to Nonattainment
1. Emissions Trends
2. Ambient Air Quality
3. Assessment of Potential Ambient Impacts of SO2
Emissions From Certain Sources Based on Air Dispersion Modeling and
Other Information
4. SIP-Approved Regulations Specific to SO2
5. Other SIP-Approved or Federally-Enforceable Regulations
6. Conclusion
D. Prong 2 Analysis--Interference With Maintenance of the NAAQS
V. Proposed Action
VI. Incorporation by Reference
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. Background and Purpose
On June 22, 2010 (75 FR 35520), EPA promulgated a revised primary
NAAQS for SO2 at a level of 75 parts per billion (ppb),
based on a 3-year average of the annual 99th percentile of 1-hour daily
maximum concentrations. Pursuant to section 110(a)(1) of the CAA,
states are required to submit SIPs meeting the applicable requirements
of section 110(a)(2) within 3 years after promulgation of a new or
revised NAAQS or within such shorter period as EPA may prescribe.\1\
These SIPs, which EPA has historically referred to as ``infrastructure
SIPs,'' are to provide for the ``implementation, maintenance, and
enforcement'' of such NAAQS, and the requirements are designed to
ensure that the structural components of each state's air quality
management program are adequate to meet the state's responsibility
under the CAA. A detailed history, interpretation, and rationale of
these SIPs and their requirements can be found, among other citations,
in EPA's May 13, 2014 (79 FR 27241) proposed rule titled, ``Approval
and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Illinois,
Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin; Infrastructure SIP requirements for the
2008 Lead NAAQS'' in the section, ``What is the scope of this
rulemaking?'' Section 110(a) of the CAA imposes the obligation upon
states to make a SIP submission to EPA for a new or revised NAAQS, but
the contents of individual state submissions may vary depending upon
the facts and circumstances, and may also vary depending upon what
provisions the state's approved SIP already contains.
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\1\ This requirement applies to both primary and secondary
NAAQS, but EPA's approval in this notice applies only to the 2010
primary NAAQS for SO2 because EPA did not establish in
2010 a new secondary NAAQS for SO2.
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[[Page 48766]]
EPA has implemented the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in multiple
stages or ``rounds.'' In our first round of implementation, EPA
identified a monitored violation based on 2009-2011 monitoring data for
an area around Merrimack Station, a coal-fired power plant in Bow, New
Hampshire. Subsequently on August 5, 2013 (78 FR 47191), in concurrence
with New Hampshire's recommendation for the area, EPA established the
Central New Hampshire Nonattainment Area for the 2010 SO2
NAAQS. On January 31, 2017, EPA received a SIP submittal from the New
Hampshire Department of Environmental Service (NHDES) for the Central
New Hampshire Nonattainment Area. The central component of the plan is
a set of new permit limitations on SO2 emissions from
Merrimack Station. On September 28, 2017 (82 FR 45242), EPA proposed to
approve the State's January 31, 2017 SIP submittal as meeting all
applicable requirements for a nonattainment area SIP submittal. EPA
issued a final rule approving New Hampshire's SIP submittal for the
Central New Hampshire Nonattainment Area on June 5, 2018 (83 FR 25922).
No other areas in New Hampshire or any neighboring state were
designated for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in the first or second
rounds of designations. All other areas in New Hampshire and
neighboring states have since been designated as Attainment/
Unclassifiable as part of EPA's third round of designations on January
9, 2018 (83 FR 1098).
On September 13, 2013, NHDES submitted a revision to its SIP,
certifying its SIP meets most of the requirements of section 110(a)(2)
of the CAA with respect to the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. However, this
submittal did not address the transport elements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). On July 8, 2016 (81 FR 44542) and May 25, 2017 (82
FR 24085), EPA approved NHDES's certification that its SIP was adequate
to meet most of the program elements required by section 110(a)(2) of
the CAA with respect to the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. However, EPA did
not take action related to the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) of the CAA because New Hampshire's September 13,
2013 infrastructure SIP submittal did not include provisions for this
element.
On June 16, 2017, NHDES submitted a SIP revision for the transport
elements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2010 primary
SO2 NAAQS. The title of the State's SIP submittal is
``Amendment to New Hampshire 2010 Sulfur Dioxide NAAQS Infrastructure
SIP to Address the Good Neighbor Requirements of Clean Air Act Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).'' In this action, EPA is proposing to approve the
State's June 16, 2017 submission to address the section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) requirements for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
EPA is soliciting public comments on the issues discussed in this
notice or on other relevant matters. These comments will be considered
before taking final action. Interested parties may participate in the
Federal rulemaking procedure by submitting written comments to this
proposed rule by following the instructions listed in the ADDRESSES
section of this Federal Register.
II. State Submittal
New Hampshire presented several facts in its SIP submittal on the
effect of SO2 emissions from sources within New Hampshire on
both adjacent states' air quality and their ability to attain and
remain in attainment with the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. The SIP
submittal notes that SO2 ambient monitoring data within New
Hampshire and in adjacent states were substantially below the 2010
SO2 NAAQS. Specifically, the SIP submittal provided the
SO2 ``design value'' (DV),\2\ i.e., the ambient
concentration statistic appropriate for comparison with the NAAQS, for
each monitoring site in New Hampshire, based on the 2013-2015 period.
These 2013-2015 DVs were considerably below the NAAQS at all sites,
including the two monitors within the Central New Hampshire
Nonattainment Area during that period. The highest DV reported by NHDES
for that period was 29 ppb, which is about 39% of the NAAQS, at the
Peirce Island monitor in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. In addition, the
submittal provided source-specific and county-level emissions trends
information for 2013-2015 and longer-term statewide trends. Finally,
the SIP submittal described air quality modeling information for
Schiller Station, a coal- and biomass-fired power plant in Portsmouth,
New Hampshire, and nearby Newington Station, an oil-fired power plant
in Newington, New Hampshire, which indicated that emissions allowed
under new, federally-enforceable emissions limits included in state air
permits for those facilities would not result in a violation of the
NAAQS in New Hampshire, Maine, or Massachusetts.
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\2\ A DV is a statistic that describes the air quality status of
a given location relative to the level of the NAAQS. The
interpretation of the primary 2010 SO2 NAAQS (set at 75
ppb) including the data handling conventions and calculations
necessary for determining compliance with the NAAQS can be found in
appendix T to 40 CFR part 50.
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III. Summary of the Basis for the Proposed Action
This proposed approval of New Hampshire's SIP addressing interstate
transport of SO2 is based on our assessment that the State
is meeting its obligations regarding CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
relative to the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.\3\ Interstate transport
requirements for all NAAQS pollutants prohibit any source--or other
type of emissions activity--in one state from emitting any air
pollutant in amounts that will contribute significantly to
nonattainment, or interfere with maintenance, of the NAAQS in another
state. As part of this analysis, and as explained in detail below, EPA
has taken several approaches to addressing interstate transport in
other actions based on the characteristics of the pollutant, the
interstate problem presented by emissions of that pollutant, the
sources that emit the pollutant, and the information available to
assess transport of that pollutant.
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\3\ This proposed approval of New Hampshire's SIP under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) is based on the information contained in
the administrative record for this action, and does not prejudge any
other future EPA action that may make other determinations regarding
New Hampshire's air quality status. Any such future actions, such as
area designations under any NAAQS, will be based on their own
administrative records and EPA's analyses of information that
becomes available at those times. Future available information may
include, and is not limited to, monitoring data and information
submitted to EPA by states, air agencies, and third party
stakeholders such as citizen groups and industry representatives.
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Despite being emitted from a similar universe of point and nonpoint
sources, interstate transport of SO2 is unlike the transport
of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) or ozone in that
SO2 is not a regionally-mixing pollutant for which emissions
from multiple sources commonly contribute to widespread nonattainment
of the SO2 NAAQS over a large (and often multi-state) area.
While transport of SO2 is more analogous to the transport of
lead (Pb) because its physical properties result in localized pollutant
impacts very near the emissions source, the physical properties and
release height of SO2 are such that impacts of
SO2 do not experience the same sharp decrease in ambient
concentrations as rapidly and as nearby as for Pb. Emissions of
SO2 travel further and have sufficiently wider-ranging
impacts than emissions of Pb to require a different approach than for
handling Pb transport, but not far enough to be treated in a manner
similar to regional transport pollutants such as PM2.5 or
ozone.
Put simply, a different approach is needed for interstate transport
of SO2:
[[Page 48767]]
The approaches EPA has adopted for Pb transport (described for
background in section IV) are too tightly circumscribed to the source,
and the approaches for PM2.5 or ozone transport (also
described for background in section IV) are too regionally focused.
SO2 transport is therefore a unique case, and EPA's
evaluation of whether New Hampshire has met its transport obligations
was accomplished in several discrete steps. First, EPA evaluated what
universe of sources are likely to be responsible for SO2
emissions that could contribute to interstate transport. An assessment
of the 2014 National Emissions Inventory (NEI) for New Hampshire made
it clear that the vast majority of SO2 emissions in New
Hampshire are from fuel combustion at point and nonpoint sources and
that emissions from other sources are small in the absolute sense as
well, and therefore it would be reasonable to evaluate the downwind
impacts of emissions from the combined fuel combustion source
categories to help determine whether the State has met its transport
obligations.
Second, EPA selected a spatial scale--essentially, the geographic
area and distance around the point sources in which we could reasonably
expect SO2 impacts to occur--that would be appropriate for
our analysis, ultimately settling on utilizing an ``urban scale'' with
dimensions from 4 to 50 kilometers (km) from point sources given the
usefulness of that range in assessing trends in both area-wide air
quality and the effectiveness of pollution control strategies at those
point sources. As such, EPA utilized an assessment approach that
extended to 50 km from fuel-combustion point sources when considering
possible transport of SO2 from New Hampshire to downwind
states.
Third, EPA assessed all available data at the time of this
rulemaking regarding SO2 emissions in New Hampshire and
their possible impacts in downwind states, including: SO2
ambient air quality; SO2 emissions and SO2
emissions trends; SIP-approved SO2 regulations and
permitting requirements; available air dispersion modeling; and other
SIP-approved or federally promulgated regulations that may yield
reductions of SO2 at New Hampshire's fuel-combustion point
and nonpoint sources.
Fourth, using the universe of information identified in steps 1-3
(i.e., emissions sources, spatial scale and available data, and
modeling results and enforceable regulations), EPA then conducted an
analysis under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to evaluate whether fuel-
combustion sources in New Hampshire would significantly contribute to
nonattainment in other states, and then whether they would interfere
with maintenance of the NAAQS in other states.
Based on the analysis provided by the State in its SIP submittal
and EPA's assessment of the information in that submittal, and EPA's
assessment of other relevant information available at the time of this
rulemaking, for each of the factors discussed at length below in this
action, EPA proposes to find that sources or emissions activity within
New Hampshire will not contribute significantly to nonattainment, nor
will they interfere with maintenance of, the 2010 primary
SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
IV. Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)--Interstate Transport
A. General Requirements and Historical Approaches for Criteria
Pollutants
Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) requires SIPs to include provisions
prohibiting any source or other type of emissions activity in one state
from emitting any air pollutant in amounts that will contribute
significantly to nonattainment, or interfere with maintenance, of a
NAAQS in another state. The two clauses of this section are referred to
as prong 1 (significant contribution to nonattainment) and prong 2
(interference with maintenance of a NAAQS).
EPA's most recent infrastructure SIP guidance, the September 13,
2013 memorandum, entitled ``Guidance on Infrastructure State
Implementation Plan (SIP) Elements under Clean Air Act Sections
110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2),'' \4\ did not explicitly include criteria for
how the Agency would evaluate infrastructure SIP submittals intended to
address section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).\5\ With respect to certain
pollutants, such as particulate matter and ozone, EPA has addressed
interstate transport in eastern states in the context of regional
rulemaking actions that quantify state emission reduction
obligations.\6\ In other actions, such as the EPA action on western
state SIPs addressing particulate matter and ozone, EPA has considered
a variety of factors on a case-by-case basis to determine whether
emissions from one state significantly contribute to nonattainment or
interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS in another state. In such
actions, EPA has considered available information such as current air
quality, emissions data and trends, meteorology, distance between
states, and topography.\7\
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\4\ Available online at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/guidance_on_infrastructure_sip_elements_multipollutant_final_sept_2013.pdf.
\5\ At the time the September 13, 2013 guidance was issued, EPA
was litigating challenges raised with respect to our Cross State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR), (76 FR 48208, August 8, 2011) designed to
address the CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) interstate transport
requirements with respect to the 1997 ozone and the 1997 and 2006
PM2.5 NAAQS. CSAPR was vacated and remanded by the D.C.
Circuit in 2012 pursuant to EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v. EPA,
696 F.3d 7. EPA subsequently sought review of the D.C. Circuit's
decision by the Supreme Court, which was granted in June 2013. As
EPA was in the process of litigating the interpretation of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) at the time the infrastructure SIP guidance was
issued, EPA did not issue guidance specific to that provision. The
Supreme Court subsequently vacated the D.C. Circuit's decision and
remanded the case to that court for further review. 134 S.Ct. 1584
(2014). On July 28, 2015, the D.C. Circuit issued a decision
upholding CSAPR, but remanding certain elements for reconsideration.
795 F.3d 118.
\6\ NOX SIP Call (63 FR 57371, October 27, 1998);
Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) (70 FR 25172, May 12, 2005); CSAPR
(76 FR 48208, August 8, 2011).
\7\ See, e.g., Approval and Promulgation of Implementation
Plans; State of California; Regional Haze and Interstate Transport;
Significant Contribution to Nonattainment and Interference with
Maintenance Requirements, Proposed Rule (76 FR 14616, 14616-14626,
March 17, 2011); Final Rule (76 FR 34872, June 15, 2011); Approval
and Promulgation of State Implementation Plans; State of Colorado;
Interstate Transport of Pollution for the 2006 24-Hour
PM2.5 NAAQS, Proposed Rule (80 FR 27121, 27124-27125, May
12, 2015); Final Rule (80 FR 47862, August 10, 2015).
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For Pb, EPA has suggested the applicable interstate transport
requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) can be met through a state's
assessment as to whether emissions from Pb sources located in close
proximity to its borders have emissions that impact a neighboring state
such that they contribute significantly to nonattainment or interfere
with maintenance in that state. For example, EPA noted in an October
14, 2011 memorandum, entitled ``Guidance on Infrastructure State
Implementation Plan (SIP) Elements Required Under Sections 110(a)(1)
and 110(a)(2) for the 2008 Lead (Pb) National Ambient Air Quality
Standards (NAAQS),'' \8\ that the physical properties of Pb prevent its
emissions from experiencing the same travel or formation phenomena as
PM2.5 or ozone, and there is a sharp decrease in Pb
concentrations, at least in the coarse fraction, as the distance from a
Pb source increases. Accordingly, while it may be possible for a source
in a state to emit Pb in a location and in quantities that may
contribute significantly to nonattainment in, or interfere with
maintenance by, any other state, EPA anticipates that this would be a
rare situation, e.g., where
[[Page 48768]]
large sources are in close proximity to state boundaries.\9\ Our
rationale and explanation for approving the applicable interstate
transport requirements under section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2008 Pb
NAAQS, consistent with EPA's interpretation of the October 14, 2011
guidance document, can be found, among other instances, in the May 13,
2014 proposed approval (79 FR 27241 and 27249) and a subsequent July
16, 2014 final approval (79 FR 41439) of interstate transport SIPs
submitted by Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.
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\8\ Available online at: https://www3.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/aqmguide/collection/cp2/20111014_page_lead_caa_110_infrastructure_guidance.pdf.
\9\ Id. at pp 7-8.
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B. Approach for Addressing the Interstate Transport Requirements for
the 2010 Primary SO2 NAAQS in New Hampshire
As previously noted, section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) requires an
evaluation of how emissions from any source or other type of emissions
activity in one state may impact air quality in other states. One
reasonable starting point for determining which sources and emissions
activities in New Hampshire are likely to impact downwind air quality
with respect to the SO2 NAAQS is by using information in the
NEI.\10\ The NEI is a comprehensive and detailed estimate of air
emissions of criteria pollutants, criteria pollutant precursors, and
hazardous air pollutants from air emissions sources, and is updated
every 3 years using information provided by the states. At the time of
this rulemaking, the most recently available comprehensive dataset is
the 2014 NEI (version 2), and the state summary for New Hampshire is
included in Table 1 below.
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\10\ Available online at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/national-emissions-inventory-nei.
Table 1--Summary of 2014 National Emissions Inventory Data for SO2
Emission Source Categories in New Hampshire
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Emissions
Category (tons per
year)
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Fuel Combustion: Electric Generation.................... 2,642
Fuel Combustion: Industrial............................. 817
Fuel Combustion: Other *................................ 4,440
Waste Disposal and Recycling............................ 263
Highway Vehicles........................................ 134
Off-Highway............................................. 257
Miscellaneous [dagger].................................. 6
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Total................................................. 8,560
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* ``Other'' fuel combustion is nonpoint and includes 3,180 tons per year
from residential fuel oil combustion, 1,077 tons per year from
commercial/institutional fuel oil combustion, and 182 tons per year
from combustion of other fuel types from residential and commercial/
institutional sources.
[dagger] Miscellaneous includes prescribed fires, wildfires, and non-
combustion industrial emissions.
EPA observes that according to the 2014 NEI, the vast majority of
SO2 emissions (7,900 tons of 8,560 tons overall, or 92.3%)
in New Hampshire originate from fuel combustion at point and nonpoint
stationary sources. The emissions from other categories (waste disposal
and recycling, mobile sources, and miscellaneous) are also small in an
absolute sense, and widely distributed rather than concentrated at a
few release points; accordingly, these categories are not further
addressed in this notice. Therefore, an assessment of New Hampshire's
satisfaction of all applicable requirements under section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) of the CAA for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS may be
reasonably based upon evaluating the downwind impacts of emissions from
the combined fuel combustion categories (i.e., electric utilities,
industrial, and other \11\ combustion sources).
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\11\ As indicated in the notes for Table 1, the ``other''
category of fuel combustion in New Hampshire is comprised mostly of
residential heating through fuel oil combustion.
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Fuel-combustion units in residences and commercial/institutional
facilities are considered nonpoint sources. Although SO2
emissions from residential and commercial/institutional fuel oil
combustion accounted for 50% of all 2014 SO2 emissions in
the NEI for New Hampshire, SO2 emissions from these nonpoint
sources are now much lower due to a provision of state law, RSA 125
C:10-d. As of July 2018, fuel oil sold in the State is subject to
stricter fuel sulfur limits, and New Hampshire plans to incorporate
these limits into the state regulations Env-1600, entitled ``Fuel
Specifications.'' The new limit for number 2 home heating oil of
0.0015% by weight will achieve a 98.5% reduction in residential fuel
combustion emissions compared to emissions under the limit of 0.4% that
applied in 2014. Because residential fuel combustion in 2014 was about
75% of all nonpoint fuel combustion, this means that the reduction in
all nonpoint fuel combustion will be around 75% even with considering
an expected decline in commercial/institutional emissions. However,
commercial/institutional emissions will also decline because of the new
limits on fuel oil sulfur content of 0.25% by weight for number 4 oil
(compared to a 2014 limit of 1%), and 0.5% by weight for numbers 5 and
6 oils (compared to 2014 limits ranging between 2% and 2.2% depending
on county). Also, the diffuse nature of emissions from these nonpoint
sources makes it unlikely that the current and future emissions from
nonpoint combustion of fuel oil in New Hampshire will contribute to an
exceedance of the NAAQS in a neighboring state. Based on this
reasoning, EPA concludes that these nonpoint sources are not
significantly contributing to nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance in another state. Accordingly, we do not further address
nonpoint fuel combustion sources in this notice.
Regarding the evaluation of impacts from fuel combustion by point
sources (electrical generation and industrial sources), the definitions
contained in appendix D to 40 CFR part 58 entitled ``Sulfur Dioxide
(SO2) Design Criteria'' are helpful indicators of the
transport and fate of SO2 originating from stationary
sources in the context of the 2010 primary SO2 NAAQS.
Notably, section 4.4 of this appendix provides definitions for
SO2 spatial scales for middle scale and neighborhood scale
monitors. The middle scale generally represents air quality levels in
areas 100 meters to 500 meters from a facility, and may include
locations of maximum expected short-term concentrations due to
proximity of major SO2 point, nonpoint, and non-road
sources. The neighborhood scale characterizes air quality conditions
between 500 meters and 4 km from a facility; emissions from stationary
point sources may under certain plume conditions result in high
SO2 concentrations at this scale. Based on these
definitions, we conclude that it is appropriate to examine the impacts
of emissions from electric utilities and industrial processes in New
Hampshire at locations that are up to 50 km from an emitting facility.
In other words, SO2 emissions from stationary point sources
in the context of the 2010 primary SO2 NAAQS do not exhibit
the same long-distance travel, regional transport, or formation
phenomena as either PM2.5 or ozone; rather, these emissions
behave more like Pb with localized dispersion.
[[Page 48769]]
Therefore, an assessment of point fuel combustion sources within 50 km
of a border between New Hampshire and an adjacent state would be useful
for assessing whether sources in New Hampshire significantly contribute
to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance in the adjacent
state.\12\
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\12\ EPA recognizes in section A.1 of appendix A to EPA's
Guideline on Air Quality Models (``the Guideline''), i.e., 40 CFR
51, appendix W, that EPA's regulatory AERMOD model is appropriate
for predicting pollutant concentrations up to 50 km. Section 4.1 of
the Guideline on Air Quality Models also suggests that 50 km is the
maximum distance for which such models should be applied.
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Our current implementation strategy for the 2010 primary
SO2 NAAQS includes the flexibility to characterize air
quality for stationary point sources via either data collected at
ambient air quality monitors sited to capture the points of maximum
concentration, or air dispersion modeling.\13\ Our assessment of
SO2 emissions from fuel combustion point sources in New
Hampshire and their potential impact on neighboring states is informed
by all available data at the time of this rulemaking, specifically:
SO2 ambient air quality; SO2 emissions and
SO2 emissions trends; SIP-approved SO2
regulations and permitting requirements; available air dispersion
modeling; and, other SIP-approved or federally promulgated regulations
which may limit emissions of SO2. This notice describes
EPA's evaluation of New Hampshire's June 16, 2017 SIP submittal of the
transport infrastructure elements of the CAA for the 2010 primary
SO2 NAAQS to satisfy the requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).\14\
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\13\ See the EPA April 23, 2014 memorandum (EPA 2014) entitled
``Guidance for 1-Hour SO2 Nonattainment Area SIP
Submissions,'' available online at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-06/documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_sip.pdf (hereafter, ``EPA's April
2014 guidance'').
\14\ EPA notes that the evaluation of other states' satisfaction
of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS can
be informed by similar factors found in this proposed rulemaking,
but may not be identical to the approach taken in this or any future
rulemaking for New Hampshire, depending on available information and
state-specific circumstances.
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C. Prong 1 Analysis--Significant Contribution to Nonattainment
Prong 1 of the good neighbor provision requires state plans to
prohibit emissions that will contribute significantly to nonattainment
of a NAAQS in another state. EPA proposes to find that New Hampshire's
SIP meets the interstate transport requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for the 2010 SO NAAQS, as discussed below.
In order to evaluate New Hampshire's satisfaction of prong 1, EPA
evaluated the State's SIP submittal with respect to the following five
factors: (1) SO2 emissions information and trends for New
Hampshire and neighboring states, i.e., Maine, Massachusetts, and
Vermont; (2) SO2 ambient air quality; (3) potential ambient
impacts of SO2 emissions from certain facilities in New
Hampshire (identified as being of interest from a transport perspective
as part of our evaluation of SO2 emissions trends) on
neighboring states based on available air dispersion modeling results
and other information; (4) SIP-approved regulations specific to
SO2 emissions; and (5) other SIP-approved or federally-
enforceable regulations that, while not directly intended to address or
reduce SO2 emissions, may limit emissions of the pollutant.
A discussion of each of these factors is provided below. In this
evaluation, EPA did not identify any current air quality problems in
nearby areas in the adjacent states relative to the 2010 SO2
NAAQS, and we propose to find that New Hampshire will not significantly
contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any
other state.
1. Emissions Trends
As part of the SIP submittal, New Hampshire indicated that for the
2013-2015 period, no sources emitted greater than 2,000 tons per year
(tpy), which the State noted was the threshold established in the
August 21, 2015 (80 FR 51052) SO2 Data Requirements Rule
(DRR), above which sources were required to be characterized. Further,
the State provided an inventory of individual point sources in New
Hampshire with emissions greater than 10 tpy, and total county point
source emissions from 2013-2015. These emissions are presented in
Tables 2 and 3, below.
Table 2--SO2--Point Source Emissions in Tons per Year (tpy) for 2013-2015 for New Hampshire Facilities With
Emissions in Any Single Year for 2013-2015 Exceeding 10 tpy, as Provided in the State's SIP Submittal
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County Facility name 2013 Emissions 2014 Emissions 2015 Emissions
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Belknap............................. Tilton School............. 0.0 3.3 11.7
Cheshire............................ Cheshire Medical Center... 13.8 9.3 0.2
Cheshire............................ Keene State College....... 30.9 33.1 34.0
Cheshire............................ Markem Corporation........ 17.6 5.8 5.8
Cheshire............................ The Cheshire Medical 13.8 9.3 0.2
Center.
Coos................................ Burgess Biopower LLC...... 1.6 11.5 14.6
Coos................................ Fraser NH LLC............. 28.8 29.4 26.2
Coos................................ Mount Carberry Landfill... 20.1 13.1 6.6
Coos................................ Mount Washington Hotel.... 15.5 14.2 14.4
Grafton............................. Dartmouth College......... 241.7 245.6 241.1
Grafton............................. Dartmouth-Hitchcock 124.6 16.7 2.8
Medical Center.
Grafton............................. Freudenberg-Nok General 34.1 23.3 4.1
Partnership-Bristol.
Grafton............................. North Country 42.9 33.1 50.2
Environmental Services
Inc.
Grafton............................. Plymouth State University. 28.1 15.2 0.6
Grafton............................. Unifirst Corporation...... 12.2 11.1 12.4
Hillsborough........................ Four Hills Landfill....... 14.4 11.1 4.3
Hillsborough........................ Monadnock Paper Mill...... 156.1 147.9 80.4
Hillsborough........................ Nylon Corporation......... 2.3 13.7 0.0
Hillsborough........................ Warwick Mills Inc......... 12.6 5.8 1.1
Merrimack........................... Environmental Soils 9.8 16.0 10.9
Management Inc.
Merrimack........................... Public Service of New 1,401.4 1,044.0 636.0
Hampshire (PSNH)--
Merrimack Station.
Merrimack........................... Wheelabrator Concord 52.2 56.6 50.9
Company LP.
Rockingham.......................... Granite Ridge Energy LLC.. 7.7 7.8 10.1
Rockingham.......................... New NGC d/b/a National 15.3 16.0 17.0
Gypsum Company.
[[Page 48770]]
Rockingham.......................... PSNH--Newington Station... 330.6 316.1 294.8
Rockingham.......................... PSNH--Schiller Station.... 1,428.1 1,243.2 856.8
Strafford........................... Turnkey Recycling & 31.7 56.3 30.4
Environmental Enterprises.
Strafford........................... University of New 12.7 18.7 15.7
Hampshire--Durham.
Sullivan............................ APC Paper Company......... 30.3 13.6* 2.1
Sullivan............................ Wheelabrator Claremont 17.0 0.0 0.0
Company LP.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* The 2014 NEI reports emissions of 153.1 tpy for APC Paper Company.
Table 3--SO2 Total Point Source Emissions in Tons per Year (tpy) for 2013-2015 for New Hampshire Counties With
Emissions in any Single Year for 2013-2015 Exceeding 10 tpy, as Provided in the State's SIP Submittal
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
County 2013 Emissions 2014 Emissions 2015 Emissions
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Belknap......................................................... 6.2 3.6 12.0
Carroll......................................................... 14.3 13.8 9.4
Cheshire........................................................ 99.1 79.6 64.2
Coos............................................................ 75.5 74.1 66.2
Grafton......................................................... 514.2 370.5 331.1
Hillsborough.................................................... 220.1 201.7 107.8
Merrimack....................................................... 1,484.8 1,138.2 713.7
Rockingham...................................................... 1,797.4 1,597.8 1,191.8
Strafford....................................................... 58.5 91.8 57.5
Sullivan........................................................ 49.5 16.2 4.7
-----------------------------------------------
Total....................................................... 4,319.5 3,587.3 2,558.6
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 3 indicates that total SO2 emissions from point
sources in the 10 listed counties have decreased by 1,761 tpy, or about
41%, over the time period from 2013 to 2015. However, as stated above,
our focus when reviewing New Hampshire's submittal is on sources within
50 km of the border with another state, not on county-wide or state-
wide emissions.
Six facilities listed in Table 2 have emissions greater than 100
tpy and are within 50 km of a border between New Hampshire and another
state. Three of these are electric generating stations: Schiller
Station, Merrimack Station, and Newington Station. In particular,
Schiller Station and Newington Station are within 1 km of one another
and within 0.5 km of the New Hampshire-Maine border. These electric
generating facilities were the three highest point source emitters in
each of the 3 years in New Hampshire. The combined changes in emissions
from these three sources account for 78% of the total decrease in point
source emissions during this period. Specifically, based on the
information presented in Table 2, combined SO2 emissions
from Schiller Station, Merrimack Station, and Newington Station were
3,160 tpy in 2013 compared to 1,788 tpy in 2015, a net decrease of
1,373 tpy.
The three other major fuel combustion point sources (i.e., sources
with emissions higher than 100 tpy) in New Hampshire listed in Table 2
that are within 50 km of the state border are Monadnock Paper Mills
Inc. in Bennington in Hillsborough County (147.9 tpy--33 km from
Massachusetts, 42 km from Vermont), APC Paper Company Inc. in Claremont
in Sullivan County (153.1 tpy--4 km from Vermont), and Dartmouth
College in Hanover in Grafton County (245.6 tpy--1 km from Vermont).
These three sources are discussed in greater detail in section IV.C.3
of this notice. While Table 2 provides information on SO2
emissions between 2013 and 2015 for the highest emitting sources based
on the State's point source inventory, an emissions summary for all
electric utilities within the State subject to the Federal Acid Rain
Program provides more current information on statewide SO2
emissions from all electric utilities. Data for this purpose can be
found in the most recent EPA Air Markets Program Data (AMPD).\15\ The
AMPD is an application that provides both current and historical data
collected as part of EPA's emissions trading programs. A summary of all
2016 and 2017 SO2 emissions from electric utilities in New
Hampshire subject to the Acid Rain Program is below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\15\ Available online at: https://ampd.epa.gov/ampd/.
[[Page 48771]]
Table 4--2016 and 2017 AMPD Data for all New Hampshire Electric Utilities in Tons per Year
[tpy]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2016 SO2 2017 SO2
County Facility name Emissions Emissions
(tpy) (tpy)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coos........................................ Burgess BioPower.................. 21.5 15.4
Rockingham.................................. Granite Ridge Energy.............. 7.3 5.9
Merrimack................................... Merrimack Station................. 228.2 143.6
Rockingham.................................. Newington Station................. 40.6 41.3
Rockingham.................................. Newington Energy *................ 2.9 4.3
Rockingham.................................. Schiller Station.................. 272.3 262.6
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Total................................... .................................. 572.7 473.1
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* In 2013 to 2015, Newington Energy had emissions below the State's 10 tpy threshold for the inventory of
individual point sources shown in Table 2.
Table 4 provides two key pieces of information. First,
SO2 emissions have generally continued to decrease in 2016
and 2017 for Schiller Station, Merrimack Station, and Newington Station
since the State's SIP submittal which analyzed 2013 through 2015
emissions. Second, aggregate SO2 emissions for New Hampshire
facilities reporting to AMPD have continued to decrease.
In addition to the emissions information for New Hampshire sources
provided by the State, EPA also compiled 2014 NEI information for major
sources in the adjacent states within 50 km of the New Hampshire
border. This information, presented in Table 5 below, indicates that
major sources in neighboring states near the New Hampshire border are
distant from most sources in New Hampshire. (Note that there are no
major SO2 sources in Vermont within 50 km of the New
Hampshire border based on the 2014 NEI data.) Based on these 2014 data,
the only source in New Hampshire (Mount Carberry Landfill in Berlin,
New Hampshire) that is within 50 km of a major source (i.e., a source
emitting greater than 100 tpy) in a neighboring state (Catalyst Paper
Operators in Richmond, Maine) emitted around 13 tpy and is at a
distance of 49 km. Furthermore, there are relatively few major
SO2 sources in nearby states. This information supports the
conclusion that New Hampshire sources within 50 km of a border and
emitting below 100 tpy, and thus not including the six major sources
already identified, are unlikely to contribute to nonattainment in
neighboring states, confirming our focus on the six identified major
sources.
Table 5--Summary of SO2 Major Point Sources Within 50 km of the New Hampshire Border and Potential Interactive
New Hampshire Sources
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2014
State Source Emissions Sources in New Hampshire
(tpy) within 50 km
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Massachusetts........................ Mystic Station--Boston...... 910 None.
Massachusetts........................ Logan Airport--Boston....... 222 None.
Massachusetts........................ Veolia Energy Boston LLC-- 115 None.
Boston.
Maine................................ Catalyst Paper Operators-- 824 Mount Carberry Landfill--
Richmond. Berlin (13 tpy, 49 km).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data retrieved from 2014 NEI.
2. Ambient Air Quality
Data collected at ambient air quality monitors indicate the
monitored values of SO2 in the State have remained below the
NAAQS since at least 2013. New Hampshire included DVs for 2013-2015 in
its SIP submittal. EPA compiled relevant data from Air Quality System
(AQS) DV reports for this period and three additional 3-year periods at
New Hampshire SO2 monitoring stations; this information is
summarized in Table 6 below.\16\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\16\ Available online at: https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-values.
Table 6--Trend in SO2 Design Values for AQS Monitors in New Hampshire
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012-2014 DV 2013-2015 DV 2014-2016 DV 2015-2017 DV
AQS monitor site Monitor location (ppb) (ppb) (ppb) (ppb)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
33-013-1007................. Concord--Hazen 9 8 7 * NA
Drive.
33-015-0018................. Londonderry--150 5 6 5 4
Pillsbury Road.
33-013-1006................. Pembroke--Pleasant 23 20 20 15
Street.
33-011-5001................. Peterborough--Pack 5 5 3 3
Monadnock Summit.
33-015-0014................. Portsmouth--Peirce 28 29 22 16
Island.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* The DV for this site is invalid due to incomplete data for this period and is not for use in comparison to the
NAAQS.
[[Page 48772]]
As shown in Table 6 above, the DVs for the periods from 2012-2014
through 2015-2017 show overall decreases in SO2
concentrations. The highest DV in New Hampshire for 2015-2017 is 16
ppb, which is well below the NAAQS, at the Peirce Island monitor in
Portsmouth very close to the border with Maine. An analysis of DV data
from these monitors, along with additional data sources (as further
discussed below), can partially inform the evaluation of SO2
transport from New Hampshire.
Table 7--Distances Between the Largest SO2 Emission Sources in New Hampshire and Regulatory Monitors
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Distance to
Closest AQS monitor in closest AQS 2013-2015 DV 2014-2016 DV 2015-2017 DV
Facility New Hampshire monitor in New Spatial scale (ppb) (ppb) (ppb)
Hampshire (km)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Schiller Station.................. Portsmouth--Peirce Island 3.9 Neighborhood............. 29 22 16
Newington Station................. Portsmouth--Peirce Island 4.4 Neighborhood............. 29 22 16
Merrimack Station................. Pembroke--Pleasant Street 1.3 Neighborhood............. 20 20 15
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The monitors closest to Merrimack Station (i.e., the Pembroke
monitor, AQS no. 33-013-1006) and both Schiller Station and Newington
Station (i.e., the Peirce Island monitor, AQS no. 33-015-0014) may not
be sited in the area to adequately capture points of maximum
concentration from the facilities. However, Table 7 indicates that
these monitors are located in the neighborhood spatial scale in
relation to the facilities, i.e., emissions from stationary and point
sources may under certain plume conditions result in high
SO2 concentrations at this scale. EPA's monitoring
regulations at 40 CFR part 58, appendix D, section 4.4.4(3) define
neighborhood scale as ``characterize[ing] air quality conditions
throughout some relatively uniform land use areas with dimensions in
the 0.5 to 4.0 km range.'' The Pembroke monitor has, in prior years,
recorded SO2 levels in excess of the 2010 SO2
NAAQS resulting from emissions from Merrimack Station. For example, the
DV at the Pembroke monitor was 221 ppb for the 2009-2011 monitoring
period. Similarly, the Peirce Island monitor has recorded 1-hour
SO2 concentrations higher than the level of the 2010
SO2 NAAQS in prior years, with peak 1-hour impacts in 2006
of 93 ppb and a DV of 60 ppb during the 2005-2007 period, reflecting
previous impacts from emissions from Schiller Station and Newington
Station. These historic values illustrate the extent to which the
Pembroke and Peirce Island monitors were capable of recording high
pollutant levels resulting from emissions from Merrimack Station and
Schiller and Newington Stations, respectively. However, these three
facilities are no longer expected to emit at high levels because each
is subject to federally-enforceable requirements that limit allowable
SO2 emissions. Therefore, EPA no longer expects high
SO2 readings at the Pembroke and Peirce Island monitors. As
presented in Table 7, the most recently available DVs at both monitors
are now well below the NAAQS based on 2013-2015 data included in the
State's SIP submittal and on updated DV data reviewed by EPA.
However, the absence of a violating ambient air quality monitor
within the State is insufficient to demonstrate that New Hampshire has
met its interstate transport obligation. While the very low DVs and the
spatial relationship between the sources of interest and two of the
monitoring sites support the notion that emissions originating within
New Hampshire are not contributing to a violation of the NAAQS, prong 1
of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) specifically addresses the effects that
sources within New Hampshire have on air quality in neighboring states.
Therefore, the evaluation and analysis of SO2 emissions data
from facilities within the State, as previously presented, together
with ambient data in neighboring states, as will be presented next, is
appropriate.
In its SIP submittal, New Hampshire provided 2013-2015
SO2 DVs for all monitors in neighboring states, noting that
two such monitors reside in counties adjacent to New Hampshire, and
also that there are currently no designated nonattainment or
maintenance areas for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in states
surrounding New Hampshire. Table 8 contains the 2013-2015 through 2015-
2017 SO2 DVs for monitors in the three states neighboring
New Hampshire, i.e., Maine, Massachusetts, and Vermont, also noting
whether the county is adjacent to New Hampshire. (The State supplied
the 2013-2015 DVs in its SIP submittal, and EPA updated the State's
analysis to include the 2014-2016 and 2015-2017 SO2 DVs for
these monitors.) Several monitors in this dataset have incomplete data
for at least one of the DV periods; DVs are reported as ``NA'' for
periods with incomplete data. All of the valid DVs for the monitoring
sites listed in Table 8 are well below the NAAQS.
One monitor with a DV listed as ``NA'' for the relevant time
periods included in the State's SIP submittal is the Sawgrass Lane
monitor, AQS site 23-031-0009, located in Eliot, Maine. The Sawgrass
Lane monitor collected SO2 concentration data from October
24, 2014 to April 1, 2016. The maximum 1-hour SO2
concentration observed from this monitor was 37.7 ppb on January 8,
2015, when winds came from the direction of Schiller Station and the
power plant was operating at near-maximum capacity.\17\ Though a single
maximum 1-hour concentration is not directly comparable to the
SO2 NAAQS,
[[Page 48773]]
which is in the form of the 3-year average of the 99th percentile of
daily maximum 1-hour values, EPA notes that the highest concentration
observed at the Sawgrass Lane monitor was approximately 50% of the
level of the NAAQS,
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\17\ The Town of Eliot had previously submitted a petition to
EPA in August 2013 pursuant to section 126 of the CAA regarding
alleged violations of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS within the
Town's political boundary due to emissions from Schiller Station.
The Sawgrass Lane monitor was sited in an area expected to
experience peak SO2 impacts based on modeling information
submitted by the Town with the section 126 petition. On November 9,
2017, following the Sawgrass Lane monitoring study, and in light of
new permit limitations on SO2 emissions at Schiller
Station (described in section IV.C.3.a) and EPA's August 22, 2017
letters stating EPA's intention to designate the Maine and New
Hampshire seacoast areas as not being in violation of the NAAQS, the
Town of Eliot withdrew its August 2013 section 126 petition.
Additional background and results of the Sawgrass Lane monitoring
study are described in the report, ``Review of 2014-2016 Eliot,
Maine Air Quality Monitoring Study,'' EPA, the Maine Department of
Environmental Protection, and NHDES (September 2016).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Based on the monitoring data in neighboring states, EPA proposes to
conclude that these monitoring data do not provide evidence of
violations in the neighboring states.
Table 8--SO2 DVs for AQS Monitors in Neighboring States and Adjacency to New Hampshire of the County in Which Monitor Is Located
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AQS monitor 2013-2015 SO2 DV 2014-2016 SO2 DV 2015-2017 SO2 DV County adjacent to
State site Monitor location (ppb) (ppb) (ppb) New Hampshire?
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Maine........................ 23-003-1100 Presque Isle........ 3................... 3.................. NA*................ No.
23-005-0029 State Street, 12.................. 11................. 9.................. No.
Portland.
23-009-0103 Hancock County...... 2................... 1.................. 1.................. No.
23-011-2005 Pray Street, 12.................. NA*................ NA*................ No.
Gardiner.
23-031-0009 Sawgrass Lane, Eliot NA*................. NA*................ NA*................ Yes.
Massachusetts................ 25-005-1004 Globe Street, Fall 28.................. 10................. 9.................. No.
River.
25-013-0016 Liberty Street, 8................... NA*................ NA*................ No.
Springfield.
25-015-4002 Quabbin Summit, Ware 5................... 4.................. 3.................. No.
25-025-0002 Kenmore Square, 9................... 6.................. 4.................. No.
Boston.
25-025-0042 Dudley Square, 11.................. 9.................. 6.................. No.
Roxbury.
25-027-0023 Summer Street, 7................... 6.................. 5.................. Yes.
Worcester.
Vermont...................... 50-007-0007 Harvey Road, 3 [dagger].......... 2.................. 2.................. No.
Underhill.
50-021-0002 State Street, 9................... 6.................. 2.................. No.
Rutland.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* The DV for this site is invalid due to incomplete data for this period and is not for use in comparison to the NAAQS.
[dagger] Value as reported by NH DES. EPA's AQS database indicates no valid DV at this monitor for this year range.
3. Assessment of Potential Ambient Impacts of SO2 Emissions
From Certain Sources Based on Air Dispersion Modeling and Other
Information
Schiller Station, Newington Station, and Merrimack Station
In its SIP submittal, New Hampshire referenced air dispersion
modeling conducted for Schiller Station and Newington Station used to
support the State's recommendation for designations under the 2010
SO2 NAAQS and to meet the State's obligation under the
SO2 DRR. The State used the modeling to establish maximum
allowable SO2 emission limits for Schiller Station in the
June 15, 2017 Title V Operating Permit (TV-0053) and for Newington
Station in the December 22, 2016 temporary permit TP-0197. A detailed
description of EPA's assessment of the modeling, and associated
visualizations, are available in Chapter 27 of the Technical Support
Document for EPA's September 5, 2017 (82 FR 41903) Intended Round 3
Area Designations for the 2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary National
Ambient Air Quality Standard for New Hampshire, and this description is
hereby incorporated for purposes of this action.\18\ EPA's assessment
of the State's modeling indicates that it is suitable for use in
evaluating impacts in Maine and Massachusetts from the allowable
emissions from Schiller Station and Newington Station under federally-
enforceable emission limits for those facilities. The modeling also
included representative actual emissions from nearby sources. The
maximum predicted concentrations, which are at a level of 74.8 ppb, in
the State's modeling based on full load using maximum allowable
emissions are located in Eliot, Maine. The modeling also predicted
SO2 concentrations in areas of northeast Massachusetts,
where levels were predicted to be around 24 ppb. Based on our
assessment of this modeling information, EPA proposes to conclude that
the federally-enforceable emissions limits for Schiller Station and
Newington Station ensure that emissions activity from these sources
will not contribute significantly to nonattainment of the
SO2 NAAQS in Maine or Massachusetts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\18\ In referencing EPA's Intended Round 3 Area Designations,
EPA is not reopening the SO2 area designations action nor
incorporating any other materials from those designations into the
record for this proposal other than those explicitly described as
incorporated. A notice of the final rule for these designations was
published on January 9, 2018 (83 FR 1098). Chapter 27 of the
Technical Support Document can be found at https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2017-08/documents/27_nh_so2_rd3-final.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The State also referenced air dispersion modeling conducted to
establish federally-enforceable SO2 emission limits for
Merrimack Station in Bow, New Hampshire. The State relied upon these
limits with supporting modeling analysis in the attainment
demonstration for the Central New Hampshire SO2
Nonattainment Area, as described in the Federal Register on September
28, 2017 (82 FR 45242).\19\ Merrimack Station was explicitly modeled in
this attainment demonstration, while Schiller Station and Newington
Station were represented by the selected background concentration.
EPA's assessment of the State's modeling indicates that it is suitable
for use in evaluating impacts in Maine and Massachusetts under
federally-enforceable emission limits from Merrimack Station. The
modeling predicted maximum impacts from Merrimack Station of around 11
ppb in Maine and Massachusetts. Based on our assessment of this
modeling information, EPA proposes to conclude that the federally-
enforceable emissions limits for Merrimack Station ensure emissions
activity from this source will not contribute significantly to
nonattainment of the SO2 NAAQS in Maine or Massachusetts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\19\ In referencing EPA's approval of New Hampshire's plan and
attainment demonstration for the Central New Hampshire Nonattainment
Area, EPA is not reopening the nonattainment area plan approval
action. A notice of the final rule for the plan approval was
published on June 5, 2018 (83 FR 25922).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The modeling results demonstrate that the points, outside of New
Hampshire, of maximum potential impact for Merrimack Station, Schiller
Station, and Newington Station are located in Maine, which neighbors
New Hampshire to the east, and that these impacts are below the level
of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Therefore, EPA expects the actual
impacts will be no higher
[[Page 48774]]
than the potential impacts shown in the State's analysis.
To additionally evaluate the expectation that Schiller Station,
Newington Station, and Merrimack Station will not contribute
significantly to nonattainment of the SO2 NAAQS in Maine or
Massachusetts, EPA assessed the proximity of these facilities to major
SO2 emission sources in neighboring states that may cause
areas of higher concentration in those states. To do so, EPA examined
emissions data for major sources of SO2 emissions in Maine
and Massachusetts. (There are no major sources in Vermont within 50 km
of the New Hampshire border, so Vermont was excluded this portion of
the analysis.\20\) A summary of this information, as it relates to the
sources in New Hampshire discussed here, is presented in Table 9 below.
Based on the information in Table 9, the distance between the sources
modeled by New Hampshire and major sources in nearby states are at
least 73 km. Therefore, the large distances between Merrimack Station,
Schiller Station, and Newington Station and the nearest major
SO2 sources within Maine, Massachusetts, and Vermont,
indicate that impacts from New Hampshire are appropriately
characterized by the State's modeling, and are very unlikely to
contribute significantly to problems with attainment of the 2010
SO2 NAAQS in these neighboring states.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\20\ EPA notes that according to the 2014 NEI, Agrimark Inc. in
Middlebury, Vermont, at about 79 km from the New Hampshire border,
168 km from Merrimack Station, and 220 km from Shiller Station and
Newington Station, is the nearest major SO2 source in
Vermont to the New Hampshire border and the major sources in New
Hampshire.
Table 9--Summary of Major Emission Sources in States Adjacent to New Hampshire and Their Corresponding Distance to Merrimack Station, Newington Station,
and Schiller Station
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Distance to New Neighboring
2017 emissions Hampshire- Distance to New Distance to nearest neighboring state source
New Hampshire source (tpy) * Massachusetts Hampshire- Maine state major SO2 source (km) 2014 emissions
border (km) border (km) (tpy)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Merrimack Station............................... 143.6 44 46 89 (Mystic Station in Boston, 910.4
Mass.).
Newington Station............................... 41.3 25 <1 73 (S D Warren Co in Westbrook, 426.8
Maine).
Schiller Station................................ 262.6 25 <1 73 (S D Warren Co in Westbrook, 426.8
Maine).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* CAMD data for 2017; see Table 4.
[dagger] Data retrieved from 2014 NEI.
Based on the modeling provided by New Hampshire and the reasoning
presented above, EPA proposes to conclude that SO2 emissions
from Merrimack Station, Schiller Station, and Newington Station do not
have the potential to violate the 2010 SO2 NAAQS based on
currently effective and federally-enforceable permit conditions.
Monadnock Paper Mills Inc., APC Paper Company Inc., and Dartmouth
College
Regarding Monadnock Paper Mills, APC Paper Company Inc, and
Dartmouth College, EPA does not have information at this time
suggesting that either Massachusetts or Vermont is impacted by
emissions from these sources or other emissions activity originating in
New Hampshire in violation of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). EPA reviewed
available information to assess whether these sources may result in
such a violation. Specifically, as described below, EPA examined wind
rose information, distances from state borders and from major sources
in the adjacent states (if any), and the relative emission levels of
these three sources.
EPA examined wind roses for meteorological stations representative
of the areas around these three other major sources in New Hampshire,
i.e., Monadnock Paper Mills Inc., APC Paper Company Inc., and Dartmouth
College.\21\ For the meteorological stations nearest to Monadnock Paper
Mills Inc. and APC Paper Company Inc., the wind roses indicate the
predominant winds to be away from the state border, as opposed to
toward the state border which would be conducive to interstate
transport. For Dartmouth College, the wind rose for a nearby
meteorological station indicates a prevailing north-south wind pattern,
i.e., along the state border with Vermont, as opposed to an east-west
pattern that would be most conducive to interstate transport.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\21\ The wind rose data are available in a memorandum to the
docket for this action, which can be found on http://www.regulations.gov.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additionally, EPA also notes that there are no major SO2
sources in the adjacent states within 50 km of these three New
Hampshire sources, which indicates that there are unlikely to be high
SO2 concentrations in the adjacent state arising mostly from
in-state sources to which these three New Hampshire sources are
contributing. Furthermore, Monadnock Paper Mills Inc. is located
approximately 30 km from the nearest state border, which indicates that
the likelihood of high impacts in another state is extremely low.
Finally, all three of these sources are in the range of 100-250 tpy,
indicating that these sources have emissions only slightly above the
threshold of 100 tpy used by EPA to identify sources for additional
analysis. Based on this information, EPA is proposing to determine that
emissions from these three sources in New Hampshire will not contribute
significantly to nonattainment in Massachusetts or Vermont. These three
sources are all at least 85 km from any part of Maine, so EPA is also
proposing to determine that emissions from these three sources in New
Hampshire will not contribute significantly to nonattainment in Maine.
4. SIP-Approved Regulations Specific to SO2
The State has provisions and regulations to limit SO2
emissions. Notably, the New Hampshire Revised Statutes Annotated (RSA)
section 125-O, ``Multiple Pollutant Reduction Program,'' requires the
reduction of mercury emissions by at least 80% from baseline mercury
input beginning in July 2013 at Merrimack Station in Bow, New
Hampshire. This state requirement resulted in the installation and
operation of a flue gas desulfurization (FGD) unit at Merrimack
Station, and the removal of SO2 occurs as a co-benefit of
mercury removal with an FGD. New Hampshire permit TP-0008 contains
enforceable conditions for the removal of SO2 by the FDG,
and this permit was approved into the SIP as part of the State's
Regional Haze SIP on August 22, 2012 (77 FR 50602). Additionally, New
Hampshire issued permit TP-0189 in 2016 which incorporated a 7-boiler
operating day average combined emission limit for Merrimack's two
utility boilers of 0.39
[[Page 48775]]
lb/MMBtu as enforceable conditions of the permit. EPA approved these
conditions from this permit into the SIP on June 5, 2018 (83 FR 25922)
as part of New Hampshire's Nonattainment Plan for the Central New
Hampshire Sulfur Dioxide Nonattainment Area.
The State has SIP-approved regulations limiting the sulfur content
in fuel. The current federally-enforceable fuel specifications include
limits on the sulfur content of liquid fuel (oil), gaseous fuel
(natural and manufactured gas), and solid fuel (coal) purchased or used
for heat or power generation. Current federally-enforceable limits on
liquid fuel (oil) are 0.4% sulfur by weight for number 2 oil, 1.0%
sulfur by weight for number 4 oil, and 2.0% sulfur by weight for
numbers 5 and 6 oil and crude oil (except in Coos County where the
limit is 2.2% sulfur by weight). (As previously mentioned, a recent
state law lowers these limits effective July 2018.) Limits on coal
sulfur content include a maximum of 2.8 lb/MMBtu gross heat content for
devices existing as of April 15, 1970, or 1.5 lb/MMBtu gross heat
content for sources placed in operation after that date. See 40 CFR
52.1520(c), ``EPA-Approved New Hampshire Regulations.''
5. Other SIP-Approved or Federally-Enforceable Regulations
In addition to the State's SIP-approved regulations, EPA observes
that facilities in New Hampshire are also subject to the federal
requirements contained in regulations such as the National Emission
Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Major Sources: Industrial,
Commercial, and Institutional Boilers and Process Heaters. This
regulation limits acid gases, and effectively also reduces
SO2 emissions.
6. Conclusion
As discussed in more detail above, EPA has considered the following
information in evaluating the State's satisfaction of the requirements
of prong 1 of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I):
(1) EPA has not identified any current air quality problems in
nearby areas in the adjacent states (Maine, Massachusetts, and Vermont)
relative to the 2010 SO2 NAAQS based on emissions trends or
ambient monitoring data;
(2) New Hampshire demonstrated using air dispersion modeling that
permitted emissions from its three largest stationary source
SO2 emitters, in combination with other nearby sources and
background SO2 concentrations, are not expected to cause
SO2 air quality violations in other states relative to the
2010 SO2 NAAQS;
(3) consideration of available information on the only other major
sources within 50 km of another state indicates that these sources are
unlikely to contribute to NAAQS violations in other nearby states; and
(4) current SIP provisions and other federal programs will
effectively limit SO2 emissions from sources within New
Hampshire.
Based on the analysis provided by the State in its SIP submission
and based on each of the factors listed above, EPA proposes to find
that sources and other emissions activity within the State will not
contribute significantly to nonattainment of the 2010 primary
SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
D. Prong 2 Analysis--Interference With Maintenance of the NAAQS
Prong 2 of the good neighbor provision requires state
implementation plans to prohibit emissions that will interfere with
maintenance of a NAAQS in another state.
Given our proposed conclusion that sources within New Hampshire are
not contributing significantly to NAAQS violations in adjacent states
because there are no NAAQS violations in the adjacent states, based on
the consideration of the factors discussed earlier, EPA believes that a
reasonable investigation as to whether sources or emissions activity
originating within New Hampshire may interfere with its neighboring
states' ability to maintain the NAAQS consists of evaluating whether
emissions of sources in New Hampshire and the adjacent states are
effectively prevented from increasing in the future.
The State's SIP submittal provides statewide SO2
emissions trends for multiple source categories. EPA reviewed 2005 and
2014 NEI data to confirm the State's assessment of trends, and these
values are summarized below in Table 10. EPA also considered emissions
trend information from the states neighboring New Hampshire, as
presented in Table 11.
Table 10--SO2 Emissions in Tons per Year (tpy) and Percent Change in Emissions Between 2005 and 2014 for New
Hampshire by Source Category
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent change
Data Category * 2005 2014 in emissions
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Non-electric generating unit point sources...................... 5,571 2,230 -60
Electric generating unit point sources.......................... 51,461 2,642 -95
Nonpoint sources................................................ 4,275 3,296 -23
Nonroad mobile sources.......................................... 819 257 -69
Onroad mobile sources........................................... 630 134 -79
-----------------------------------------------
Total....................................................... 62,757 8,558 -86
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Excludes emissions from wild fires.
Table 11--SO2 Emissions Trends From 2002 to 2014 for States Neighboring New Hampshire, in Tons per Year
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SO2 emissions
change 2002-
State 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2014 (%)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Maine................................................... 33,585 32,114 23,386 15,555 11,276 -66
Massachusetts........................................... 156,778 144,140 76,263 51,372 18,904 -88
[[Page 48776]]
Vermont................................................. 4,988 4,682 4,052 3,449 1,511 -70
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data retrieved from the 2002, 2005, 2008, 2011, and 2014 NEI datasets.
The data show statewide SO2 emissions have decreased
substantially over time. This trend of decreasing SO2
emissions does not by itself demonstrate that areas in New Hampshire
and neighboring states will not have issues maintaining the 2010
SO2 NAAQS. However, as a piece of this weight of evidence
analysis for prong 2, it provides further indication (when considered
alongside low monitor values in neighboring states) that such
maintenance issues are unlikely. Since actual SO2 emissions
from sources in New Hampshire have decreased overall between 2005 and
2014, because these decreases are substantial in every source category,
and because these decreases are largely the result of state regulatory
actions, EPA does not expect current or future emissions from New
Hampshire to interfere with neighboring states' ability to maintain the
2010 SO2 NAAQS.
SO2 emissions from point and nonpoint sources combusting
fuel oil in New Hampshire will not increase to historical levels and in
fact will be lower due to a provision of state law, RSA 125 C:10-d. As
of July 2018, fuel oil sold in the State is subject to stricter fuel
sulfur limits, and New Hampshire plans to incorporate these limits into
the state regulations Env-1600, entitled ``Fuel Specifications.'' The
state law limits the sulfur content in fuel to 0.0015% by weight for
number 2 home heating oil, 0.25% by weight for number 4 oil, and 0.5%
by weight for number 5 and 6 oils as of July 1, 2018. These limits
decrease current SO2 emissions from point or nonpoint
sources combusting fuel oil.
Lastly, any new large sources of SO2 emissions will be
addressed by New Hampshire's SIP-approved new source review (NSR) and
prevention of significant deterioration (PSD) program. New minor
sources of SO2 emissions will be addressed by the State's
minor new source review permit program. The permitting regulations
contained within these programs are expected to ensure that ambient
concentrations of SO2 in Maine, Massachusetts, and Vermont
do not exceed the NAAQS as a result of new facility construction or
modification of sources in New Hampshire. The State's SIP-approved NSR
and PSD programs are contained in Env-A 600, entitled ``Statewide
Permit System,'' under sections 618 and 619, respectively, as approved
in the Federal Register on September 25, 2015 (80 FR 57722). These
regulations ensure that SO2 emissions due to new facility
construction or modifications at existing facilities will not adversely
impact air quality in New Hampshire or in neighboring states.
In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 2, EPA has
incorporated additional information into our evaluation of New
Hampshire's submission. In doing so, EPA reviewed information about
emission trends in Maine, Massachusetts, and Vermont, as well as the
technical information considered for interstate transport prong 1. We
find that the combination of the absence of current NAAQS violations in
the neighboring states, the large distances between cross-state
SO2 sources, the downward trend in SO2 emissions
from New Hampshire and neighboring states, more stringent limits on
fuel sulfur content, and state measures that prevent new facility
construction or modification in New Hampshire from causing
SO2 exceedances in downwind states, indicates no
interference with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS from New
Hampshire. Accordingly, we propose to determine that New Hampshire
SO2 emission sources will not interfere with maintenance of
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements
of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
V. Proposed Action
In light of the above analyses, EPA is proposing to approve New
Hampshire's June 16, 2017 infrastructure submittal for the 2010
SO2 NAAQS as it pertains to section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) of
the CAA. EPA is soliciting public comments on the issues discussed in
this notice or on other relevant matters. These comments will be
considered before taking final action. Interested parties may
participate in the Federal rulemaking procedure by submitting written
comments to this proposed rule by following the instructions listed in
the ADDRESSES section of this Federal Register.
VI. Incorporation by Reference
In this rule, EPA is proposing to include in a final EPA rule
regulatory text that includes incorporation by reference. In accordance
with requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, EPA is proposing to incorporate by
reference New Hampshire's June 16, 2017 SIP submittal, entitled
``Amendment to New Hampshire 2010 Sulfur Dioxide NAAQS Infrastructure
SIP to Address the Good Neighbor Requirements of Clean Air Act Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I),'' described in section II of this preamble. EPA has
made, and will continue to make, this document generally available
electronically through http://www.regulations.gov and at the EPA Region
1 Office (please contact the person identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section of this preamble for more information).
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the Clean Air Act, the Administrator is required to approve a
SIP submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and
applicable Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve state
choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the Clean Air Act.
Accordingly, this proposed action merely approves state law as meeting
Federal requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law. For that reason, this proposed action:
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to review
by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58
FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 2011);
This action is not expected to be an Executive Order 13771
regulatory action because this action is not significant under
Executive Order 12866.
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions
[[Page 48777]]
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have Federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not an economically significant regulatory action based
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
Is not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the Clean Air Act; and
Does not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian
reservation land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has
demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian
country, the rule does not have tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: September 20, 2018.
Alexandra Dunn,
Regional Administrator, EPA Region 1.
[FR Doc. 2018-21006 Filed 9-26-18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P